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- 8 June 2008
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HI jjbinks, just another thought I remembered was that usually at the start of your system weather testing or live most of your closing trades will be losses because you will be accumulating and holding the winners for longer periods and getting rid of those losers quickly.Really what I was getting at when I asked about backtest results was that how it fits in with monitoring of your live trading results. As a trader you must have some kind of evaluating your own performance and my question is what do you use as your benchmark. As you mentioned different systems can take more or less time depending on market conditions to become profitable. (Not sure what you mean by 100% profitable as opposed to say 50% profitable). If you back test over periods which cover different parts of the market cycle this should give you an idea. I feel 3 years is a long time to wait to find out if your system truly works or not!
I guess, ultimately that leaves you with trying to find a system which becomes profitable within an acceptable time frame for you. For me that would be somewhere between 6-12 months! But it is easier said than done.
Thanks for the info, putting the final touch on a System IiHi qldfrog, keep it up mate, I just did some back testing with my system from your start date until start of month(12month period). I found my daily system not very impressive compared to previous year with a return of 10%, my weekly is nearly 21% return mind you single backtest. I also use AXO but my buy price limit is $1
If i go back to 1/8/2017 a period of two years my return jumps up to an amazing 63% return.
Keep following it , i also thought you were using weekly system?
Then it would not be systematic and i can trust myself to be influenced by my mood or the market falling 2pc.After following tech/a a bit i would have had conditional order just above that large expantion bar say 1.47/1.48 (RBL).
What is with WLL jumping from 5.25 to 6.71?
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