numbercruncher
Beware of Dropbears
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Feb. 6, 2008
Resource Extraction
Suncor drops $20 billion into oilsands project
Crude oil production is expected to begin ramping up in late 2011, with full production capacity of 550,000 bpd expected to be achieved in 2012.
Alberta Government calculates that about 28 billion cubic metres (174 billion barrels) of crude bitumen are economically recoverable from the three Alberta oil sands areas at current prices using current technology. This is equivalent to about 10% of the estimated 1,700 and 2,500 billion barrels of bitumen in place
This volume places Canadian proven oil reserves second in the world behind those of Saudi Arabia.
The Alberta estimates in some ways are extremely conservative, since they assume a recovery rate of around 20% of bitumen in place, whereas oil companies using the new steam assisted gravity drainage (SAGD) method of extracting bitumen report that they can recover over 60% with little effort. These much higher recovery rates probably mean that the ultimate production could be several times as high as the already very large government estimates.
Well doesnt seem like we will run out of Oil in our lifetimes, combined with the vast array of alternatives such as Biofuel, Increased efficency, electric, Air, Hydrogen etc, nothing to worry about, still could see price shocks when production doesnt keep up, but safe in the knowledge we will never run out, kind of puts a downer on Peak Oil (for now), Peak Production is the problem if all the alternatives dont come online in time I guess!
One form of synthetic oil is that manufactured using the Fischer-Tropsch process which converts carbon dioxide, carbon monoxide, and methane into liquid hydrocarbons of various forms. This process was developed and used extensively in World War II by Germany, which had limited access to crude oil supplies. Germany's yearly synthetic oil production reached millions of tons in 1944. It is today used in South Africa to produce most of that country's diesel.
The air car is poised for mass production
If someone tried to sell you a zero-emissions car that costs around $10,000, you might think he was full of hot air. Turns out it’s the car that’s full of it: The vehicle runs on and emits nothing but air. Now, after more than fifteen years of languishing in automotive obscurity, it’s heading for mass production.
The Air Car is the brainchild of Guy Negre, a French inventor and former Formula One engineer. In February, Negre’s company, Motor Development International (MDI), announced a deal to manufacture the technology with Tata Motors, India’s largest commercial automaker and a major player worldwide. “It’s an innovative technology, it’s an environment-friendly technology, and a scalable technology,” says Tata spokesperson Debasis Ray. “It can be used in cars, in commercial vehicles, and in power generation.”
After fourteen years of research and development, Guy Negre has developed an engine that could become one of the biggest technological advances of this century. Its application to Compressed Air Technology(CAT) vehicles gives them significant economical and environmental advantages. With the incorporation of bi-energy (compressed air + fuel) the CAT Vehicles have increased their driving range to close to 2000 km with zero pollution in cities and considerably reduced pollution outside urban areas.
The application of the MDI engine in other areas, outside the automotive sector, opens a multitude of possibilities in nautical fields, co-generation, auxiliary engines, electric generators groups, etc. Compressed air is a new viable form of power that allows the accumulation and transport of energy. MDI is very close to initiating the production of a series of engines and vehicles. The company is financed by the sale of manufacturing licenses and patents all over the world.
Not sure what this meant!Looks like Oil may play out how many of us suspected
Not sure what this meant!
Please explain.
CARACAS, Venezuela (AP) -- President Hugo Chavez on Sunday threatened to cut off oil sales to the United States if Exxon Mobil wins court judgments to seize billions of dollars in Venezuelan assets.
"If you end up freezing (Venezuelan assets) and it harms us, we're going to harm you," Chavez said. "Do you know how? We aren't going to send oil to the United States. Take note, Mr. Bush, Mr. Danger."
"If the economic war continues against Venezuela, the price of oil is going to reach $200 (a barrel) and Venezuela will join the economic war," Chavez said. "And more than one country is willing to accompany us in the economic war."
I remain bullish on oil which is why I'm still holding OSH, plus it wasn't that long ago there were takeover talks circulating about OSH.Oil Prices Jump on Chavez ThreatMonday February 11, 4:07 pm ET
By John Wilen, AP Business Writer
Oil Prices Spike Higher After Venezuelan President Threatens to Cut Off Oil to US
NEW YORK (AP) -- Oil futures shot higher for the third straight day Monday as concerns about potential supply disruptions overshadowed worries about the cooling economy.
Venezuelan President Hugo Chavez threatened Sunday to cut off oil sales to the U.S. as retaliation for court orders freezing assets belonging to Venezuela's state oil company. Exxon Mobil Corp. has gone after Petroleos de Venezuela SA in U.S., British and Dutch courts, challenging the nationalization by Chavez's government of a multibillion dollar oil project. A British court last week issued an injunction freezing as much as $12 billion in Petroleos' assets.
"If you end up freezing (Venezuelan assets) and it harms us, we're going to harm you," Chavez said. "Do you know how? We aren't going to send oil to the United States."
Mike Fitzpatrick, vice president of energy and risk management at MF Global LLC, said it was hard to weigh the comment.
"How much credence you want to give him is always a question mark," Fitzpatrick said.
But traders were clearly worried about the potential cutoff of Venezuelan oil. Light, sweet crude for March delivery jumped $1.82 to settle at $93.59 a barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange after spiking to $94.72 earlier, a one-month high.
Word of power outages at a Valero Energy Corp. refinery in Delaware City, Del., and a Citgo Petroleum Corp. refinery in Lake Charles, La., also helped push prices higher. Both plants were being restarted Monday, Dow Jones Newswires reported.
Traders were unnerved by new violence in Nigeria, Africa's largest oil producer and a major supplier to the U.S. On Monday, unidentified gunmen attacked a naval vessel that was escorting petroleum industry boats, killing one sailor and injuring another. Militant attacks have cut Nigeria's oil output by nearly one quarter in the past two years, helping send oil prices to all-time highs.
Concerns about supply disruptions overseas have temporarily drawn investors' focus away from the weakening U.S. economy, which had been the market's dominant theme. Worries that the economy is slowing, and demand for energy is falling, pushed oil prices down from a record above $100 a barrel in early January to nearly $86 in recent weeks.
Still, some analysts believe tight global supplies and efforts by Congress and the Federal Reserve to stimulate the economy will keep oil prices high for the foreseeable future.
In a note to clients, analysts at Goldman Sachs said the impact of a recession on oil demand growth "is likely to be meaningful," but not enough to keep Nymex crude from trading at $105 a barrel a year from now, Dow Jones reported.
At the pump, gas prices slipped 0.4 cent overnight to a national average of $2.953 a gallon, according to AAA and the Oil Price Information Service. Prices have mostly fallen lately, following oil's decline from its January record. But the Energy Department and many analysts expect prices to rebound in the spring and rise to new records near $3.50 a gallon.
Other energy futures also rose Monday. March heating oil futures rose 5.03 cents to settle at $2.6044 a gallon on the Nymex, and March gasoline futures rose 3.9 cents to settle at $2.3962 a gallon. March natural gas futures rose 23 cents to settle at $8.531 per 1,000 cubic feet.
Analysts said the current cold snap in the Northeast and Midwest was supporting heating oil and natural gas prices.
In London, Brent crude rose $1.59 to settle at $93.53 a barrel on the ICE Futures exchange.
Associated Press writers Pablo Gorondi in Budapest and Gillian Wong in Singapore contributed to this report.
Alireza also said relations between Saudi Arabia and the US were worsening.
Venezuela's state petroleum company PDVSA said Tuesday it suspended oil supplies to ExxonMobil in retaliation for the US energy giant's effort to freeze billions of US dollars in global PDVSA assets.
In a statement, the Venezuelan oil concern cited "judicial-economic aggression" by ExxonMobil as the reason for its action, which it described as an act of "reciprocity."
World oil market could be set for lengthy slowdown: IEA
PARIS (AFP) - The world oil market could be set for a lengthy slowdown, the International Energy Agency said on Wednesday, signalling a sharp shift in the climate which pushed the oil price to 100 dollars last month.
"Just as the demand shock of 2004 shaped the oil market for the next three years, so too could the pending slowdown," the IEA said in its monthly review of oil trends.
Can it break though on lower volume or are the speculators getting ready to take profits?Oil Fundamentals
``The fundamentals of the oil market are a lot weaker than six weeks ago, when we first breached $100,'' said Tim Evans, an energy analyst at Citigroup Global Markets Inc. in New York. ``The economy is slowing, inventory levels in the U.S. are more comfortable, we are further through the first quarter and closer to the downturn in demand that occurs in the second quarter.''
Opec still sticking to low output strategy
By Syed Rashid Husain RIYADH, Feb 22:
With crude prices hovering around $100 a barrel mark, the Organisation of Petroleum Exporting Countries (Opec), due to meet to decide its output quotas on March 5, says it will wait and see whether prices stay at $100 a barrel, before making a decision on its output.
“With prices at these levels, the cartel will have to wait and see if the $100 a barrel level forms a floor,” and whether prices will continue their latest rally or drop back below $100, Libyan oil minister Shokri Ghanem said.
Neither the US nor Europe will have much to do with oil increasing in price.The U.S. economic downturn will result in less fuel being used but with saying that, their (and ours to an extent) addiction to guzzolene is hard to break.
Just some thoughts.
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