- Joined
- 12 November 2007
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Technically a bounce off $80 will look good for more upside.I wasn't saying oil under $80.00 was impossible,.... after all nothing is certain in the markets except the madness of man,.....
I think driving season is long gone. We are now into the distillates for heating oil.Oil will drop closer to $80 due to the end of the USA driving season after all oil tends to take 3 steps forward one step back,
The gold: oil link remains the current key to movements. There is not much sway in one without the other.I just don't feel that it will drop below $80 and if it does it won't be far below and it won't be there for long.
Technically a bounce off $80 will look good for more upside.
Fundamentally the fact oil has traded as long as it has as high as it is, is unusual. The steepness of its rise - almost doubling in price under 12 months - suggests a sharp retrace was on the cards: The fact it doesn't even look likely at present is ominous (price-wise).
I think driving season is long gone. We are now into the distillates for heating oil.
The gold: oil link remains the current key to movements. There is not much sway in one without the other.
Oil shale may finally have its moment
In a dusty corner of northwestern Colorado, an energy of the future is beginning to look like the real thing. Can oil shale work?
Fortune's Jon Birger reports.
http://money.cnn.com/2007/10/30/magazines/fortune/Oil_from_stone.fortune/index.htm
The Oil Reserve 8 Times Bigger
than Saudi Arabia's
All of a sudden, the oil sands in Alberta, Canada have become a veritable “black gold” mine. And Big Oil’s heavy hitters are wishing they acted sooner…
Just three years ago, when the average price of crude was $29.63 a barrel, producers didn’t find the profits to be worth the costs of processing the oil sands.
But improvements in mining technology have dramatically reduced the cost of extraction, rocketing bottom lines skyward. According to the Oil Sands Discovery Centre in Alberta, it now costs an average of just $13.21 to process each of the 2.5 trillion barrels of oil embedded in the sands – a reserve 8 times bigger than Saudi Arabia’s… containing more oil than all OPEC nations combined.
http://www.investmentu.net/ppc/t4mideastoil.cfm?kw=X300GA05
I will take your bet and double it.
Yes!So does that mean for now I am ahead in our little bet,..
Indeed.I'm now going to read that as "code" for cannot increase output.
Besides the oilers, uranium producers.I am thinking of investing about 75% of the funds into companies that will benefit from the transition of energy over the coming years, Besides the oilers what what other companies to you think will benefit,
At the risk of appearing somewhat big headed, that would put the timing exactly as predicted by Smurf some years ago.Indeed.
I think we have seen peak oil through the markets, this Australian Spring. Finally there is a recognition.
I have setup an investment trust linked to one of my companies where I will be putting aside about 15% of profits from the business each week to be invested using the dollar costed averaging method,.... I want to use this trust to build up some longterm holdings in companies.
I am thinking of investing about 75% of the funds into companies that will benefit from the transition of energy over the coming years, Besides the oilers what what other companies to you think will benefit,
With oil prices closing over $90 overnight - after dipping into the high eighties for a while - there seems little chance that $80 will get hit in the near term.
OPEC says it won't increase output.
I'm now going to read that as "code" for cannot increase output.
The Saudis are not silly.
They know high prices stymie demand.
They are not keen to kill the golden goose.
By the same token, if OPEC said it would increase output, and then failed to deliver, the whole world would panic prices to oblivion.
I think the big funds know which way is up: They will not gamble on oil's downside until there are real signs it has a downside.
Presently we are on track for $100 more quickly than $80 - that's if the latter ever gets another look in.
I'm pretty biased, but mid-long term I don't think you can go past some of the Australian gas stocks, particularly ones with assets in Asia.
.
That's not a logical take.I read it another way, believe that high oil price is hurting demand.
US and Europe oil consumption currently made up of 53% of world's oil demand, and both economies are getting weak. Hence no additional production is necessary.
For a long term income hold I like AGL because the have a finger in Gas production,... Transport,... ,.. storage and retail of both natural gas and lpg,
Agl also has electricity generation assets and a growing protfolio of renewable generation assets ( hydro, wind and land fill gas projects).
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