Australian (ASX) Stock Market Forum

MLX - Metals X Limited

Barclays see tin at 27000 in 1 month

The headline says it all.
At these prices, MLX would see $200m pa from Renison, and $350m pa from rentails. Market cap is only about $450m .$78m in the bank
Do the maths. Anyone got access to the full report?
 
Ha, I'm settled. Just surprised that there are so few ppl on this forum with an interest in a company with possibly one of the best profit making potential on the entire ASX in the next few years...
 
Ha, I'm settled. Just surprised that there are so few ppl on this forum with an interest in a company with possibly one of the best profit making potential on the entire ASX in the next few years...
Hi mfunksta,
Hi. My first post here.
Yes I've been loading up on MLX for over 12 months now.
They look like doing well given the current and forecast price of humble old tin.
Cheers.
 
Ha, I'm settled. Just surprised that there are so few ppl on this forum with an interest in a company with possibly one of the best profit making potential on the entire ASX in the next few years...

Some news out today on Renison -

''Our aim when we bring Renison back into production in the next few weeks is to restore Renison’s reputation as one of Australia’s great mines,
not only from a production sense, but as a benchmark for mining, geological and technical standards.''

Peter Cook
Managing Director
Metals X Limited
 
But at the end of the day, it's production that boosts the shareprice... They are using some interesting techniques to get the most out of it...
 
Fortis Report from Basemetals.com
News

• May 8th: Indonesia’s refined tin exports bounced back in the first four months of 2008 to more than 33,800t, against more than 16,500t in the same period of 2007, according to the country’s trade ministry.
• Apr 24th: Russia’s ministry of economic development and trade is considering removing a 5% import tariff on tin to facilitate greater production of tinplate.
• Apr 14th: Miners at Bolivia’s Huanuni tin mine returned to work after a 12
day strike over pay.

Analysis
• Fresh record price, more to come
With tin stocks on the LME again very low (now at less than one day’s global consumption at 7,565t by 9th May, against 12,150t at the start of the year), strong Chinese demand and shrinking Chinese exports, political ructions in Bolivia, and a propensity by the Indonesian authorities to confuse the market with regard to their precise intentions for its tin industry, it is little wonder that tin prices are at record levels and are more than 45% up since the beginning of 2008. Chinese demand is certainly growing strongly. Antaike, China’s leading non-ferrous metals research organisation, estimated in April that the country’s refined tin usage would rise by 10.4% year-on-year to 146,000t in 2008 and continue at a similar pace for a few more years to come, driven by two sectors, electronics and tinplating. Antaike also expects that a lack of major new mining projects and increased competition for scrap will mean a tigher supply-demand future. It forecasts a fall in China’s net refined tin exports to 6,000t in 2008, from 10,588t in 2007. In Indonesia the central government plans to issue new regulations for mining by July this year, and early reports suggest that they will place a ceiling on the country’s tin production at 100,000t/year, which would be slightly less than a third of global output. Indonesia’s tin production – which in the past has been dominated by a handful of large, regulated companies, with a rash of smaller unlicensed smelters – could fall well below that figure this year, while its exports, which were almost 119,000t in 2006 (the last year before the state authorities started clamping down on smaller unlicenced smelters), may struggle to get to 100,000t. From July, Indonesian exports of all minerals – not just tin – will have to be verified by government auditors before being loaded onto ships leaving the country.

Outlook
The Antaike forecast for China’s tin exports in 2008 looks rather generous, given that domestic demand is running very strongly and customs data published in April showed China was a net importer of more than 3,600t of refined tin in Q1 2008, with more than a third of that coming from Indonesia. The country’s tin producers have faced a 10% export tax on refined tin since the start of this year and with high domestic prices have little incentive to export. Moreover, China’s tin production in Q1 2008 was 13% lower when compared with Q1 2007, at 31,300t. This is a recipe not just for much higher prices, but for prices to remain high for some time to come. LME 3-month short-term: $22,000/t-$25,000/t.
 
''This is a recipe not just for much higher prices, but for prices to remain high for some time to come. LME 3-month short-term: $22,000/t-$25,000/t.''

I like that bit most of all. MLX up again today on huge volume. 43 mill.
2nd half 08 should be very interesting.
Cheers.
 
wow, obviously no-one just noticed the 14million traded today and a nice little bounce of an 11c floor. Not a bad change from the last 3 months.

Tin's just hit $14,800. All looking promising me thinks, does anyone else rate this stock?

I got in at 0.075 so still happy on this one!
 
I haven't looked at MLX for some time. Currently my June stock tipping choice and close to the pointy end. I will get back to researching it again as soon as I have time....
 
I did jump in on this one last week at .11c as I thought it had potential. Don't know much about Tin, but I do follow Nickel which I believe they explore for also. Nickel has been at 5 year lows and has been on the rise in the past month, so keeping fingers crossed this will continue and take this share with them.

MRE is a Nickel player which has gone up approx 50% in the past 5 days, hopefully this will follow suit
 
60 odd million trades today, up from open closed on high. 9.6 to 11c

By far the most trades in a single day in the last 3 years. Tin price seems steady as far as my limited knowledge stretches, any clues? Did someone make a tin powered car? :cautious:

big.chart


big.chart
 
And it's still happening today...

Someone knows something for this number of trades to be continuing unabated..
 
Westgold Resources increased it's holing in MLX from 26.59% to 27.17% which may have been what caused it to wake up and bounce up to .25 with good volume last week. It Slipped back down to .23 today.
It hasn't been performing even whilst doing a buy back, a few brokers rate it alot higher.
Just thought I'd mention this.
 
Westgold Resources increased it's holing in MLX from 26.59% to 27.17% which may have been what caused it to wake up and bounce up to .25 with good volume last week. It Slipped back down to .23 today.
It hasn't been performing even whilst doing a buy back, a few brokers rate it alot higher.
Just thought I'd mention this.

Thanks for that.
 
Anyone know why the SP has been punished so much since the WGR-MLX merger announcement?
 
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