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International Index Trading

doo-doo da doo-doo-doo.....



May 22, 2007 (EIRNS)””A real estate investment and analysis firm, John Burns Real Estate Consulting, said on May 21 that it is "going public with our concerns" that the national sales information for both new and existing homes, is misleading and covering up a deep plunge of the housing sector. "The housing market has softened much more than is being reported" by the Fed, and the National Association of Realtors (NAR), says JBREC.

The firm reports that having purchased and compiled actual home sale closing data for 55% of the country, it finds existing-home sales down, not 9% as NAR reports, but: 22% in May 2006-April 2007, compared to May 2005-April 2006; and much more than that on a simple year-to-year comparison of the past couple of months. It found that existing-home sales have fallen every bit as much as the new-home sales of the biggest homebuilders D.R. Horton and Lennar, which are down 37% and 27%. It found that home brokerage transactions by Realogy Corp., the nation's biggest realtor company which owns Century 21, Coldwell Banker, and ERA, fell 18% from 2005 to 2006. And that mortgage applications for home purchase have fallen 18%, even though many buyers now have to fill out several applications in order to get a mortgage.

:eek:
 
nicked from another bb from a gentleman called Easytimes - reaction of Dax over last 10 years when price got to 35% or > above 200ma. currently at 35% - if we hit 8,000 gap % will be at the same level as 1987, 1998 and 2000

dax884ut0.png
 
I am a little lost on the dow right now not quite sure what to make of it.

some minor support at 13 474. It is looking like its starting to band but a break either way right now is possible.

Just a real wait and see.
 

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yes hard to say Trade-It - as you say if unsure best to wait. looking toppy with those long-shadowed candles tho....


"Hank (Pat) Paulson Snubs Prime Madame

by Lee Wheeler

Apparently Hank “Pat” Paulson’s meeting with Madame Wu didn’t go over so well.

According to Washington insider Steve Clemons, “Paulson just about did everything wrong but spit on Chinese Vice Premier Wu Yi.”
“Maybe Paulson had a reasonable beef with what was happening behind closed doors in the sessions attempting to coordinate broad strategic economic policy””particularly currencies. But Paulson should know that you don’t just let the world know that you can barely stand being in the same room with your negotiating partner.”

“After more than 70 trips to China during his life, Paulson can’t really get away with an ‘I was tired’ or ‘I didn’t understand that anyone would be upset that I began my formal statement when Wu Yi hadn’t even walked in the room yet.’ He knows China too well. He understands the importance of nuance. But again””maybe Paulson was just pissed off by something really, really big.”

Clemons also links to a piece from another Washington insider Chris Nelson:

“Paulson plays the rude card against Chinese.”

“Barring some major breakthrough at the JCCT, it doesn’t sound like there will be any point in meeting again, as scheduled, in December.”

“Paulson, the guy with 72 private trips to China, who told the White House that he would be the ‘China Guy’ in this Administration…at the closing press conference, Paulson stalked in, well ahead of Wu Yi, then started reading his statement before she even reached the podium.”

“Excuse me? An American or European would have cold-cocked the President for such calculated rudeness. You think for one minute that elderly maiden lady Wu Yi didn’t catch the insult? Are you telling us Paulson didn’t mean it, that he was so focused on reading his prepared statement he didn’t think? NONSENSE. This was a calculated act of rudeness which told everyone in the room, and anyone watching on TV, that a major failure had taken place.”

Will be ineresting to see if China makes a near-term economic “go eff yourself” gesture to Paulson and the U.S."
 
Been some pretty impressive selloffs this morning in Asia- nikkei has lost over 200 from it's morning highs:)
 
Been some pretty impressive selloffs this morning in Asia- nikkei has lost over 200 from it's morning highs:)
I'm surprised our market hasn't preempted the probable China sell off today. Maybe just a ripple like Feb perhaps, but surely a good excuse to take some money off the table?
 
I'm surprised our market hasn't preempted the probable China sell off today. Maybe just a ripple like Feb perhaps, but surely a good excuse to take some money off the table?

We had over half a percent selloff from the intraday highs, and it may not be over yet. But I wouldn't be too worried bout a feb28 type selloff just yet. Maybe if it carries on for the rest of the day, there could be a few edgy investors out there near the close:eek:
 
Wall st futures down 76 on IG at the moment.

Maybe just maybe this is our correction.

So much for that correction.........

DOW only down 11 points, recovering well so far......

A lot of action to go b4 the close though......

Cheers
Reece
 
Fomc minutes in I think about 31/2 hours may have a bigger influence than China???
 
hi chaps! good to see you all over here :)

wicked range today on Dax - I'm converted, never looking at FTSE again!

shorted the drop & unfortunately closed a long before I went to bed - never mind, am sure we'l setting up for more shorts before too long


f3d0fc2aa4.gif
 
So much for that correction.........

DOW only down 11 points, recovering well so far......

A lot of action to go b4 the close though......

Cheers
Reece


I said maybe just maybe reeceie boy!

I can only go on what the chart and pre open tells me!;)
 
mate its easy to make a wrong call with these markets - wicked range - so long as you're on the right side of it!
 
mate its easy to make a wrong call with these markets - wicked range - so long as you're on the right side of it!

The question is now, is there a long on the Dow or not.

Elwood I don't call it being wrong, all you can do is make your opinion from what is being presented at that moment. If that moves in the oppersite direction to what you first thought then you must evolve with it. The markets are wonderful things!:)
 
I have opened a long on the dow,

It has broken resistance out of its fibb range and started to travel on a new short term 45 degree angle.

I am still weary but I can't ignore the push,

For anyone really into tech analysis and charting I suggest you check out Magdorans post in Gold where's it heading. Just amazing!

See chart.
 

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Trade It, just watch that long closely mate, not good news. Getting close to negative GDP, 2 off a recession :eek: They may be already into the first negative qtr now.

WASHINGTON (MarketWatch) - The U.S. economy slowed to a crawl in the first quarter, held back by falling investments in homes, shrinking inventories and a larger trade gap, the Commerce Department reported Thursday. The economy grew at a 0.6% annualized pace in the quarter, revised down from the initial estimate of 1.3%, the government said in its second estimate of quarterly gross domestic product. It was the slowest growth since late 2002. Economists surveyed by MarketWatch were expecting GDP to be revised to 0.7%. Consumers continued to lead the way with strong gains in spending and income. The business sector, however, invested little and saw year-over-year profit growth fall to the lowest level of the five-year-old expansion. Economy-wide inflation surged at the fastest pace in 16 years, and core consumer inflation accelerated a bit above the Federal Reserve's comfort zone
 
I said maybe just maybe reeceie boy!

I can only go on what the chart and pre open tells me!;)

Must have missed this one b4 Tradeit - I actually wasn't having a go at your comment, I was saying that even I expected some downside action, but instead it just boomed!

I think the US is now at a critical juncture - we will either see a terrific continuation of the uptrend or an almighty sell off...... I will not be taking any new longs here, but I wish you the best in your long mate... Technically, the trade is there.....

Cheers
 
Must have missed this one b4 Tradeit - I actually wasn't having a go at your comment, I was saying that even I expected some downside action, but instead it just boomed!

I think the US is now at a critical juncture - we will either see a terrific continuation of the uptrend or an almighty sell off...... I will not be taking any new longs here, but I wish you the best in your long mate... Technically, the trade is there.....

Cheers

No worries Reece.

I am with you on that Reece, flat last night I also thik that it will have to make it's mind up. I am still 50/50 as well, I have a thightish stop on my long, currently not in profit but I will give it a day or so.

I have also heard some talk about MBL's internal spending habits not a great sign.
 
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