A couple of trades a week is a hobby.
Well i beg to differ.
I treat my trading like a business and take it very seriously, and so do others that I know whom also trade weekly timeframes, which means a couple of trades a week at best.
Every business requires RESOURCES and incurs EXPENSES.
Its not uncommon for a business to not be profitable in the first year.
I don't see why trading should be treated any differently.
411 trades this year
6 losses this year , to date
up just over $121,000 for the year and that is only trading the first hour of the day on tuesday , wednesday and thursday....
its easy .... beats teaching wheich I have done for the past 30 years....
want to know more ???
just ask
its easy
i dont know much about short term trading, but that win:loss ration seems huge. > 400 wins vs 6 losses would be almost unheard of imo. I was under the impression that short term trades will have a higher loss ratio.
Even 80% I have "difficulty" believing without some concrete evidence over a longer term (not just a one way market). Hells Bells, I'd be turning over millions per day with that sort of confidence and be driving around in a Bentley... so would anyone actually achieving that.No. Short term traders have a high win ratio, but a low r/r. It's not unheard of for scalpers, gap and range players to have win ratios of 80% or more. But this win ratio, I don't believe...
Even 80% I have "difficulty" believing without some concrete evidence over a longer term (not just a one way market). Hells Bells, I'd be turning over millions per day with that sort of confidence and be driving around in a Bentley... so would anyone actually achieving that.
Well let's look at that.I can get an 80%+ success rate- just set my profit target to 1 tick, and my stop at 20, and I should get there. Not sure that would get me a bentley though. A datsun maybe
Well let's look at that.
Expectancy=((1 + reward/risk ratio) * win/loss ratio)-1
=((1 + .05) * .8)-1
= -0.16
Perhaps a second had pair of Reeboks stolen from the Salvos bin.
Agreed there, but I'd be interested in proof of such a high win rate from a momentum method.This thread has become very interesting. I like momentum methods. You have a nice one there gavank, well done! There is also a momentum trading thread over on the FX forum here.
WayneL the point you raised about achieving high (80+%) success rates and therefore hugely increasing position size is a good one but I don't think it applies in the case of gavank's method; the instruments being traded are lower priced shares so liquidity is going to be a concern preventing loading up position size too aggressively. It would be relevant though in FX where bigger positions can be taken more readily.
I am looking forward to hearing more from gavank on his method on this thread! Using market depth to gauge sentiment I find challenging given the ease with which buying and selling interest can be pulled, so changing the picture, please expand gavank.
411 trades this year
6 losses this year , to date
up just over $121,000 for the year and that is only trading the first hour of the day on tuesday , wednesday and thursday.... I must be back in the chemistry Lab by 9 am each morning ready and raring to start my research labs
its easy .... beats teaching wheich I have done for the past 30 years....
All I trade is shares under 50 c , the cheaper the better
I trade on momentum and only if the previpous day has seen a volume in excess of 10, million + at least 4500 trades
I wont compromise.... they are my entry / alerts to even consider the4 trade
My average gain on a 3 cent stock is 2 cents------ $600 per trade
10 c stock gain also 3 to 4 cents
I only trade 1000 to 2000 per trade and make 30% to 100 % per trade
I will take 100 if i have to .... I am strict that as soon as the balance of power changes (buy sell ratio - prefereably 3 :1) Im out of there.... 100 profit or even 20 profit is better the a loss
small but steady always wins i FIND
411 trades so far this year that’s 3 per day as you only trade 3 times a week and only the first hour.
An average win of 66% for low priced stocks up to 35% average for ten cent stocks.
Only A 1.5% chance of a loss.
That is an extraordinary achievement by anyone’s standard.
I just have two questions.
1. With such incredible results why have you not increased the size of your trades.
2. Why have you only made $121,000 in that time. When I look at those figures I get something like 250,000 achievable,
LOL. We're all flying under the radar in here.Trader Gavank appears to be an extremely fastidious fellow. I wonder if in fact the methods employed allow him and his students to remain undetected and 'fly under the radar'
Cheers
Happytrader
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