Australian (ASX) Stock Market Forum

GRR - Grange Resources

Grange Resources taking off this morning after announcing its FY 2020 financial results. Currently up 14.8% to 50.5c.

GRR_260221.png

$204 million net profit in 2020 and a market cap of around $500 million.

Seems to be some real value here at current prices, or am I missing something? o_O
 
Grange Resources taking off this morning after announcing its FY 2020 financial results. Currently up 14.8% to 50.5c.

View attachment 120631
$204 million net profit in 2020 and a market cap of around $500 million.

Seems to be some real value here at current prices, or am I missing something? o_O
Systems heavy on it, and good news so far even today
 
Based on this AFR piece, Grange Resources (ASX: GRR) seems to be benefiting from China's planned reductions on the steel industry, as Grange mines the iron ore and produces iron pellets in Tasmania, removing a step for Chinese steel makers..


The GRR's price has been going well since late last year.
 
Based on this AFR piece, Grange Resources (ASX: GRR) seems to be benefiting from China's planned reductions on the steel industry, as Grange mines the iron ore and produces iron pellets in Tasmania, removing a step for Chinese steel makers..


The GRR's price has been going well since late last year.
GRR is selling at a PE of 3, with forecast of next years p/e virtually the same. Its paying in excess of 5% dividends fully franked.
And it has no debt.
Looks like a nice place park some cash.
 
52 week high reached for last couple of sessions.
Sold half, as a 30% profit in a few weeks is too good to pass up.
Mick
 
52 week high reached for last couple of sessions.
Sold half, as a 30% profit in a few weeks is too good to pass up.
Mick
It definitely tempting to lock in those profits, particularly given the volatility of iron prices. But I think I'll wait to reduce the pinch from the taxing on the capital gains.

Warning maths below:
I played with some equations a while back.

Compound annual growth rate (CAGR) is:

CAGR(p,s,t) = (s/p)^(1/t) -1,

where p is the purchase price, s is the sell (or current) price, and t is the total time of owning the shares in years.


I modified this CAGR with a tax rate r such that 0 <= r <= 1 representing the (capital gains) tax rate. This tax only affects the gains of selling at a profit, that is s>p. We write s=p+(s-p) and replace the untaxed profit (s-p) with the taxed profit (1-r)(s-p). Now we replace s with p+(1-r)*(s-p) in the original CAGR formula. This gives the post-tax CAGR:

post-tax CAGR(p,s,t,r) = ([p+(1-r)*(s-p)]/p)^(1/t) -1,

I believe that holds . (Perhaps I should have just googled the answer.) We can check the intuition if we assume zero tax (r=0) or total tax (r=1), giving respectively (untaxed) equation or zero growth rate.
Still. 30% profit in a few weeks is very good. And who knows where the iron prices will go.
 
I have generally put TAX considerations in last place when evaluating.
Firstly, I am in pension phase in my SMSF, and secondly, nothing would give me greater than paying a million bucks a year in tax. To get that sort of bill, I am making serious money!. And I still get to keep most of the gains!
Mick
 
Fair enough then. Taxes become less of a burden with a SMSF -- something I have to look into next year. It's either that or move to NZ where they have no taxes on capital gains.
 
Fair enough then. Taxes become less of a burden with a SMSF -- something I have to look into next year. It's either that or move to NZ where they have no taxes on capital gains.
That's not quite true.

If you are deemed a trader you must pay tax on profits. If you can prove you are an investor then no tax to pay. Grey area of course.
 
That's not quite true.

If you are deemed a trader you must pay tax on profits. If you can prove you are an investor then no tax to pay. Grey area of course.
You mean in NZ you pay no tax on profits if you can prove you're an investor? Interesting. Thank you.
 
That's not quite true.

If you are deemed a trader you must pay tax on profits. If you can prove you are an investor then no tax to pay. Grey area of course.
I have been trying to research this one.
I have been searching the ATO website for treatment of trading versus investing.
I had a chat with my accountant, and at first glance, she says she is not aware of any provisioning for the ATO to declare that an SMSF is acting as a trader rather than an investor. She thinks that because I am using such a small proportion of the funds for trading stocks, it would be difficult to argue that the fund is acting as a trader. Most of the funds are in fixed interest, property and longer term held shares.
I am waiting for her definitive response.
Mick
 
I have been trying to research this one.
I have been searching the ATO website for treatment of trading versus investing.
I had a chat with my accountant, and at first glance, she says she is not aware of any provisioning for the ATO to declare that an SMSF is acting as a trader rather than an investor. She thinks that because I am using such a small proportion of the funds for trading stocks, it would be difficult to argue that the fund is acting as a trader. Most of the funds are in fixed interest, property and longer term held shares.
I am waiting for her definitive response.
Mick

This gives some idea of how ATO look at it

 
Porper said:
That's not quite true.

If you are deemed a trader you must pay tax on profits. If you can prove you are an investor then no tax to pay. Grey area of course.
I have been trying to research this one.
I have been searching the ATO website for treatment of trading versus investing.
I had a chat with my accountant, and at first glance, she says she is not aware of any provisioning for the ATO to declare that an SMSF is acting as a trader rather than an investor. She thinks that because I am using such a small proportion of the funds for trading stocks, it would be difficult to argue that the fund is acting as a trader. Most of the funds are in fixed interest, property and longer term held shares.
I am waiting for her definitive response.
Mick

Hi Mick,

Just for the record @Porper was referring to New Zealand tax law in his post above.

Cheers, Rob
 
Grange mines the iron ore and produces iron pellets in Tasmania, removing a step for Chinese steel makers..
As a bit more info, they also have a very low cost means of getting the ore from the mine to the pelletising plant which is located on the coast with the ship loading just out the front.

No trucks or trains - they put the ore through a pipeline from the mine to the pellet plant.

So there’s practically no transport cost incurred in production other than trucks within the mine itself. Beyond that it’s pipeline > pelletising plant > conveyor > ship.
 
Fro memory, they also had a tenement North of Albany and were thinking of slurry pumping ore to Albany for export .
I'm not sure if the project has been offloaded or put on the backburner.
 
I find the thread quite quiet.
it is a star performer from my investment portfolio: bought at 55c a month ago currently up to 80c or 47% in the month
and people rave about fmg? if you play IO, go junior
 
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