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Gold Mining Stocks

KCN is looking good.
Has a few issues atm but ramping up to full production before the year is out.
Ex holder. The company's alright, the resource is alright, exploration potential strong, the labour force is a big tick. The govt and bureaucracy are filthy. The company keeps capitulating to delays from the government, so the weapon of a judgement that can be handed down from the international tribunal for settlement of commercial disputes (or whatever it's called) is not a weapon that the Thais take seriously. Nor is KCN able or willing to trigger it apparently. So if you were limited to one gold stock it's be very reckless to choose this one imo.
 
Thanks v.much @Sean K @finicky @brerwallabi @divs4ever @ducati916 and @anca .

Much information to collate and to further investigate. I accept members advice re the bravery of just picking one stock. Unfortunately in the past my spreading the risk on Gold stocks has lead to mediocre performance with the uppsies not outweighing the downsies by sufficient profit to encourage me to continue doing so. My investment time frame on the stock I pick is 2-3 years and is predicated on a rise in the POG, price of gold. It is a brave call, I agree.

I won't post my ultimate decision as I am very superstitious and rarely admit to holding or deleting a stock from my portfolio until it is well in profit or removed due to underperformance.

I believe Gold stocks will beat the market over the next 2-5 years by some multiple, the timing of my buy is irrelevant in the short term, so I'll keep on watching this thread which has already through the past 12 months with posts from @rcw1 @Sean K @Telamelo @mullokintyre @noirua given me some interesting rabbit holes down which to pop. Apologies if I've left anyone out. And on that score the members mentioned in this post would be some of the more interesting Gold watchers on ASF. So keep on posting on Gold stocks.

Wish me luck !

gg
 


I just thought I'd post on some Gold Stocks for a better view of suitable stocks for a win over a 2-5 year period. Taking a top down attitude I note the market has been kind to some stocks mentioned here already. I'll just pop up a screenshot of the Materials Section on the ASX today.

The large Golders are doing well and in the green. Perhaps others have similar thoughts to this humble poster on the future for Gold stocks. GOR, NEM, PRU BGL (not shown)and EVN appear on the big guys list, and some not highlighted in the first screenshot.

A pick among safety in large cap may be the way to go then say that to Alan Bond. I will delve.




gg
 
well my best gold stock was AAO , which morphed into EML ( and i took the exit , before things got complicated there ) and had a very nice multi-bagger

but of course EML is no longer a gold stock

another nice little play isn't really a 'gold stock ' either and it is ZIM

i did well on AGG but then they decided to leave the ASX , and on OZL as well ( it started as a gold/copper play and turned into a copper/gold play )

and what is ' a safe gold miner' heck they even took out Newcrest , so any other gold producer ( except BHP ) must be a potential target as well ( even RIO )
 
KCN is looking good.
Has a few issues atm but ramping up to full production before the year is out.
Just going over the suggestions for a Gold stock on which to have a large bet with the expectation of a big payoff over 2-5 years I believe I'll pass on KCN @anca . On the Crofts Scale for yapping dogs it scores a 10 out of 10 for dismal past and prospects, although it had an up tick in price today for some rwason today. The governance in Chile and Thailand deciding on whether the Gumnut grandchildren should be sold in to lifetime penury does not excite me.

So KCN is out.

gg
 
While enjoying your off topic contributions divsie @divs4ever , it would be comforting to my amygdala if you could confine your off topic remarks at least to Gold stocks.

My quest is simple, to work down through the many GOLD STOCKS and find a golder that would be comfortable to me to have a large bet with a payoff in 2-5 years. This unfortunately perforce excludes many of the stocks mentioned in your brainfart.

gg

ps. FMG is not a bl***y Gold stock neither.
 
i am VERY surprised to see ATM featured where it is ( i hold ATM) sure it produces gold ( and even retails it ) but is better known for the other resources it mines/processes
 
Thanks @Sean K ,

NST, WAF and GDX look interesting. WAF being a West African play doesn't fit in to my comfort zone, just a first look feeling. GDX brings the issues of being an ETF, but it would limit my risks. However I'm after a big bang with a common-sense stock and certainly I will look at all stocks mentioned and comment as I go.

Thanks all for your patience with me.

gg
 
Thanks divsie @divs4ever

These are more like the stocks in which I would be interested. GOR as you state keeps on coming up. Give me a mad @divsie minute or two please on GOR. What it is. Problems with it. Prospects. Actual real Ross Island Hotel Money for nothing and Chicks for free earnings and divies. Your experience with it, and don't mention FMG or any other stock.

A friend.

gg
 
i don't have a problem with GOR , in fact i hold a few , i just do not think it is at an attractive price yet ( not even for a medium size bite , in my opinion )

i used to have the same view as you on Africa , but the 'civilized world' is starting to fray , and suddenly places like Africa PNG aren't the
worst places on the map( investing-wise )

gold producers in general in Australia are going to face skill shortages and rising costs , in general 'high grade gold translates to difficult to mine ( other-wise 170 years of miners would have already dug it out and sold it ) so you are looking for about 2g a tonne but alluvial or reprocessing tailings dams and waste heaps ( easy digging , no extensive mine shafts )

i know it is mostly a silver play but keep an eye on SVL ( i don't hold ) especially if they delay the underground mining
 


So, no mad divsie minute on GOR ?

Just GOR.

GOR.

gg
 
So, no mad divsie minute on GOR ?

Just GOR.

GOR.

gg
have sent a PM with some research

but my concerns are not isolated to GOR but across the Australian gold-mining scene

there is a move across many producers to trim mining operation costs , some were switching from diesel power plants to gas-fired , but that apparently is not 'green enough ' so are being coerced to solar/wind/battery , that should be educational in northern Australia , in fact might have glitches in most of inland Australia , i will be also watching the move towards electric trucks ( but apparently not other heavy machinery ) in hostile conditions , but Australia also has a skilled worker deficit , everything from heavy vehicle drivers , to electricians etc etc etc , so one might expect high wage demands ( above real inflation rises ) as well as difficulty getting replacement arts in a timely manner , increasing plant down-times
 


i don't have a problem with GOR , in fact i hold a few , i just do not think it is at an attractive price yet ( not even for a medium size bite , in my opinion )

i used to have the same view as you on Africa , but the 'civilized world' is starting to fray , and suddenly places like Africa PNG aren't the
worst places on the map( investing-wise )

gold producers in general in Australia are going to face skill shortages and rising costs , in general 'high grade gold translates to difficult to mine ( other-wise 170 years of miners would have already dug it out and sold it ) so you are looking for about 2g a tonne but alluvial or reprocessing tailings dams and waste heaps ( easy digging , no extensive mine shafts )

i know it is mostly a silver play but keep an eye on SVL ( i don't hold ) especially if they delay the underground mining
Man oh man, the Australian Gold mining space as I go through it is a litany of disaster.





Thanks @finicky @divs4ever @anca @Sean K and many others in this thread and via DM for tips in the GOR, NEM and RRL threads, some not recent, of which I've quoted.

My question was what Gold stock Australian based and run on which to have a big bet with an investment time frame of a 2-5 years. However recent price action and developments in some of the Gold stocks has made me put my dacks and trousers back on and I'm out the window to run back home with my stack.

It appears that incompetence in hedging and in capital expenditure and ex, poor workforce management and an atrocious appetite for attracting litigation by some has led to a space which is dangerous for me to enter with a big bet. I had assumed that the steady appreciaton of the $AUD Gold price over the past 5 years would have given me the opportunity to hop on a Gold miner for 2-5 years with the expectation not necessarily of a huge win, but perhaps a moderate one, maybe even with decent divies thrown in.

I had concentrated on stocks that mostly dealt with Australian based operations, management and workforce or even Canada or somewhere I'd go to so's I'd get the fourth Mrs Gumnut a nice watch on my way through border security and RM Williams and the jewellery shops overseas run by the Chinese, Israeli, Middle Eastern and Indian cousins. I also avoided Africa like the plague in my thinking. No more. I will have to reset my thinking on that lazy big bet money I'd laid aside for a Golder.

As Divsie @divs4ever said ...

I used to have the same view as you on Africa , but the 'civilized world' is starting to fray , and suddenly places like Africa PNG aren't the worst places on the map( investing-wise

I might either look at American stocks or an ETF for my big Gold stock bet. I mean with the price of Gold going as it is, PMGOLD was $16 in 2019 for gawds sake and its $31 dollars now. You'd think the miners would have their act together.

Anyways. My rant done and I feel better and glad my stack is a stack and safe.

gg
 

I've started buying animals other than Kangaroos. New safe installed.

 
i have an (small ) order in @ $1.20 for GOR

i will not be heart-broken if i miss out

but gee gold miners seem to have found some problems , expanded too fast ( not enough cash/staff ) for some

others beset with weather events ( which surely they should have made some contingencies for ) seismic/geological events are harder to see coming

one might ask if you need to research 'top down' micro-analyze the highest levels of management and then move lower ( some managements don't seem to be able to make a profit even it they stole the gold bars from Perth Mint )

expect poor profits to be blamed on accelerating a 'zero-carbon'/automation agenda which is a wash because once they switch to CBDCs , who is going to use money ( or PMs ) for major transactions

you can't believe federal budgets now , imagine with no paper records to verify anything
 
Good evening
Gold is good and gold miners are good 10.00pm Thursday 1 February 2024...

For @Garpal Gumnut :
Price Chart 3-year comparison most interesting representation:

A change for the better triggered after achieving $2.50 bottom in mid 2022.
$5 mark not penetrated since April 2023 although good penetration through that $5 leader occurred in January 2023.

Latest 1/4erly and exploration update a pretty good read. rcw1 likes it. Have for a while now.
Not holding have traded.

 
Thanks @rcw1

GOR looks tasty for a slice of Gold Stock action atm.

But CMM looks tastier.

Both broke up today. Decisions. First world eh.

gg
 
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