In the US presentation ERA's chief executive Chris Salisbury said Ranger 3, which processes ore at 2.4 Mt per annum, is due to cease mining in 2012 though the processing life will go through to 2020.
ERA is 68.4% owned by Rio Tinto.
Whilst most of this thread seems to be fundamental in nature, has anyone noticed the year long
Aurum.
I don't currently hold and have no association with the linked site.
Hi Aurum,
I am not a chartist but I have noticed a clear trend line in the lows & highs
I have believe ERA was a good investment for about a year now - A lot of upside and very little down side -There will be significant profit increases probably for several years - given that the long term price of U is much higher than the average U price that todays profits are based on - and contracts being made now will affect profits upto 7 years from now (meaning they will finish then).
Very few companies have a floor of rising profits for several years - The rest is upside meaning that if the price of U just stays as it is - If ERA has any exploration success, if Jabilika moves forward Then ERA has more blue sky.
Most companys face the real prospect of their profits disappearing e.g Qantas if fuel prices go up, retailers if we have a recession - banks if the cost of finance goes up[/COLOR]
But ERA has a resource that won't disappear and a growing customer base that must buy (it very expensive to have reactors idle)
I admit I sound very pro-ERA but I have made criticisms e.g I wish there was more transparency with their contracts. - I am an investor however I only say it as I see it and welcome any opinions
Cheers,
Peteai
Hi Peteai, but does it have a short mine life?
Earnings and Dividends Forecast (cents per share)
2007 2008 2009 2010
EPS 41.7 53.1 125.2 182.6
DPS 20.0 29.0 67.8 108.0
thx
MS
Whilst most of this thread seems to be fundamental in nature, has anyone noticed the year long Ascending Triangle in the chart?
Aurum.
I don't currently hold and have no association with the linked site.
This stock has been smashed beyond the market and prices recently.
I can't recall seeing any negatory news. Anyone heard anything lately ?
Date: 13/10/2008
Author: David Ciampa
Source: The Australian Financial Review --- Page: 26
During the week commencing 13 October 2007, Energy Resources of Australia willannounce its 2008 third quarter operations review. Also during the week, the TenNetwork will report its annual results and Brickworks Investment Company willstage its annual meeting. RiverCity Motorway, which recently reported a $A37.6mprofit, will hold its AGM on 15 October
Crikey!! More than halved in 3 months. Disaster short term for the buy and hopers...eeeek!now below $10 on intraday trade when the general market is having a little uptwitch
Crikey!! More than halved in 3 months. Disaster short term for the buy and hopers...eeeek!
POU smashed down to $53 may be the answer, but aren't they hedged to the hilt with their forward contracts selling at about $20 a pound or something stupid.
What's the long term POU forecast anyone? Isn't it around the $90 mark? Maybe Cigar Lake has been miraculously drained?
Once they are inevitabley allowed to dig up Jabiluka I anticipate a significant re-rating.
Hmmmmm.
my understanding is that yes, they have had LT contracts for < $20 and ERA has been playing difficult with expiry date details of these but generally (a few months back) concensus was that a significant number of low price contracts expires this half of the year and more in first half of next
suspect the market was expecting these to be re-written at $80-90 but now sees this as highly unlikely - helluva dip though
As am I.
I can't see any reason to be long ERA. Still firmly in an almost year long downtrend, in a market that is showing a tendency to roll over on stocks in established downtrends. Seasonal mining difficulties coming up... in what looks to be a very wet wet season. Just a few reasons to get short... plus, ERA reacts badly to any market correction...
But there is both good and bad news. The good news being that this should only get to it's lower trend line. The bad news is, that trend line will be between 10 and 11 dollars if/ when it gets there.
A couple of T/A observations. I'm assuming we are in a corrective c of some sort. A symmetrical C should see this get to about 10.80. We also have quite an obvious and symmetrical H&S pattern just about complete. The breakdown target from that is in the low 12's. Another interesting thing, is that this has had almost no buying interest on dips. Volume just stays flat. Virtually no interest on up days of late either. All this points to a high probability of seeing ERA between about $12 and $11.
With the chance of a very good R:R trade on it.
Cheers.
P.S. - obviously I'm shorting it.
Miraculous recovery. Another stock that would have paid a handsome return with some courage to buy the capitulation hitting lower support. Or, you could have lost your pants. In retrospect, what a miss.
Media seem to be jumping back on the U bandwagon recently with a few reports of POU bottomed and recovering. ERA and PDN specifically mentioned as ok Aussie U plays.
http://www.news.com.au/business/story/0,27753,24867933-462,00.html
Scrip in Perth-based Black Range soared 40 per cent yesterday after it announced that Canadian mining giant Uranium One would help finance the development of its Taylor Ranch project in the US.
They probably wouldn't use ERA as such, but perhaps poach some key exploration staff from there or from Rossing. Or, start a new unit. I don't think ERA has done any exploration outside of Ranger and Jabiluka.Is Rio's announcement today clicky good news for ERA? As ERA is 60% owned by RIO it would make sense for them to use ERA for this exploration.
Is this a reasonable assumption or am I way off the mark.
Aurum.
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