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End of the China bull?

China no longer ordering investment funds to purchase equities . Zerohedge is reporting that they have told brokerages to somehow support the market but there isn't a source.
Instead, they have decided to go after financial reporters for publishing bad news. They've also decided to relax their foreign property ownership laws but I would be hard pressed to find anyone interested

Meanwhile, the VP of the Fed is saying that a rate hike is still on the cards and he's being supported by Carney (BOE). And here is where the CNY is going to end up in Australia:


Mercy, oh lord! ::
 
WOW who'd have thought that one journalist could have so much power over the markets!


We're not sure what stock market violations are, but they are really bad - If they make the dictatorship look bad or if a scapegoat is required.
 

Consumer prices are driven up by a small drop in the currency! Bit of a catch 22. Lower the currency to improve exports but that will starve out the people on food inflation if they take it much further.

So what to do? fellow brutalizes. Well if we drop interest rates we will have to spend a fortune keeping the currency from falling too far and making food affordable, so infrastructure build here we come!?
 

Until the leveraged debt can't be repaid with free cash flow, which has always been dodgy because they just get more loans ie ponzi. When the money supply increases by 20% a year it's got to go somewhere, or else! So the debt fueled gluts in everything from property to iron ore to steel etc are coming home to roost with global consequences.
 
Plus the chinese banks went to some lengths to disguise their true LtDR such as regarding some loans as investments or off bal sheet

Besides... They're still quite a bit away from the CBA's healthy and safe LtDR @ 134%

It's the biggest Ponzi in the world, apart from the US dollar?

So where did you get that figure for CBA? How do the other banks compare? They are forcing me to gold, again!
 
https://www.commbank.com.au/about-us/group-funding/credit-ratings-and-research.html
Page 6 on the S&P one, Fitch has some historical stuff too.

In general, Aus banks have been above 100% (high vs peers) for post GFC (don't have data for pre GFC)

Something is going on here I think, and it is directly related to China? There have been reports of a crackdown on capital outflows from Chinese citizens already having an impact on the Aus property market in the last month?

The really interesting thing is that I got a call from the CBA last week asking if I felt all warm and fuzzy about being a customer and would I like to get a better interest rate on my accounts. I've never had this before as I've usually been the one to ask for a discretionary rate above the official rates. Naturally I said yes and so got another half percent just like that, at call. I also got her direct cba email to have cozy chats with - my own private banker?? WT?

I also handle my parents accounts and was able to get 3.5% at call with St George no problems.

I wonder if this means that unofficial rates will have to rise to attract bank capital in absence of the foreign depositors? Until that is, the local demand for housing finance drops off a precipice when the bubble finally bursts?

It will be interesting at the end off the month when I tell her I'm going to withdraw my money to another bank....are depositors finally having the last laugh?
 
Unusual bearishness, given the hiding the Shanghai Composite has copped in recent months. My bolds.

 
Unusual bearishness, given the hiding the Shanghai Composite has copped in recent months. My bolds.

Logique these type of articles are nothing more than clickbait. It is impossible to draw the conclusion that a large put trade is a large bet on a fall. They are just as likely (more likely in fact) to be part of a mandated downside protection for a massive upside bet or any of 100 other non-directional derivative plays.
 
I'm sure you're right. Without the full details of their trading plan we're not really to know.

They might just be playing a spread, with Calls on the other side of the trade.
 

A yes the old 'low-amplitude credit event.' Remember them. No? Oh.

Maybe they mean low volume.
 

I've always said the Yuan wasn't worth the paper it was printed on and the Commi officials have always been the ones with the biggest printers.
The counting machine doesn't look at the notes too hard!!!!
 
Very well worth a listen!

Skip to about 5 mins for interesting.

Big China blues


 
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