Australian (ASX) Stock Market Forum

Electric cars?

Would you buy an electric car?

  • Already own one

    Votes: 10 5.1%
  • Yes - would definitely buy

    Votes: 43 21.9%
  • Yes - preferred over petrol car if price/power/convenience similar

    Votes: 78 39.8%
  • Maybe - preference for neither, only concerned with costs etc

    Votes: 37 18.9%
  • No - prefer petrol car even if electric car has same price, power and convenience

    Votes: 24 12.2%
  • No - would never buy one

    Votes: 14 7.1%

  • Total voters
    196
So far as charging electric vehicles and off-peak loads are concerned the big issue there is that with so much solar PV being installed (mostly on house roofs but also businesses and large scale solar power stations) things are changing.

In SA already the true off-peak period on a mild day occurs around lunch time not in the middle of the night. That's already a problem in some areas with SA Power Networks (the electricity distributor in SA) changing the off-peak hot water timers (which in SA are simply a timer at the switchboard, no remote control as in NSW and Qld) to turn on in the middle of the day. A "solar sponge" they call it.

Reason they're doing that is that without that additional load there are quite a lot of areas in SA which have now exceeded what the network can cope with so far as distributed solar generation is concerned. Nobody knows for sure how much potential household solar production is being lost due to over voltage issues in the grid but it's not zero, is increasing on an annualised basis literally every working day when more systems are installed, and would be even higher without that water heating load being turned on during the day.

Also there's a problem with wind farms being constrained in output in SA because there's nowhere for the power to go. Thermal generation (in practice gas) could be off loaded even further but only at the expense of system stability so that's not a good solution. The big battery will help a bit but it's nowhere near big enough to do the lot.

So running a conventional off-peak water heater is zero emissions on a mild sunny day or any day that is windy and not seriously hot. That's a very significant % of all days in SA.

Vic is the next state in line for that problem and is fast heading the same way. Not there yet but they're on the way certainly. In due course WA and NSW will get there too.

No problems of that nature are expected in the medium term in Qld or NT but it could happen someday.

Unlikely Tas will ever get to that point for a few reasons. Climate is one but the bigger factor is that we've got a pretty high capacity distribution network compared to other places and that's a consequence of the relative lack of gas usage combined with higher need for heating. Two thirds of all homes electrically heated, 90% with electric cooktops, virtually 100% with electric ovens and about 94% with either electric, heat pump or solar + electric hot water. Highest level of household consumption in the country and close to double that of states like Vic where gas is common. So the network will also cope with far higher levels of household solar than it will in places like Vic.

Back to electric vehicles and all this is a bit of a problem. Ideally we need to be charging them 10am - 3pm on typical days and doing so in residential areas not the city CBD. That's not going to work unless we radically change society to the point that "9 to 5" is considered shift work and most people work nights. Not likely to happen anytime soon.

Electric vehicle charging can be done certainly but I'm not convinced it's going to work as a means of leveling out demand in a serious way. To some extent yes but there are limitations.

Midday charging could be done by putting the infrastructure in place and that's not ridiculously expensive. That doesn't get that solar power out of the suburbs however.

Price is one thing that could modify consumer behaviour and both Tas and the NT are already onto that one. Appropriate times will vary between regions due to other influences on the grid but using the Tas example:

10am - 4pm and 9pm - 7am = go for it.

4pm - 9pm and 7am - 10am = hand over your wallet.....

Some other states also have various schemes like that but in general they're not designed taking EV's and solar into account and are best fitted to the world as it existed 10+ years ago where all supply was from centralised generation.
 
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Does scamjets make those sonic booms?

Read that Concord was in use while Boeing's version was abandoned because Boeing designed theirs to go across the US continent while Concord goes over the ocean.

Overland break windows and a few ear drums :D
.

By the way Iuutzu, they are called scram jets, not scam jets.

Scam jets,:roflmao: are those that some finance brokers use.
 
so if you use electricity to create the hydrogen, then burn the hydrogen in a turbine to create electric, do you have any idea what percentage of the original electricity you would lose? probably at least 90%.

what do you mean, a Tesla power wall will power your kitchen cook top, and your lights, your toaster, your tv, vacuum, iPhone, computer etc etc pretty much everything in your house, and you can charge it with solar panels on your roof, no need for a truck to deliver a load of flammable gas to you.

Here is a project house in Thailand, that apparently uses a hydrogen fuel cell/ solar system.
I think the technology is moving along at a sensible pace, unlike Tesla, which is really trying to force the technology.

https://www.curbed.com/2016/1/22/10844376/solar-powered-hydrogen-home-thailand

An extract from the article:

The main home and guest homes, topped with solar panels and green roofs for cooling and additional energy savings, generate power during the day, while also powering a hydrogen electrolyzer in a separate energy building on site, which splits hydrogen from water and stores the gas in a fuel cell. During the evening, or periods when the solar panels aren't generating electricity, the fuel cell then powers the compound. According to Jan-Justus Schmidt, an engineer working on the project, the electrolyzer achieves 80 percent efficiency, and oxygen and water are the only byproducts.
 
By the way Iuutzu, they are called scram jets, not scam jets.

Scam jets,:roflmao: are those that some finance brokers use.

Speaking of finance brokers and scams, read on Reuter today how the hot Chinese property market is fueled by massive frauds and scams. From buyer, sellers, lenders, brokers, agents...

So the gov't demand 30% deposit on purchases. With apartments going for some $US1M, that's a lot of dollars to put down upfront right?

So buyers and sellers, working with their agents, valuers would fake the purchase price... say put the sales price at $1.3M. The lenders would lend $1M and opps, what money down?

But of course you would need some cash deposit... that's where the specialised lenders come in. For 2% per month, they lend buyers the deposit needed... once the bank cleared the fund, the excess goes back to repaying the enterprising company that loaned the deposit.

In Australia... I don't know how so many people could have some $600K in equity. I mean, most I know purchased 2 or 3 houses/apartments... and some are thinking of upgrading into a fourth property in areas that goes for at least $2.5M. Is it just me or is a million isn't that much money anymore?

Man, the coming GFC will make the first one look like a warm-up.
 
So purpose built battery operated taxi, can do about 130 city klm's, it just isn't going to cut it. IMO
London is condensed and not spread out like Aussie cities, 130klm's in Perth would be two pick up and drop offs from the airport.
Obviously the solution will be to have extended range and/or charging stations at the taxi ranks.
 
Obviously the solution will be to have extended range and/or charging stations at the taxi ranks.

Tesla actually wants a share of the Tesla/Uber market.

Their goal is to have a driverless fleet of Taxi's, using a model similar to Uber, where any owner can put their car to work while they aren't using it.

As far as charging, driverless cars could charge themselves in between jobs.

Here is a Tesla designed automatic charger.

 
Was talking with Nick Radge this morning.
He has one (Tesla) absolutely loves it.
Tells me its a completely different ride

With constant torque

Evidently for another $8k you can get their Auto pilot pack
which means the car basically drives itself.

Now he will have to make his Driver redundant!
 
Evidently for another $8k you can get their Auto pilot pack
which means the car basically drives itself.

Check this out, the guy in the drivers seat is only there for legal reasons, he doesn't touch any controls, and the car drives him from home to work.

This level of autopilot isn't unlocked yet, but its coming, regulations just need to catch up.

But Teslas will currently autopilot down freeways etc with the current autopilot pack.

 
In the truck announcement, Elon said his "Mega chargers" for the trucks are going to have a guaranteed price of 7cents per KWH, because he is going to power them with Solar panels and Tesla power packs.

But, do you think Oil is going to stay cheap? electricity with its multiple sources will continue to be the cheapest energy source, (Australia's current issues are political, not engineering issues)

----------------

Listen at the 7 minute mark, he talks about guaranteeing electricity charges.



Pepsi Co has pre ordered 100 Tesla trucks, I guess they like the Idea of running their bottles of drink around town a on zippy electric truck.

 
So far as charging electric vehicles and off-peak loads are concerned the big issue there is that with so much solar PV being installed (mostly on house roofs but also businesses and large scale solar power stations) things are changing.

In SA already the true off-peak period on a mild day occurs around lunch time not in the middle of the night. That's already a problem in some areas with SA Power Networks (the electricity distributor in SA) changing the off-peak hot water timers (which in SA are simply a timer at the switchboard, no remote control as in NSW and Qld) to turn on in the middle of the day. A "solar sponge" they call it.

Reason they're doing that is that without that additional load there are quite a lot of areas in SA which have now exceeded what the network can cope with so far as distributed solar generation is concerned. Nobody knows for sure how much potential household solar production is being lost due to over voltage issues in the grid but it's not zero, is increasing on an annualised basis literally every working day when more systems are installed, and would be even higher without that water heating load being turned on during the day.

Also there's a problem with wind farms being constrained in output in SA because there's nowhere for the power to go. Thermal generation (in practice gas) could be off loaded even further but only at the expense of system stability so that's not a good solution. The big battery will help a bit but it's nowhere near big enough to do the lot.

So running a conventional off-peak water heater is zero emissions on a mild sunny day or any day that is windy and not seriously hot. That's a very significant % of all days in SA.

Vic is the next state in line for that problem and is fast heading the same way. Not there yet but they're on the way certainly. In due course WA and NSW will get there too.

No problems of that nature are expected in the medium term in Qld or NT but it could happen someday.

Unlikely Tas will ever get to that point for a few reasons. Climate is one but the bigger factor is that we've got a pretty high capacity distribution network compared to other places and that's a consequence of the relative lack of gas usage combined with higher need for heating. Two thirds of all homes electrically heated, 90% with electric cooktops, virtually 100% with electric ovens and about 94% with either electric, heat pump or solar + electric hot water. Highest level of household consumption in the country and close to double that of states like Vic where gas is common. So the network will also cope with far higher levels of household solar than it will in places like Vic.

Back to electric vehicles and all this is a bit of a problem. Ideally we need to be charging them 10am - 3pm on typical days and doing so in residential areas not the city CBD. That's not going to work unless we radically change society to the point that "9 to 5" is considered shift work and most people work nights. Not likely to happen anytime soon.

Electric vehicle charging can be done certainly but I'm not convinced it's going to work as a means of leveling out demand in a serious way. To some extent yes but there are limitations.

Midday charging could be done by putting the infrastructure in place and that's not ridiculously expensive. That doesn't get that solar power out of the suburbs however.

Price is one thing that could modify consumer behaviour and both Tas and the NT are already onto that one. Appropriate times will vary between regions due to other influences on the grid but using the Tas example:

10am - 4pm and 9pm - 7am = go for it.

4pm - 9pm and 7am - 10am = hand over your wallet.....

Some other states also have various schemes like that but in general they're not designed taking EV's and solar into account and are best fitted to the world as it existed 10+ years ago where all supply was from centralised generation.


Electric vehicles could work as a "solar sponge" as you say, adding to the flexibility of hot water systems to take peak loads, sure a lot of cars are away during the day, but a lot of cars would be home also during the day also, eg retired folk, people that work from home, shift workers, house wives/husbands, not to mention the charging at work places.
 
My guess is, if you were going to go battery electric vehicle, you would install a dedicated solar charger for the car only.
Then use subsidised power, from suppliers promoting battery electric, when not at home.
 
My guess is, if you were going to go battery electric vehicle, you would install a dedicated solar charger for the car only.
Then use subsidised power, from suppliers promoting battery electric, when not at home.

No real need to over think it with dedicated chargers etc, You just plug the car into you home power supply and charge it, if you want solar you get a normal solar system and just charge the car during the day, if you want a battery you just add a battery to you solar system.

This Guy shows how all three work seamlessly together on the Tesla app.

Watch at the 2.30 Mark, and you will see his car charging using solar / battery, with the fluctuations being either drawn from or distributed to the grid.

 


The cloned love child of Marty Feldman and Roman Polanski is worth the ticket of admmission .

Not that far back I was a close associate of an employee of Ford Australia. He worked in of their more profitable sectors, Finiance...
To wit...
If my fuel cost is currently 'X' and I can utilise that expeadiataed cost against the purchase price of a new vehicle in repayments, dependent on my,circumstances i.e, input costs; grid V solar (or whatever). The less you spend on fuel the more you can spend on the purchace price of the car/vehical.....
What is it that financiaL insto's make a quid out of again?

excuse me spelll check is not wanking
 
Yes Orr it's bit sad when spell check fails. I have to rely on uncertain memory as well..

But back to electic cars. This story is exciting. Double the range of electric batteries with a change in Cathodes on Lithium iron batteries ?


A Breakthrough Energy Storage Discovery For Electric Vehicles
Did you know that it’s possible to double the range of today’s electric vehicles? No, really! The current crop of lithium-ion batteries use just half of their theoretical capacity, so there is much room for improvement.

https://cleantechnica.com/2017/12/19/death-oil-scientists-eyeball-2x-ev-battery-range/
 
That clean technica site is excellent. There is a great article on a new electric van project that also incorporates solar charging and energy managment across a fleet of vans. Well worth a read.

The system is operational.


Chanje Electric Van = Serious Fleet Industry Game Changer (CleanTechnica Review, Part 1)
December 19th, 2017 by Nicolas Zart

chanje_logo-e1511866901731-270x224.pngOver at CleanTechnica, we’re always excited to see something new, something smart, and something designed clean from the ground up. Enter center stage, the Chanje electric van. The Chanje electric van is a serious fleet industry game changer in more ways than seems obvious.

We caught more than a glimpse at the Los Angeles Auto Show. We got a test drive of the Chanje electric van and conducted a great interview with Chanje’s Joerg Sommer, COO, and Ian Televik, Director of Marketing. We can safely say that the Chanje is a game changer for the fleet industry.

Quick specs:

    • 70kWh battery pack
    • 100-mile range (with half payload onboard) Note: Chanje tested with a half payload. The average customer starts with a full van at the beginning of their route and ends with an empty van at the end. A half payload is an average for van, similar to the EPA approach for passenger cars.
    • 564 lb-ft torque
    • 198 hp
    • Designed as an EV from the ground up
Chanje is A Serious Fleet Industry Game Changer
The Chanje electric van will meet the needs of many fleet owners. It will also help them transition efficiently into the electric mobility game. And the Chanje will morph into various platforms, including a shuttle bus and a people mover. I can see it as the electric answer for our friend’s family of 7 children needs as well.

Screen-Shot-2017-08-13-at-9-570x284.png

Before we go on, note that there are few vehicle makers that design EVs from scratch, while others convert regular vehicles to electric drive. A newer concept is that of “one platform fits all” drivetrains where manufacturers can adjust to market demands. All have pros and cons.

As far as the Chanje is concerned, the EV was designed electric from the ground up. Chanje wanted to bring a vehicle to the market that answers the modern needs of fleet owners. Simply put, yesterday’s technology can’t meet fleet owners’ budgets anymore. Higher gas costs and diesel maintenance make it harder for them to keep profits at a healthy level. In order to help fleet owners, a few manufacturers have converted their existing platforms to electrify the vehicles. Chanje built an electric van to meet those needs head-on, bypassing any needs to convert and fiddle with a gasoline van.

Designed with high-volume production in mind, it will start production next year with small, mid, and large size fleet options.
https://cleantechnica.com/2017/12/1...try-game-changer-cleantechnica-review-part-1/
 
Elon is starting to sound a bit like a CEO, of a struggling company, long on promises and short on outcomes.

https://www.drive.com.au/motor-news....html?trackLink=SMH0?trackLink=SMH0?ffref=smh

the worrying part of the article is this:
But Tesla’s primary focus for now is boosting production of its Model 3, which had over 500,000 pre-orders yet delivered just 220 models last quarter. It comes on the back of Tesla’s biggest ever quarterly loss announcement but it plans to ramp up production of the small sedan to 5000 units per month by March next year.
I will be suprised, if Tesla aren't overtaken by mainstream manufacturers, who can supply the product.
Even if they ramp up production to 5,000 per month, it is still a long time to wait for a car.
It will be a shame if he disappears, without full filling the promise, but he has done a lot for the electrification of the auto industry.
 
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