We aren't concerned with whether the situation is worse frog, we're concerned with how whatever's going on effects markets.A small remark:
If i got the virus last month and hardly cough like 75% of infected, and get tested tomorrow, i will return a positive.
The positive cases number will jump, good for catastrophic headlines but otherwise,is the situation really worse?
So is @over9k view based on facts or on news headlines?
Does not matter, I agree in term of. Investment success, effects on shopping centre attendance etc but is fundamental in both damages to the economy and detection of the end of the virus trends
As i said elsewhere, Europe population has restarted.. different from govs, which make it harder to impose even basic common sense prevention .
The biggest scam but still based on a serious decease that we should at least minimise.
Please read again my post, i mean read..even with my foreign mistakesWe aren't concerned with whether the situation is worse frog, we're concerned with how whatever's going on effects markets.
I've quite deliberately refrained from posting my personal opinion(s) about the outbreak itself.
Please read again my post, i mean read..even with my foreign mistakes
Just to highlight
So is @over9k view based on facts or on news headlines?
Does not matter, I agree in term of. Investment success, effects on shopping centre attendance etc but is fundamental in both damages to the economy and detection of the end of the virus trends
Pretty clear i though
So the whole post is about looking not at numbers of infections but media coverage to determine and judge the economics impacts and way to profit from it.
100pc what this very thread is supposed to be, no?
A small remark:
If i got the virus last month and hardly cough like 75% of infected, and get tested tomorrow, i will return a positive.
The positive cases number will jump, good for catastrophic headlines but otherwise,is the situation really worse?
I'm saying it doesn't matter if the situation is actually worse or not and we're not here to discuss it either way. We're only here to discuss how to make money from whatever happens.
No one would be a candidate if you went on infection spikes and community spread.Thanks @SirRumpole.
Some things are rather obvious: neither the USA nor Brazil appear candidates for an open economy using "deaths" as the criterion.
However, the third question is, imho, the key. I regard the trend in "positive cases" as more important. My view is that unless you can keep the lid on positive numbers, then community confidence becomes a natural suppressor of economic activity. I hold that view for Australia, but not for the USA and a few other countries where "fake news" is de rigueur.
Your claims are again not supported by data, showing you are again making false claims.Believe me it does, which is why europe is over, as is US btw if you look at the death curve,
and Brazil and Australia getting worse
Brazil in winter is not all copa cabana...
True in part.I'm saying it doesn't matter if the situation is actually worse or not and we're not here to discuss it either way. We're only here to discuss how to make money from whatever happens.
As my epidemiologist friend says, correlation not causation.Look at location of cluster in italy france and spain, how do you explain it
And as for actual research:
Maximum contamination is achieved is cold ( but not frozen ) humid environment
Aka winter..but not in qld
Plenty of real research there.i posted a link ages ago.
Condition incidentally reproduced in slaughterhouses which are often prime targets.
You can get the flu in summer, you can get covid in summer but it will have a lower R factor
Obviously summer in Oslo or winter in Cairns , differ from winter in Edinburgh or summer in Dubai.
All that info freely available for who cares to look.
To be honest, really sick of fighting propaganda with facts.
Not specifically you Gg.
DYOR or just repeat after me
"We are doomed unless we lockdown, but a vaccine will save us before the end of year, and the US is a slaughterhouse because of Trump"
I'd suggest you take up darts, mate.stats, not immunology is the rule maker:
https://idpjournal.biomedcentral.com/articles/10.1186/s40249-020-00708-0
and that is just an easy search which can be easily correlated to actual weather pattern in Europe ..but probably a coincidence I am sure
Note that is not the article I initially linked as that article was giving actual temp range and moisture level affecting transmission
of course if someone cough on you for 1h in a dry and hot weather, that will probably not be enough to spare you..
And are you surprised by the resurgence in Melbourne Sydney now? I am not just surprised Tasmania was not affected earlier more than it was, and SA is still clear it seems..will come
I think hospitalisation rates are the most important.I think the positivity rate is the most important leading figure... @ducati, what is your source for those numbers?
and I suggest to keep safe in NQ GG, do not travel south until september.I'd suggest you take up darts, mate.
gg
link to study added if you are really interested in knowing, you should, we are actually much safer here in QLD, and not because of the clown in our state gov.As my epidemiologist friend says, correlation not causation.
gg
Your link has not shown that that the reproduction rate is different when temperatures increase.stats, not immunology is the rule maker:
https://idpjournal.biomedcentral.com/articles/10.1186/s40249-020-00708-0
and that is just an easy search which can be easily correlated to actual weather pattern in Europe ..but probably a coincidence I am sure
Note that is not the article I initially linked as that article was giving actual temp range and moisture level affecting transmission
of course if someone cough on you for 1h in a dry and hot weather, that will probably not be enough to spare you..
And are you surprised by the resurgence in Melbourne Sydney now? I am not just surprised Tasmania was not affected earlier more than it was, and SA is still clear it seems..will come
Thanks mate.link to study added if you are really interested in knowing, you should, we are actually much safer here in QLD, and not because of the clown in our state gov.
We all know where that leads though.Thanks mate.
I don't follow health links unfortunately. I ask my doctor if I'm worried.
The main message in this Coronavirus thingo should be :
DO WHAT YOU ARE TOLD
One of the deficiencies of democracy, unlike in totalitarian states like China, is that one cannot take muppets out behind a wall and shoot them if e.g they don't perform as guards at Quarantine hotels nor indeed if said muppets have broken quarantine.
After the first one or two dozen were shot everybody would social distance and stick to quarantine and not whinge and .....
Do what they are told.
gg
Like the good ole USA which will be economically stuffed and lose it's first mover advantage.We all know where that leads though.
Democracy is the worst form of government we have, except all the others.
But back to economic consequences of the virus...
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