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Skate.
Dump it Here
- Thread starter Skate
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Skate.
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Skate.
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The Zebra Strategy
When the positions below are executed the strategy will have its 20 positions.
Old Format
Next week there will be a new format
The new format will be the Exploration signals generated each week for the educational value of those who are new to trading to follow along. These signals will be posted on Saturday well in advance of Mondays open.
New weekly format
Weekly results
Weekly trading results will be posted as usual on Friday. (after the close of trade)
Skate.
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Thanks @Skate for that exercise:
What did I get from both Action and cat runs?
Action: has been reassurance vs my own live strategy: relatively similar in behaviour and overall money gaining.
Happy cat: guiding hand into actually increasing the sheer $amount within a single strategy: I now have allowed similar amount $100k in my strategies
Happy cat:
behaved quite differently from my current strategy in term of exit, entryor when I was in buy lock etc; the beauty is that by "kind of "(1d delay) following Mr Skate, I have a whole set of fully recorded buy sell orders overly successful I can now use against my own systems.
Will be priceless during the next development.
So thanks a lot for that learnings:
triggering first the motivation in 2019 to restart systems,
then helping into the commitment and then reinsurance; removing the panic during bad days, and keeping modesty when a great week is here
Now what do I do with my happy cat portfolio: do i liquidate all, a clean slate;
do I keep the parcels I have buy signal for in my other systems and only sell my sell signals;
after all wouldn't it be silly to have both a buy and a sell on the same shares on Monday?
will we have too many people selling the same shares at the same time and are we going to influence the market?
I have no clear answer .Will make a decision by Monday
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@qldfrog now that's a good point. I appreciate your predicament as what to do next with the HappyCat Strategy.
As a suggestion
It appears you have a sizable investment & others may as well. As a suggestion, I'll supply the raw weekly signals on Saturday mornings. The "Equity" line chart will be posted on Fridays as usual to visualise its ongoing progress. I'll do this as an educational exercise for those more seasoned readers.
FYI
I'll still be trading this strategy. I was starting to clog the "Dump it thread" with so many graphics.
This will be an example of my Friday HappyCat post
This will be a sample of the Exploration Analysis Signals (Saturday)
As an educational exercise - posting raw signals on a Saturday will give everyone the chance to look at the charts before the opening of the market on a Monday.
Will this be beneficial to you?
I don't want anyone following my systems to be left in the lurch.
Skate.
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Thanks for the attention.that will allow some of us to delay decision-making.i have too many shiraz and visitors lately with the silly season to think clearly
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Hey Skate. I noticed that you have a 'stale' stop after 4 bars? Is this more like an initial stop? Any clues as to what the stale stop is? Thanks
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@investtrader the StaleStop is a combination of 3 exit conditions. (using the "OR" feature)
The StaleStop
(a) The StaleStop exits after a certain number of bars when there is a loss in momentum.
(b) The StaleStop also will execute after a percentile drop of the ROC filter over a "nPeriod" from the High of the entry price. (the buy price)
(c) A simple GMMA exit (simple & effective) without going into detail it's. Basically its a cross of the average of Guppy's Multiple Moving Average (Average of the slow guppy crossing the average of the fast guppy)
Skate.
Likewise. But I will forge ahead regardless.I intend on still following on with the HappyCat strat if the signals are going to still be provided, for educational purposes of course.
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Hey Skate,
Thanks that is very helpful. I have code where I played around with a Guppy cross as a buy signal , but not as a sell. Also plyed with a loss of momentum as a sell, but never happy with any of it. Something to work on. Always tinkering when I have time.
Cheers
Gary
Thanks that is very helpful. I have code where I played around with a Guppy cross as a buy signal , but not as a sell. Also plyed with a loss of momentum as a sell, but never happy with any of it. Something to work on. Always tinkering when I have time.
Cheers
Gary
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I'd be grateful for a chance to continue learning and trading along on Happy Cat too please Skate if you decide to do so.
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@Newt, it's done & dusted as I'll be posting the ongoing results on a Friday & my signals on a Saturday. I remember a few members contacted me privately me when they missed the opportunity of trading along with the Action Strategy. If you didn't follow the Action Strategy from the getgo you were restricted from joining in as the weekly signals were never shown.
The HappyCat & Panda Strategies
Both strategies now have 20 positions restricting new readers from joining in to learn "or" have a bit of fun experiencing trading first hand. By supplying signals it allows (a) those who are invested to stay invested & (b) anyone can join in at any time in the future. Also having live performance figures posted may be the catalyst to have a go. Meaning if any wanted to dip their toe in the water, it's a perfect opportunity.
The HappyCat Strategy
Starting the HappyCat this week there are 3 buy signals to get someone started & there will be more next week.
The Zebra Strategy
If starting with the Zebra Strategy this week there are 5 buy signals to get someone started & there will be more next week. If someone misses following along (a) this week they can start fresh next week, or (b) the week after. Otherwise, they can be involved by just watching along each week.
For new members
I'll do a separate post to explain how I trade Exploration Signals in the pre-market.
Skate.
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@Warr87, correct.
Below is this week's HappyCat Exploration signals
If you need to buy two positions buy the first two as the signals have been PositioScored (ranked in order). Those with the full complement of positions (20) there is nothing to action this week.
This week - HappyCat Exploration Analysis Signals
Skate.
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The information below relates to a $100k Portfolio with (20) X $5,000 bets.
The comments go somewhat to explain what each area of the Amibroker Exploration Analysis relates to.
Suggestion
As this is a $100k portfolio (20 X $5k bets). The number of shares to buy at the Buy offer equals the bet size of $5,000.
What if I only have $10,000 to invest?
Simply divide $10,000 by 20 positions. It's still a 20 position portfolio (20 X $500 bets). Alternative you can have a 10 position portfolio at $1,000 bet size (it's up to you)
How do I work out have many shares to buy for $500?
The buying price is the closing price plus a 3% premium to the last closing price.
Example (1) to work out the Offer Price, multiply the closing price by 1.03 = the offer price in the pre-auction. So if the closing price is $1.00 ($1.00 X 1.03) = $1.03 is the Offer Price.
Example (2) If the last closing price is $3.00 ($3.00 X 1.03) = $3.09 the Offer Price.
So how many shares do I buy if I have a $500 bet size - purchasing (NHC)?
Divided $500 by the offer price of $1.46 (500 / 1.46 = 342 shares) total investment = $499.32 - if the +3% premium is fully exercised, plus commission.
Skate.
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@Skate just a quick question and maybe this should not be directed to you but to the readers of your thread who are looking for education by following your trades.
Question - What are you learning when Skate publishes a list of Exploration Signals ?
1. Are you reverse engineering trades on a chart to see conditions for entry / exit?
2. Are you learning how to place a trade with your broker?
3. Are you not learning anything at all and just blindly following a good system trader?
4. Other?
I don't really like posting anything that can be deemed negative or condescending but I do truly wonder what people are learning here as I will be honest that I look at option 1 and only option 1 to see how my system(s) can be improved.
@Skate I believe that I have said this before but I will say it again - I do really appreciate your work and giving back to the members of ASF, as I have learnt a lot and while you keep posting I will continue to learn so thanks again.
Cheers
Trav
Question - What are you learning when Skate publishes a list of Exploration Signals ?
1. Are you reverse engineering trades on a chart to see conditions for entry / exit?
2. Are you learning how to place a trade with your broker?
3. Are you not learning anything at all and just blindly following a good system trader?
4. Other?
I don't really like posting anything that can be deemed negative or condescending but I do truly wonder what people are learning here as I will be honest that I look at option 1 and only option 1 to see how my system(s) can be improved.
@Skate I believe that I have said this before but I will say it again - I do really appreciate your work and giving back to the members of ASF, as I have learnt a lot and while you keep posting I will continue to learn so thanks again.
Cheers
Trav
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I posted my own lessons learnt from Mr @Skate posted trade system.
Change along time as i became more "experienced"
Motivation by example
Then dedication
Then bolstering confidence
And lately building a set of buy sell history used as you hint for reverse engineering.
Not that I expect or aim at retrieving Mr Skate formula, but give me test cases to improve/ followso nowadays your option 1 and confidence by number should we hit the proverbial. Lemmings effect?
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I just do not see how i could improve my systems without comparison and just having someone quoting " i made xxx% this year " does not help whereas real unfake trials like these are priceless.and so far even returning some $
No negative
Hi Skate & others, Following on Trav's question regarding Skate's follow along strategies and opportunities for learning. I am new to trading during 2020 and while I haven't posted much as yet, I have been reading throughout the year and have found Skate and many of the other contributors to be most helpful. I haven't followed the strategies as not all the stocks in a strategy fit my own ethical comfortabilities regarding some of the companies. However, I still have been trying to study and understand the rationale regardless of wether I would personally purchase the stock. I think as a new trader/investor, watching how long the trades are allowed to stand has been invaluable, my own early trades were sometimes the right buy, but then I sometimes panicked at the slightest drop, fearing a crash. Consequently, I missed out on some healthy profits due to fear. This has been a privilege to watch many of you trade and explain what your rationale has been. I continue to learn and find my own comfort level. So thankyou. Craig
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