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Dump it Here

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The ambitions of China
China's national rejuvenation has become a historical inevitability. The relentless rise of China, & its state governance model, within the globalized system, presents an immense structural challenge to the “liberal international order” that has prevailed for nearly a century, as led by the “United States”. This shift & COVID has affected my trading results over the last couple of years & I assume it has been for many others.

The slow decline of the West
The United States & China will have the greatest influence on global dynamics, supporting competing visions of the international system & governance that reflect their core interests & ideologies.

The Party’s stated role is to “educate & guide” entrepreneurs
Xi Jinping recently said, “Today’s world is changing, it is a world in which new opportunities & new challenges keep emerging, a world in which the international system & international order are going through deep adjustment & a world in which the relative international forces are in profound shift with the slow decline of the West.”

I was shocked to watch this video today


Skate.
 
Skate said:
@MovingAverage, yes, I knew that your index filter (buy filter) was off.

Skate.
Click to expand...
This is what raised my interest in your recent Efficiency Ratio posts. I just use the old faithful "close above or below the MA of the index" to turn the system on or off. While I haven't spent much time researching more efficient techniques I'm sure a more efficient index filter would yield overall performance improvements
 
Let me guess…Fox News doesn’t like democrats ?
 
MovingAverage said:
Let me guess…Fox News doesn’t like democrats ?
Click to expand...
took a free-kick at those that promise ( and rarely deliver ) on a long term problem ( the Democrats ) but in reality FOX and NWS only care about clicks ( eyes watching ) , this will all be forgotten when a new headline appears ( by everybody )
 
Skate said:
The graphic of the homeless in the YouTube video was disturbing
The whole world is going through a profound shift with most western societies in slow decline was the point of the post. China portrays an alternative.

Skate.
Click to expand...
The divide between the haves and have nots is getting depressingly wider
 
Skate said:
Xi Jinping recently said, “Today’s world is changing, it is a world in which new opportunities & adjustment a profound shift with the slow decline of the West.”
Click to expand...

China has poverty
The USA has poverty & social problems. The footage of the homeless was an eye-opener, verging on being disturbing. The Youtube video was not meant to be political but to highlight how western democracies are in deep decline.

MovingAverage said:
The divide between the haves and have nots is getting depressingly wider
Click to expand...

Civil unrest, disobedience & lack of respect is on the rise. Also, @MovingAverage nailed it as the divide between the "haves & have nots" is getting wider. Love or hate China it's something they are addressing.

Skate.
 
Skate said:
The Youtube video was not meant to be political but to highlight how western democracies are in deep decline.
Click to expand...

Not wanting to get overly political (one of the things I like about this thread is that for the most part politics doesn't take over) but I remember many many decades ago Jeff Kennett was commenting on the rot that was setting into western society and he lamented that the rise of US style individualism (individual rights prevailing over what is better for society at large) was an emerging cancer. I still think about Kennett's comment today and believe that it underpins a lot of the decline we are seeing in certain western countries.
 
MovingAverage said:
The divide between the haves and have nots is getting depressingly wider
Click to expand...
but this is different now from 20 or 40y ago, before it was between the 20% and 80%, now it is between the 0.001% and the rest; we are de facto in a feudal society with the left clamming taxes and being happy of seizing assets from the disappearing middle and former old class and replacing them by a multinational elite, stateless managing the rest, with their own cops (gov. peons)
That is the Reset..ironically a twisted rotten socialism merging with cronyism .
Where did this come from, in my opinion from the seed dropped by the former USSR who contaminated the teachers and classical left in the 1970's then brainwashed generations after generations until we reach this tribal racist and sexist world of equality of outcome madness, sometimes average among generation, as your ancestors were better off, we should be better off to be "fair" etc;
The west is dead and after 3y in China, we have not a chance.i just hope Russia will survive as this leaves some chance to get back the democratic dream
not the std view I know but the std right and left idealogies do not apply anymore
 
wait until the faithful peons realize the replacement robots/drones/AI is rushing to make them obsolete
 
divs4ever said:
wait until the faithful peons realize the replacement robots/drones/AI is rushing to make them obsolete
Click to expand...
I pity these leftist feminist zlgbt etc supporters of the Reset:
historically, they are the first to be garotted once the takeover of society is a done deal;
look at trotskyists after the Soviet revolution, or Robespierre during the french revolution, same during Pol Pot or Mao power runs...
 
ah-ha , i read a fair bit of ( alternate ) history as well , could get interesting ( whoops , i mean entertaining )

i believe the Nazis ( who were Nationalist Socialists ) had a little purge party as well
 
Intriguing story. Who came in to turn the US stock exchange around ?

How Yesterday's Miraculous Market Rebound Prevented A Massive Crash​


by Tyler Durden
Tuesday, Jan 25, 2022 - 03:15 PM
We previously discussed how a mystery put-selling whale emerged just around noon on Monday...

... and helped reverse a historic rout of nearly 5% in the Nasdaq, which then attracted a frenzy of retail dip-buying momentum chasers, who reversed near-record selling in the first half of the day to near-record buying in the second half.


ZeroHedge

ZeroHedge - On a long enough timeline, the survival rate for everyone drops to zero
www.zerohedge.com
 

Thanks, @basilio for getting the "Dump it here" thread back on track. In retrospect, it was a poor choice of subject matter to reinforce "my" point of view that COVID & China's national rejuvenation program in conjunction with the decline of western societies (that China sees as a weakness) adds uncertainty to global markets. The video was visual proof of the decline of the USA.

“The Land of the Free & the Home of the Brave”
Reflecting on Australia Day, how does the history of the U.S. national anthem reflect the country’s long struggle with racial, economic, gender inequality? - Now add civil disobedience, civil unrest & epidemic homeless to that mix "reflects the true direction" of today's society. Don't get me wrong we are not "lily whites" when it comes to the issue we have, "our nationalism" is also in decline.

Tolerance & Respect
Two words have gone missing (AWOL) over the last few decades. We need to bring them both back & apply them in spades. That alone will help rebuild our society, inch by inch.

Skate.
 
Think Kennett was on the wrong track. Increasing socialism is the emerging cancer that's eroding western democracies. This was the underlying message in Carlson's piece. Probably worth reading Hayek's "The Road To Serfdom", compelling insights. The wealth divide is largely a consequence of fiscal and monetary policies (MMT) supporting increasing government intervention in social policy, the central planning model. Without massive handouts funded by borrowed money, we would see more homeless on the streets of Australia also. Borrowing billions to do the politically expedient thing may win/retain votes, but just shifts the repayment burden onto future generations.
 
peter2 said:
IMHO this needs a cleanup already, @Joe Blow
Click to expand...

The "Dump it here" thread has gone off-topic
With the thread being quiet & to appease @othmana86 I made the remark that the shift in China & the emergence of COVID has affected my trading results over the last couple of years. I'm not saying it's the only reason but "global uncertainly" has weighed heavily on the markets.

Trend Trading
My trading style is "systematic trend trading" & those who also trade "trends" would be negatively affected (IMO). Before making the post about the decline of democratic societies & the U.S. as the example I made (6) previous posts about staying the course if you have conviction & faith in your trading strategy. From there the thread spiraled off course quickly. @peter2 is absolutely correct - the "Dump it here" thread is not the place for idle chit-chat or a thread to discuss "subjects" other than trading.

Skate.
 
Trading is hard
Trading successfully is hard, REALLY hard, which is why the majority of people who try to make money from trading fail.

Communication is so difficult
It's extremely hard to get a point across so others understand when the topic has any degree of complexity or subtlety. Once you get a handle on the subject there are a hundred assumptions that need to be unpacked & just as many terms that need to be defined in detail. To express an alternative view it takes time to understand what is being present, that's why speed reading is the killer of trading education.

Skate.
 
Have you ever reversed the signals?
Technical Analysis is based on trends, "well to be truthful" all trading is based on trends & Technical Analysis (my preferred method of trading) is basically chart based studies of trading volume & price. By analysing past prices & volume we attempt not to measure a security's intrinsic value, but instead, use charts & other tools to identify patterns that can suggest future activity.

Assumption trading
We are working on the assumption that the past performance gives us a glimpse "an indication" of future performances by revealing the actual buying & selling decisions of other market participants.

Trend trading is trading with the herd
As "Trend trading" has notoriously a low strike rate (win/loss ratio) can it be reversed by swapping the buy & sell signals? (is it as simple as that?)

Skate.
 
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