Australian (ASX) Stock Market Forum

CVN - Carnarvon Energy

RE: L20/50 ONSHORE BLOCK THAILAND - AWARD
Sun Resources NL (“Sun Resources”) and Carnarvon Petroleum NL (“Carnarvon”) have
received official notification from the Thai Department of Mineral Fuels (“DMF”) of the
award of onshore block L20/50 and in turn have accepted the block award from the DMF.
It is anticipated that contractual documentation for the block between the joint venture and
the Thai government will be signed latter this month in Bangkok. Following the formal
signing, Carnarvon as Operator, will commence block exploration activities.
Background to Block L20/50
The L20/50 block is a 3,947 km² block area located in the southern portion of the
Phitsanulok Basin, refer Figure page 2. The Phitsanulok Basin contains the largest
onshore oil and gas accumulation in onshore Thailand, the Sirikit Field, which is on trend
with the southern adjacent L20/50 block. The field was brought onto production in 1981
and to date has produced ~180 million barrels of oil. Current daily production approximates
20,000 barrels of oil, 50-55 million cubic feet of gas and 275 tonnes of LPG. Reserves in
excess on 200 million barrels of oil remain to be produced by advanced recovery
processes under the current high oil price regime.
The L20/50 block has been very lightly explored with the last effort in a time of low oil
prices in the early 1980s. There is the possibility of near term cash flow from a re-drill or
work over of an old shut in well in the block. This well was not brought on production at the
then time of prevailing low oil prices because it required artificial lift to bring the oil to
surface and this higher cost production methodology was not considered by the operator.
Carnarvon, as Operator of the L20/50 block, plans to fast track exploration to reach an
early drilling decision on the block. A similar exploration philosophy will be applied to
exploration on the block in a basin that is a direct geological analogue to the Phetchabun
Basin lying ~50 kilometres to the east of the L20/50 block. Carnarvon and its joint venture
partner Pan Orient Energy have been extremely successful in the Phetchabun Basin in the
last 12 - 18 months in exploring new play concepts, particularly the fractured volcanic play
in the basin. Exploration success here from new field discoveries in the environs of their
Wichian Biri Field has seen production rise from less than 50 to greater than 6,000 barrels
of oil per day.
\\SUNRES01\Users\Jmv\My Documents\Sun Resources NL\ASX\Thailand L20 50 Block Award 40108.Doc
2.
Dr Brad Farrell, Executive Chairman of Sun Resources commented:
“The official award of highly prospective block L20/50 has been made and accepted by the
joint venture. Sun Resources looks forward to the commencement of an aggressive
exploration program under Carnarvon’s operatorship on the very lightly explored, southern
portion of the highly prospective and productive Phitsanulok Basin, which will hopefully
lead to early drilling success.”
 
You just beat me MS Trade!

Seems this little piece of info (although one would assume was expected as they were the sole bidders) has turned the tide on the shareprice and pushed us into positive territory for now. Hopefully we can hold these gains today.
 
More fantastic news from CVN. Congrats to them and SUR and all holders on the award of this block. I hold both so I'm doubly happy today.
It's nice to be in a stock who's SP ignores the current market volatility and can continue upwards despite all the selling pressure around it.

Hope they can fast track work on this new block. CVN should have some cash to throw at it by now!
We'll now be getting news from yet another field, along with Na Sunan, Na Sunan East, Wichian Buri, Bo Rang, Si Thep....

Should be another good year for CVN
 
More good news for CVN. :)

Hopefully as the company continues to grow it will be included in the S&P/ASX 300 RESOURCES or S&P/ASX 300 Energy as Tap Oil is.

Looking forward to tomorrow as the market digests the info released today overnight.

DYOR
 
Howdy all,
First time poster here...

Just wanted to pass on my thanks to the posters on this thread for leading me into investing in CVN albeit only a small package (16k @ .685).

Everything sounded so rosie for CVN so I started doing my own research and doubt that I could have found a better stock to buy after being stopped out of IRL (bought 80,000 @ .25 as my first ever investment in the stock exchange and had to sell at .15 after 3 months of pain).

CVN really does look the goods atm so I wish you all the very best and hope we can all enjoy the ride (even though I'm starting off 10 grand in the red)

Cheers

JJ
 
Well, I got out today. Looking for a better re-entry over the next few weeks. If that doesn't occur I'll take a smaller position and buy something else. Lovely fat return. Taxman is going to love me. :mad:
 
I'm tempted to sell out after today too.

My technical indictors look as though we might see a small retracement, perhaps as low as .625 which looked like some good support.

Stochastics say overbought and have turned down and it looks like the MACD might vey well cross down too.

I will probably hold out though, hopeing a good day on the DOW will boost the sp back up;)
Just my :2twocents
 

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If you wanted to get out it would have made sense to get out in the mid 70's a few days ago on a high note instead of selling on a overall red day. IMO

People holding on now will be waiting for the next results due out at the end of the month unless they really really need the funds.

If CVN comes back to the low 60's ill buy my last batch. I started buying the stock in the low 30's, my last buy was in early Nov for .53cents.

DYOR
 
If you wanted to get out it would have made sense to get out in the mid 70's a few days ago on a high note instead of selling on a overall red day. IMO

That's right. It's your opinion. You don't know my trading plan or strategies. Today signalled an exit. Yesterday, or the day before, didn't.
 
Classic move today to bust the stops, which rapidly happened once 70c was pierced - fell rapidly to 67.5 before buyers quickly snapped back. Bots were working it all day, small sell orders.

I refuse to sell when somebody is obviously trying to take my shares off me at a low price and let them "win", but each to their own :)
 
What's with all the defensiveness here? I stuck to my plan and that's all that matters. If your plan is different, so be it. Happy trading. Make money. :cool:
 
Rob,


I am a believer and a long-term (into the future holder) but that has no relevance to the short-term price action and the way traders can change sentiment on a stock. I also would advise caution, but am looking for further growth.

I just thought you were a long termer................ in CVN ;)

Each to there own. Good Luck

:)
 
I will be back in as soon as I see a reason - fundamentally CVN is a no-brainer. But preservation of capital is the single most important factor for long-term survival in the markets, and when it comes to a flood of negative sentiment, the greatest fundamentals in the world won't stop a stock falling. USA is heading into recession. On average the US market falls 28% in a recession. This informs my plans. It is my belief I will pick up CVN at a bargain. If I miss out, so be it. There are always opportunities.

It's important to remember that nobody trades the markets. We only trade our beliefs about the markets. I am prepared for my beliefs to turn out wrong and I have alternate strategies for that eventuality. What about you guys? What happens if you're wrong? Do you have a strategy to get you out and back in and preserve your capital?

I didn't want to get out but everything in my system (which includes macro-events) indicates it's time to do so. I hope I'm wrong. But in the meantime, I'll follow my plan. Good luck to all. :)

http://www.rgemonitor.com/blog/roubini/235798/
 
I'm a little disquieted having read some of "another forum", suggesting brokers, some prophets and seers etc. now see CVN as a buy. This is often a bad sign.

I enclose a daily chart from Sept 07 to today.

Technically it is still making higher highs and higher lows and trending up, as can be seen from the upper part of the chart.

However the volume is disappointing. The red line in the lower part of the chart tracks the lowering volumes.

If the volume increases with large ranges and lower closes beware. Prophets can be wrong.

gg

Just an updated chart for the fundamentalists and the believers.

CVN should find some support at either 60c , 44c or 28c as per enclosed chart.

Volume is not supportive of a rise past previous highs anytime soon.

gg
 

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GG if it sinks to 28 cents i think the CVN dream will be over. If people let short falls cloud their judgement (instead of using F/A) then I think their will be a lot of negative sentiment around CVN.

Having said that, was not expecting the large late sell off today. Im thinking a retrace to 65 cents, with sideways movements, before powering on.

Remember, lots more drills and production license...can't all be bad ;)
 
I don't believe the major sell off just after 3pm today was anything other then a sucessful play by a large player to manipulate the SP, a sudden placement of a few 1 million share sells strategically placed a few cents above the current SP, to rattle a few sellers, then when that didn't work, two large almost simultaneous sell orders were put in that had their desired effect of triggering stop losses from .70 down to .675. this occured in the space of minutes, with about 2 million shares changing hands in the last hour.
This with the continual bot buying and selling of small orders for at least the last week proves to me CVN is a highly desirable share by some professional players. Why wouldn't it be with another potential good news release anytime in the next 3 or 4 trading days. It will be interesting to see what happens with CVN tommorow if the DOW finally has a good day tonight.
 
If you wanted to get out it would have made sense to get out in the mid 70's a few days ago on a high note instead of selling on a overall red day. IMO

People holding on now will be waiting for the next results due out at the end of the month unless they really really need the funds.

If CVN comes back to the low 60's ill buy my last batch. I started buying the stock in the low 30's, my last buy was in early Nov for .53cents.

DYOR

I dont really see why it would have been good to get out in the mid 70's myself.
You are not going to catch the top everytime.
CVN had a few good days of clear candles, but i based my thoughts on selling based on the technical indicators that I saw!

Anyway....I still hold:)
 
Nice stock to trade - I believe an even nicer stock to hold for the long term.

This one is going under my pillow until I want a new car. Happy to ride the waves.
 
GG if it sinks to 28 cents i think the CVN dream will be over. If people let short falls cloud their judgement (instead of using F/A) then I think their will be a lot of negative sentiment around CVN.

Having said that, was not expecting the large late sell off today. Im thinking a retrace to 65 cents, with sideways movements, before powering on.

Remember, lots more drills and production license...can't all be bad ;)

Thanks.
I'd never disagree with a funnymentalist.
Still going down on increasing volume now.
Lets see if it kicks up off 65 today or goes sideways, as fundies hope, or heads for next support at 60c.

gg
 

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Thanks.
I'd never disagree with a funnymentalist.
Still going down on increasing volume now.
Lets see if it kicks up off 65 today or goes sideways, as fundies hope, or heads for next support at 60c.

gg

I'll give you one thing, you predicted it and I hope i'm not eating my hat!
BUT
Can we see another spectacular rise over this year like last?
Does anybody have any Hartley's reports (updated) on CVN?
 
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