- Joined
- 8 June 2008
- Posts
- 12,416
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- 18,068
As a newbie, I look at overall return, DD and as you mentioned CAR/MDD
Got interested in Howard car25 but would lie if i say i worked on it
As time goes i am more and more interested in a way to determine end of life of a system
What i rely on mostly is comparison between BT runs on a set of around 30 specific time periods
Last 10y,year by year or since xx to now, and a dozen or so specific periods:
Crash, down or up periods for asx, going nowhere, edgy time
Then i use gutfeel : mostly better mostly worse..i look at trends of return comparison (i am of the belief that our ecosystems are changing and systems need to be built for current..future time, not focussed on past.)
And i look at overall equity curves: smoothness, return for 2018 calendar year(a time where my initial systems were struggling) , speed of recovery, shape of falls
Very visual and intuitive
Would welcome a more figure based way
Got interested in Howard car25 but would lie if i say i worked on it
As time goes i am more and more interested in a way to determine end of life of a system
What i rely on mostly is comparison between BT runs on a set of around 30 specific time periods
Last 10y,year by year or since xx to now, and a dozen or so specific periods:
Crash, down or up periods for asx, going nowhere, edgy time
Then i use gutfeel : mostly better mostly worse..i look at trends of return comparison (i am of the belief that our ecosystems are changing and systems need to be built for current..future time, not focussed on past.)
And i look at overall equity curves: smoothness, return for 2018 calendar year(a time where my initial systems were struggling) , speed of recovery, shape of falls
Very visual and intuitive
Would welcome a more figure based way