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- 2 October 2006
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Agentm said:you know he was the first to say that the well was dry, and then after they announced potential commercial finds he had nothing to say, now he is proved to be incorrect and had already advised his followers to leave, they did... so they lost a bundle,, great news for those who didnt follow him..
since then he had a bid at floating a company, and failed.. in todays environment its pretty hard to fail spectacularily in a float.. even ex criminals and bankrupts like alan bond are back on the scene and floating companies...
who on earth listens to someone like him when texas crude is doing a commercial flow testing on a well he told everyone to bail on..
i guess those who believe him had better make tracks!! good luck to them on their next venture and hope they made a good gain on the stock!!
There are not many sellers. Same with AUT where there has only been one trade today for 10,000. There is always someone needs some cash and will take what offers.Lucky_Country said:I cant belive people are selling ADI at this exciting time in its history let alone seeing the price drop not sure what they are thinking
Agentm said:i would have thought the forward planning of further wells at sugarloaf in itself was an indication of exploration success, regardless of confirmation of TD and any form of flow testing..
ARQ has always been bullish on the well in all the presentations i have sat in on. I cant imagine they will change their positive tune.
things must be getting close, both the gas zones at NT and the commencement of flowtesting..
BTW if you read the report on flow testing from the 29th jan carefully, you may note it says it will start flow testing withing 2 weeks, and then goes on to say something very interesting... as usual you have to read between the lines..
Further ASX releases in relation to the Sugarloaf-1 testing program will be made upon any material developments and results from these tests.
if you remember the frustrating days of drilling and getting double meanings and hidden messages, then you must assume that they could be well and truely flow testing as we speak, and we can only expect the usual standard practice of "material developments" being reported.. so perhaps dont expect any major announcements or indications of where they are at between now and when things get announced!! I have yet to see them change their practice of maintaining a closed well senario as much as possible.
once again all IMHO and DYOR...
Agentm said:the jvp's have always kept very low key on all information, and i wouldnt be suprised to see the usual closed shop approach continue,
i always hope they would disclose all information, i hope we hear more info prior, but i dont hold up much hope for that...
it isnt about misguiding investors, its more a case of keeping everything closed shop. they have in the past told us all we need to know, and most of it was very hidden in the announcements. gas shows were very well disguised and later announced with a bit more positive slant.. suddenly they are flow testing, could be today yesterday, tomorrow..
who is to say the workover rig isnt already on site and its only days from the announcement before the flow testing, if you read the announcement it doesnt say a workover rig is about to arrive on site.. it says a program for testing is anticipated to start.. to me that means a flow testing program is commencing not a workover rig arriving.. the workover rig was announced earlier..
again i hope we get more info but i remain sceptic that the market has been told everything it needs to know and next news will be anything "material"..
Sugarloaf-1 Well Testing Program
[font=Arial,Arial]A program for testing the primary Hosston Formation target in the Sugarloaf-1 well has been accepted by the Joint Venture and is anticipated to start within two weeks.
A zone with indications of gas interpreted from wire-line logs and gas shows during drilling is planned to be tested by high density perforation of the production casing over selected intervals in the lower part of the well.
Subject to results the program could be amended, including extended flow testing of zones, but is expected to take up to two months to be completed.
[/font]Further ASX releases in relation to the Sugarloaf-1 testing program will be made upon any material developments and results from these tests.
the part i marked in red is the bit only adi put in their release, the other JVP's did not make that comment in their joint release, you may notice that adi also took the lead on the announcements release, to me adi is saying they will only announce "material developments and results from these tests"..
i am not convinced they are not right now today flow testing.. but i could be wrong..
DYOR and all IMHO
cheers
It suggested to me that there was nothing to report. I check before the start of trading each day for a trading halt . I expect there to be a trading halt before the next announcement on sugarloaf as it will be either good or bad news next time we are told anything. I'm expecting good news. I expect that's where I'll hear it first.tomcat said:AgentM...do you read anything into the fact that Aurora didn't mention SL at all in its operations report released today?
nioka said:It suggested to me that there was nothing to report. I check before the start of trading each day for a trading halt . I expect there to be a trading halt before the next announcement on sugarloaf as it will be either good or bad news next time we are told anything. I'm expecting good news. I expect that's where I'll hear it first.
They haven ´t even started the testing yet so how can there be a trading halt. We will be notified of the start date. Probably next week, without any hitches.surfingman said:My thoughts as well on this one, waiting for the trading halt and hopefully very good news....
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