Australian (ASX) Stock Market Forum

Re: XAO Analysis

If past bear markets are anything to go by we will experience some short sharp rallies that last several days or weeks that may add as much as 10% or more. To be proven wrong of course.
 
Re: XAO Analysis

Finally real volume on wide range bar a lot more people came to market today, depending on the US tonight may get a chance of narrower range tomorrow but those expanding bars don't look good

Hmmm...If that was a futures chart, I would be looking at going long in the very near term...looking at a swing back. Very very conflicted here. The only precedent appears to be the 87 falls, which lasted about a month. This has lasted about a month since the December breakdown. But 87 was straight down with only a brief break before breaking down again. But now looks like an ending diagonal to the downside is forming. If Europe doesn't rally to a significant gain, I will say it has further to fall, if it does, I'm going to have to seriously consider my only open short.

Some almighty gap fills in Europe going on...

Was thinking we might open the US in a circuit breaker, but that seems unlikely now.

I really don't need this the day out from a holiday! Lol!
 
Re: XAO Analysis

Well Maybe not all that bad.

Early days but normally sets the pace.
Europe is GREEN.

Sucker rally anyone?
 

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Re: XAO Analysis

SPI 200 is 6 pts up, could we finally see the end of bloodshed tomorrow? Of course we will, as I just sold. The ultimate indicator! Only kidding :D
 
Re: XAO Analysis

Some more pointless statistics;

Today's decline was the biggest one day fall since October 16th 1989 when it plunged 8.12%. The -7.18% fall on October 28th 1997 was just eclipsed by today's 7.25% plunge.

Today is my birthday. So I'll have little trouble remembering the day it all happened back in 2008. Woke up not too long ago with some elephant running around in my head crashing into things after being out 'dancing' and such last night to see this. Totally amazing. So, I suppose we were just following the US again right Dhukka? :) Eventually people will get it.
 
Re: XAO Analysis

Well Maybe not all that bad.

Early days but normally sets the pace.
Europe is GREEN.

Sucker rally anyone?

hmmm as well the eur/usd and usd/chf show signs aswell i have noticed, if un influenced by news. usdchf weakening and eurusd strengthening. London shows a small demand for risk! :D
 
Re: XAO Analysis

would you mind to tell me where you can get the historical chart, cos i can only get the historical price from yahoo? thanks a lot

Hmmm....history repeating itself? I am seeing distinct similarities with the 2001 initial crash. March 01 we have a sell-off followed by rally to a new high. This moves into an expanding channel (wedge?). Eventually selling pressure results in a plunge from the middle of the channel. Compare with where we are now in these two charts.

(EDIT: Ps. Highs on chart in 02 were followed by a second movement down to below Sep 01 low. Not looking that far ahead at moment)
 
Re: XAO Analysis

i am quite new, would you mind to tell me some basic stuff, many thanks.

1. where can i find out the future index, cos somebody said it drop more than 600 now, but i don't know where to find it, and what is the name of that index

2.how to short dow or xao

sorry for the basic question, and thanks again:):):):)
 
Re: XAO Analysis

would you mind to tell me where you can get the historical chart, cos i can only get the historical price from yahoo? thanks a lot

I buy EOD data from Paritech and real-time data from eSignal - I use Metastock to chart with. That's what you're seeing in my post. I'm sure there would be some basic free stuff available online but I just don't know where. Maybe someone else knows?
 
Re: XAO Analysis

thanks

I buy EOD data from Paritech and real-time data from eSignal - I use Metastock to chart with. That's what you're seeing in my post. I'm sure there would be some basic free stuff available online but I just don't know where. Maybe someone else knows?
 
Re: XAO Analysis

FTSE holding up.Quite a reversal from this morning.
Expecting US fed rate cut .5%
Will see how it fared after USA trading.
Off to TV and Bed
 

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Re: XAO Analysis

Today is my birthday. So I'll have little trouble remembering the day it all happened back in 2008. Woke up not too long ago with some elephant running around in my head crashing into things after being out 'dancing' and such last night to see this. Totally amazing. So, I suppose we were just following the US again right Dhukka? :) Eventually people will get it.

Happy Birthday ASXG, funny that even though the US wasn't open last night people are still blaming them because of the credit crunch etc. What's the bet if the US rallies on a rate cut people will be saying it's unfair because we sold down further than the US?
 
Re: XAO Analysis

When will we see a rate cut ?
Do we have too wait till the 29th Jan or as early as tonight from the fed ?
 
Re: XAO Analysis

Hmmm, Channel 10 has turned a little bearish.

I keep hearing 100 billion wiped off Aus market, and it's not over yet

Could that affect the average mom & dad sellers tomorrow? I believe so.
 
Re: XAO Analysis

If the truth be known, what is to stop the DOW dumping around 1100 points, or a tad over 10%. A lot of our stock closed 10% + down, majors, and the DOW futures are abysmal... Key support is bound to be smashed, around 12000, and I would consider the next major key level to be 11000.

Anyone disagree? The timing is right, the futures are saying it, while I don't believe it, it is their Monday (1st day of the week). What's going to stop it?

PPT? :eek:

It may seem hard to grasp because most of the people in this forum have been discussing this possibility for some time but the geberal public have only just begun to realise that the market is going down. Everyone is adding fuel to the fire, most of all the media. I can't see it going anywhere but south for a while. It's a classic case of panic selling and common sense has been thrown to the wind.

Try shouting "fire" in a crowded room and see what happens. The panic has set in and the stampede is gathering momentum.

Anyway I had some good advice from my mum today after she watched the news. "be careful in the share market and it pays to always listen to the abc to know what's going on".
I didn't have the heart to tell her that by the time you hear it on the abc it's too late:)
 
Re: XAO Analysis

i see green everywhere. . . . . . .wow . . . wow . . .wow. . . i have forgotten what green looks like????? :D :D

well, except the DAX??
 
Re: XAO Analysis

This is interesting. If we add an extension to the head and shoulders target we come within 2 points of price stopping at the target.
I saw this technique in one of Martin pring's books and he showed some fine examples. Could be something to it.
Now if this latest target is breached significantly the next move would expectedly take us to 4602 on the XJO, according to this type of measuring. Cheers.
 

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Re: XAO Analysis

So maybe we've overdone the crash a bit in Australia. XAO down almost 10% in 2 days and the Dow down about 1.2 %. Will be some interesting gap-ups today I think :D
 
Re: XAO Analysis

There are 2 ways to bleed to death.
Catastrophic trauma or Slow prolonged Haemoraging.

Throwing a band aid on a catastrophic trauma victim isn't going to do much.

Even a .75% rate cut couldn't pull up the prolonged move down.

This week is report week and figures are expected to reflect the true state of the US economy---and that's NOT a bright optimistic out look.

STILL closing off 128 points,US traders must have thought it Xmas being able to get out of longs without too much damage.

If you think its all over---your gambling.
 
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