doctorj
Hatchet Moderator
- Joined
- 3 January 2005
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Re: Why don't all goverments guarantee 100% deposits
Picture two banks, Bank A has a conservative lending policy, is well hedged, doesn't speculate and therefore only pays a modest interest rate to depositors, has a fairly low ROE and pays a modest, but consistent dividend year after year.
Bank B is happy to have a riskier lending portfolio, regularly speculates on FX and other instruments and pays an interest rate nearly twice that of Bank A. It's a fast growing bank paying an ever increasing dividend.
Now imagine, the **** hits the fan. Bank A is safe, being that its risk management policies are strong. Bank B goes down so the government comes along and bails out all the depositors who then go and find another risky bank to put their money in.
Effectively the government is underwriting the downside for all banks by guaranteeing deposits - doing so will only drive risky lending and speculation and therefore drive more bank failures in the long term.
I agree that the govt should do something, but I think there are better alternatives.
I disagree.There is no real downside to guaranteeing deposits for the governments (worldwide) in the current turbulent mess, which is why Germany did a backflip less than 24 hours after verbally caning Ireland
Picture two banks, Bank A has a conservative lending policy, is well hedged, doesn't speculate and therefore only pays a modest interest rate to depositors, has a fairly low ROE and pays a modest, but consistent dividend year after year.
Bank B is happy to have a riskier lending portfolio, regularly speculates on FX and other instruments and pays an interest rate nearly twice that of Bank A. It's a fast growing bank paying an ever increasing dividend.
Now imagine, the **** hits the fan. Bank A is safe, being that its risk management policies are strong. Bank B goes down so the government comes along and bails out all the depositors who then go and find another risky bank to put their money in.
Effectively the government is underwriting the downside for all banks by guaranteeing deposits - doing so will only drive risky lending and speculation and therefore drive more bank failures in the long term.
I agree that the govt should do something, but I think there are better alternatives.