DeepState
Multi-Strategy, Quant and Fundamental
- Joined
- 30 March 2014
- Posts
- 1,615
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- 81
... After 12 months, I feel more naive and greener than ever.
You are making progress!
1. When we start something, we are unconsciously incompetent. We have no idea what we don't know. Often that makes us quite confident when walking into the unknown. I have a neighbor, a retired CEO of a mid-sized subsidiary of a US firm, who started trading last year. Up by 30% early on, he declared that he was better than Buffett. All the usual trader talk came speeeewing out. Four am starts to cover the US developments, had to be at the desk for the closing action - no exceptions. On it went. Total Rambo. One year later, he declared that there was no way he could make money from trading.
2. As we learn, we become aware of our (usually epic) incompetence. We become consciously incompetent. At this point, we usually feel like total crap. A lot just drop out at this point.
3. After a while, if we persist with purposeful effort, we can become consciously competent. We can do it, but it takes effort. It is exhausting.
4. Under certain conditions and truly sustained effort, this becomes easy and we do it by gut. It becomes automatic. We become unconsciously competent. It just flows.
You are at stage 2. It's better than stage 1. It's the point at which you start to improve. Up until then, most people can't be told anything. They are too busy telling you how it should be done. At that stage, we don't know we don't know.
When I ran a team, I would never hire the young bucks until they had their arrogance hammered out of them and, whilst super smart, entered with the attitude "I know I don't know. But I know I can learn and will bust a gut to do so". In my case, it took about four years to get to that point (at least, I think I got there). You are super-smart Faramir. Your accelerated program got you there in one.