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Please ladies and gents, no more personal attacks.
If I see even the slightest personal insult or taunt, accounts will be suspended.
Cheers,
kennas
Hello Iceman Thanks for that wonderful info I can see your a real thinking person Everyhink your saying is on the money Exceot the 25% growth is a long shot But you are forgetting the one big Problem and its the NTA our only way of getting to any money at all So lets say the funds NTA ls 53 cents in 7 years You would be kidding ourselfs if we think we will get that closer to 25 cents As i keeping saying its not what the fund is worth its whats you can get for it on the exchange /Dane //Hi All
Just following on from the projected returns I have tried to make an annual table below of projected position of the fund based on the WC bench mark allocations of our funds and numbers they have provided.
Year 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7
Opening .45 .41 .44 .47 .51 .55 .60 .67
Distribution -.06 -.06 -.06 -.06 -.06 -.06 - .06 -.06
Income (10% pa on 55%) .02 .02 .02 .03 .03 .03 .03 .04
Growth (25% on 45%) 0 .05 .05 .05 .05 .05 .05 .06
Closing .41 .42 .44 .45 .46 .48 .50 .53
My assumptions are that NTA is 45 cents
We get 6 cents a year paid out to us.
On 55% of our money we get no growth just 10% income
On 45% we get a annual return of 25% income and growth
Growth portion is calculated on closing previous year balance so it does compound.
So based on WC own numbers and benchmarks set out in information booklet and a very generous 25% growth factor on the money they want to invest in growth assets our NTA will remain by year seven 53 cents.
For an ASX listed fund with a clean history currently many are trading below NTA.
Why for the next 7 years is this thing price going to rise above 45 cents through having as a listed fund. WC are not magicians and these are their own numbers although I dont even think they would say they could get 25% so the above numbers would get worse.
Where does the $1.00 come from ?
Their own document if you read it carefully says that an alternative moritorium and work out could be put to unit holders. It just remains very well hidden in how the phrase it.
This would get us 45 cents back in 3 years with some upside if existing asset values improved and OCV claim maximised.
This has to be in investors best interests but it is not in WC best interests as a permanent listed fund adds permanent income for them which adds to WC wealth by 10s of millions.
The only reason you would not vote no no no is if you believe WC that it is their proposal or liquidation which is simply not true.
In fact if you vote no yes no you would get the buy back which given there will be 3 cents available according to WC would allow us to get some money by christmas while either WC agreed or another RE was put in place to conduct orderly realisation and quarterly return of our money.
Its weird but no yes no option does not seem to be considered in WC booklet but I will look again.
Anyway looking forward to comments from others on the above numbers.
Well Newtrader, I hope you are right, because I put that to WC and was told that they won't make any money until distributions resume and that will not happen until WC get full control of the Fund. Seamisty
Dear Kennas,
First of all, let me thank the founders and administrators of ASF for making this great forum service available to investors such as ourselves. I find it a brilliant site.
...
I personally consider some of the posts, even though very strong in opinion, at times quite entertaining. We don't want to be regulated to the point of morbidity, so lets all get the balance right.
DoraNBoots
I agree with you re asking for $14,000 to produce a list of unit holders!!!
...
Hi Rance,
Our right to inspect and obtain a copy of a register is covered in the Corporations Act section 173. The Yahoo! group has details in the Legal folder.
Hi Mutchy , I think the point of the posts regarding voting issues is to highlight that fact that once again WC has not been 100% truthful and straightforward in what they are saying.
...Show me concrete proof that if we vote no no no there is another alternative. Another RE or administrator ...
It is not a vote for or against the RE. The RE is JH and co and a No vote won't remove them as RE. All the No vote (for resolution 1) will do is say we don't agree with the changes you are asking us to sign off on....
What is the name of the competent RE (with experience in managing a fund)that is the alternate RE which is there in place to take on that role for WC should they not get the 75% vote?
...
Quote page 15 of the eplanatory memorandum::" In the event Unitholders do not vote in favour of the proposed changes to the Constitution (RES1), the
Fund’s Units will not be traded on NSX, and the changes which are proposed will not be made. The
current board is of the view that redemption requests would only be able to be met if the assets of the
Fund were sold. It is expected that this would be completed by early 2009 and Unitholders would
receive approximately 14 cents per Unit. This resolution must be passed as a special resolution of the Fund’s Unitholders i.e.
passed by at least 75% of the votes cast by Unitholders in the Fund who are
entitled to vote, in proxy or in person at the meeting.
Each of the directors of the current responsible entity have carefully considered all
of the current circumstances, and recommend that Unitholders vote in favour of
the resolution
Hi All
Just following on from the projected returns I have tried to make an annual table below of projected position of the fund based on the WC bench mark allocations of our funds and numbers they have provided.
Year 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7
Opening .45 .41 .44 .47 .51 .55 .60 .67
Distribution -.06 -.06 -.06 -.06 -.06 -.06 - .06 -.06
Income (10% pa on 55%) .02 .02 .02 .03 .03 .03 .03 .04
Growth (25% on 45%) 0 .05 .05 .05 .05 .05 .05 .06
Closing .41 .42 .44 .45 .46 .48 .50 .53
My assumptions are that NTA is 45 cents
We get 6 cents a year paid out to us.
On 55% of our money we get no growth just 10% income
On 45% we get a annual return of 25% income and growth
Growth portion is calculated on closing previous year balance so it does compound.
SNIP..........
Hello Iceman.
Thanks for your work on this matter. Your contribution is most valuable and I am somewhat surprised at the outcome.
I intend to do my own spreadsheet to investigate some different scenarios but before I do I need to clarify the iterative part of your calculation. Normally spreadsheets which evaluate yearly iterative functions move the year end result from one year to the start of the next year. I can not see where your calculation does that transposition. I can see year 0 result (.41) going to the start of year 1 but then the result of year 1 (.42) is not transposed to the start of year 2 but becomes .44 . Likewise there is a discontinuity for all the following years.
Can you please explain?
This financial analysis is extremely valuable and most appreciated.
Mutchy
Hi all,
I'm still collating a list how many people have written to federal MPs or Senator Nick sherrys Office and if they have bothered to respond.
I would also like to start compiling a list of how many complaints ASIC has had, since they seem to be so slow on coming up with any kind of statement.
Email is zixo7@hotmail.com
Cheers
It is not a vote for or against the RE. The RE is JH and co and a No vote won't remove them as RE. All the No vote (for resolution 1) will do is say we don't agree with the changes you are asking us to sign off on.
Hi Zixo,
Can I please openly ask what you intend doing with this information ?
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