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The state of the economy at the street level

Do you think Australia is actually cooked at this point
It's starting to feel very much like ~1990 to me and some very similar things happening.

At a state government level Victoria lead the rush into the abyss back then with Tasmania following. Same's happening now in the same order.

SA doesn't have a bank to go bust this time, but it does have an economically important steelworks in a very precarious position. Not the same scenario but it sure does rhyme.

A string of well known businesses (shops etc) went under back then and same happening now.

I'm paying more attention now than I was back then but it does have a similar overall feel to it. All that's missing is someone big to go bust - thus far we haven't got a Bond or Skase equivalent although I do have suspicions about one particular businessperson (I'll avoid names for legal reasons etc).

For those unfamiliar, it's a bit hard to comprehend just how well known Skase in particular became after the event. Even children were aware of him, it entered popular culture in a way that's hard to fully appreciate if you weren't there at the time.

That plus we haven't had any politicians singing or deadly consumer product scandals come to light yet, at least not to my knowledge.
 
The similarities are definitely there, a lot of green can dreaming, a lot of people gearing up, a lot of it depending on Government money.

This time it is housing, more so than shares, but the only growth industry is government and that money comes from those who need it to support the bubble.

The Hydrogen dream appears to have burst, the made in Australia hasn't eventuated, so when the Federal and State government subsidies get used up, those projects may well be put back on the shelf.

Lithium is in the toilet, nickel has already been flushed and coal is waiting for its turn, things will need to turn around soon or the government will really have to tighten the belt.
 
Do you think Australia is actually cooked at this point and government is just hiding it. I'm seeing huge failings out there at the moment.
am not sure about ( completely, absolutely ) cooked but dancing around on a HOT tin roof , there are plenty of signs , local improvements ( residential and property development ) are stalled , businesses in the main town ( about 12,000 people ) up here closing , renovating , etc .. sure one of them is the Rivers store but they are not unique , just very obvious about the closing down ( the auto electrician is gone several very old businesses and there is at least one vacant pub ( maybe three )

and Brisbane wasn't looking so vibrant when i visited late 2024

hiding it .. that is what Governments do especially in election years
 
I'm a little worried albo was dancing around at Mardi gras while the Chinese did a lap round the country with no push back. We are very open to invasion. Hopefully the politicians are the first to go.
we have always been very open to invasion , the Japanese looked us over before WW2 but decided India/Bangladesh and food was more important , and Indonesia has a fragmented society , China knew we were here for maybe 2000 years ( or more ) but couldn't find anything to trade with over here
 
I went to Bunnings last night, the place was like a ghost town, lucky if there were a dozen cars in the carpark.

My niece is in her third year as a hairdresser apprentice, last night she said that for the first time she does not have a client booking for two weeks. The business has multiple stores and has noted a decline in the more expensive services that they offer.

The South African owners of Country Road Group have tagged Australia as being in the grips of a ‘retail recession’ for the last 18 months, amid crashing sales for the retailer.

 
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