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The future of energy generation and storage

Good news!
 
Great read that little bamfrocks piece.
I now know a smidgin more about the geology of tunnel boring.
thanks for the link.
Mick
 
Great read that Baz, however, i would question one part of it.
Having just installed two 10kw/hr RFX flow batteries for a sum of$24,000, a quick calculation has them retailing at closer $1200 per killowat/hr.
The current Tesla Powewall 3 has 13.5 kwhrs and the prices I was given when i started investigating solar systems last year was around $13,000 to $15.,000, which makes them around $1,000 per kilowat hour. Still lower than the Flow battery, but way above the 200 per KWH mark.
Perhaps they missed a decimal point.
Mick
 
From todays Australian
Just on the snowy 2.0 problems, it seems that the rather big nd expensive tunnel boring machine did not really progress very far.
from ABC News
A satellite picture shows the hole barely moved from the starting point.


From what I have read, these machines cannot reverse, as the engineers shoot concrete on the walls behind them to provide stability, so the machines are too wide t reverse. They either get deconstructed and taken out piece by piece, or end up entoombed forever.

Mick
 
Something that @SirRumpole will be interested in, the BP fuel refinery at Kwinana is to be repurposed into a biofuel manufacturing facility.
I thought it may be the site for a battery manufacturing plant, due to its proximity to battery metal production facilities, but apparently not.
Anyway as long as it is made into something useful, productive and employs people, it's all good.

Kwinana is one of five biofuel projects that bp has planned globally. It is expected that these projects will produce around 50 thousand barrels of sustainable aviation fuel (SAF) and HVO (Hydrotreated Vegetable Oil, also known as renewable diesel) per day by 2030.

The Kwinana Renewable Fuels project is part of the global multi-billion dollar investment by bp and will see existing refining infrastructure repurposed to produce drop-in fuel products that have the ability over time to support the decarbonisation of aviation and heavy industry, subject to regulatory and State government approvals.

The biorefinery is planned to produce SAF and biodiesel from bio feedstocks by 2026. It will also integrate with the site’s existing import terminal operations and plans for green hydrogen production, which is currently being assessed in a feasibility study.

Frédéric Baudry, president, bp Australia and SVP fuels & low carbon solutions, Asia Pacific said: “Kwinana illustrates the power of the Australian economy and its ability to reinvent itself for the energy transition. This project is the first of its kind globally for bp and a first for Australia. It recognises the importance of our Kwinana site and Western Australia in the energy transition, so we’re thrilled to say bp is progressing with engineering plans for Kwinana.”

“bp has established, global biogas and biofuel businesses that are positioned in an increasingly supportive environment of rapidly growing demand.”

“We plan to integrate the sustainable aviation fuel and renewable diesel with our current terminal operations, and our future potential green hydrogen project - H2Kwinana.”

As the world seeks lower carbon fuels, bp sees clear opportunities to leverage its portfolio of assets and customer base – with bioenergy one of bp’s transition growth engines. This includes biofuels, sustainable aviation fuel, and biogas.
 
Been waiting for the media to say that.

In short there's a few options but realistically the common element is they involve retaining part or all of Eraring beyond its presently announced closure date. The question being how many units to retain in operation. A "catch" there that due to maintenance requirements, a decision needs to occur within the next ~6 months preferably. Beyond that, it gets harder.

There's also a limit to that. Eraring has, realistically, a decade or so from now left in it with reasonable maintenance so it can't be extended indefinitely. At least not without spending a fortune and effectively rebuilding it. It'll do for a while though.

On a smaller scale, Origin have already moved the closure date of the 180MW Osborne power station in SA (gas-fired) from 31 December 2023 to after the 2026-27 summer.
 
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Makes so much sense. I
n a world where projected food shortages are on the increase, we are going to turn hectares of arable land into feedstock to make biofuels such as diesel and some biogas.
The problem is , burning either of them still produce CO2, which as we all know, is about to increase the temperature of the earth by a world killing 2 degrees centigrade.
Of course the argument is that because they are renewable, i.e. you keep growing feedstock to take the CO2 out of the air , so its carbon nuetral. Well, you could just as easily leave the vegetation that is there and suck Co2 out of the atmosphere while using Nuclear solar, hydrogen to generate the power required, and them be not only neutral, but carbon reductive.
BP is like every other business on the planet, out to make money. They will use whatever means they can to maximise their goals, using ESG as a means to an end, not the end in itself.
Mick
 
If they used sugar cane, that would be fine. Other fuels like corn are more problematic, of course food should come first
 
If they used sugar cane, that would be fine. Other fuels like corn are more problematic, of course food should come first
The type of soil, terrain, climate, workforce availability, remoteness, will all determine feedstock can be grown in any area.
Whatever they use, the end result is the same.
You need some of the biodiesel to prepare the ground intitially, then every season.
You use more in planting, more in fertilising, more in weed control, more in harvesting, transporting to processing facility, processing, and redistribution to the markets, some of which may even end up right back on the land where it started.
Its another first problem with first world solutions.
Mick
 
If they used sugar cane, that would be fine. Other fuels like corn are more problematic, of course food should come first

It all points back to too many people, wanting too many things and coming up with more and more ways to have them.
What humans want, humans get.
 

Questioning from a senator who happens to be an ex-coal-mining engineer and inspector... Don't think he's impressed with the snowy leadership.

Starting to look like this is going to topple the Sydney Opera house for biggest blowout in history. Media have largely glossed over one of the main contractors going bust.

And people are worried about Philip Lowe... Should be sacking snowy team and everyone associated with the project. Better start stocking up the garage with wood for the coming years because at this rate all we're going to have is intermittent solar and wind.
 
Yes @The Triangle signing up Government contracts, must entail looking up the Govt Department, which is listed under 'dial a dope'.
I was reading an article the other day, they reckon the cost to do up the Gabba for the olympics has already doubled and they haven't even started, add to that we are ten years out from the games.
Christ knows what it will cost, to put bums on nicer seats.
With regard power generation, it may end up cheaper to run and employ less people, but it ain't going to be cheap for the taxpayer, you can take that to the bank. ?
 
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This is another problem that is only going to get bigger for the Government and the renewable lobby.
2030 is fast approaching and options are getting more difficult, I certainly hope I'm wrong, but I feel a brain fart coming on, for Albo.
IMO he needs to get his dancing shoes on, take stock and make some adjustments.
Snowy 2.0, extending the closure of coal power stations, reconfiguring the transmission and distribution network, many GW's of batteries, 7.8 years doesn't sound like a long time to me, in the scheme of things. Hopefully I'm wrong.

More than two dozen renewable energy projects lodged with the Commonwealth for assessment could damage precious koala habitat, posing a delicate environmental conundrum for the Albanese government.

The environment department is assessing 140 developments that could threaten koala habitat, 29 of which are renewable energy projects alongside 50 coal and gas projects and 37 property developments.
A massive expansion of renewable energy is critical to the Albanese government meeting its upgraded climate target, while Environment Minister Tanya Plibersek has vowed to protect endangered koala populations.
 
The difference is that leaving it there yields no energy whereas producing biofuels directly replaces fossil fuel for the end user thus avoiding emissions from its combustion.

That's not to say there aren't arguments for and against but the carbon cycle is a real thing, biofuel does have some advantages there.
 
Well it isn't as though @Smurf1976 hasn't been going on about for a few years, obviously some politicians know better, or just wont listen. The latter is my guess.
It wasn't that long ago that 'experts' were saying Kurri Kurri wasn't required and Snowy 2.0 was a waste of money, well maybe not.


Homes and businesses in every state on Australia’s eastern seaboard are at risk of electricity shortages from 2027 as looming closures of several coal-fired power stations collide with delays in building crucial new gas and clean energy projects to replace them.

In a new report to be released on Tuesday, the Australian Energy Market Operator (AEMO) warns “material changes” to its expectations of available power supplies over coming years in Victoria, South Australia, NSW and Queensland have reinforced the urgent need for new generation plants and other key infrastructure to be approved and rolled out.
 
Well it isn't as though @Smurf1976 hasn't been going on about for a few years, obviously some politicians know better, or just wont listen. The latter is my guess.
The trouble with politicians is in the name - politics.

Looking at specific plant closures in the reasonably near future:

Liddell (NSW) was 4 x 500 MW when built so 2000 MW total. At present one unit is permanently shut and has been since last year whilst the other three are "officially" de-rated to 420 MW each. Informally however they're de-rated further with two running at 350MW and one at 380MW so 1080MW for the station.

Official closure date for the lot is 1st April 2023 but at this stage it's looking like a small delay and in practice the closures being on the 19th, 25th and 29th of April 2023. So delaying 2.5 - 4 weeks from the previous plan.

For the Eraring station, which is 4 x 720 MW so 2880 MW plus a separate 40 MW gas turbine, the present closure date is set at midnight 18th August 2025 for the 720 MW units. The gas turbine isn't officially part of that plan but most are assuming it also closes in practice at the same time (though that's not certain given the site itself is to remain active as a battery location).

Then there's Torrens Island B (4 x 200MW) in SA planned to shut in 2026 and not long after that Osborne (180MW) also closing.

Then there's Yallourn (1480MW, Vic) and Callide B (700MW, Qld) planned to shut in 2028 and Vales Point B (1320MW, NSW) in 2029.

Torrens Island and Osborne are both gas, others mentioned are all coal.
 
So what happens, the Govt sets it all in stone with a deadline to reach an ambitious reduction in emissions, then puts financial constraints on companies supplying fuel.
One hopes somewhere in this mess, there is a plan, not just a wish and a prayer, because an ambitious vote catcher can quickly become a huge albatross.
 
One hopes somewhere in this mess, there is a plan
See here


Seriously, as I've mentioned previously the technical people have mostly conceded defeat and left the discussion. Just pay attention to the media and you'll see that true - what's left are politicians, lobbyists and the odd economic or similar academic but the actual engineers and "hands on" workers have mostly walked away shaking their heads.

Only when there's a major failure will the politicians, lobby groups and so on realised just how badly it's all been messed up.
 
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One issue is gas supply. No point building gas power stations if you don't have gas to run them with.

On that one Viva Energy is now having doubts about its planned LNG import terminal in Victoria. Noting there that the other similar projects are also under a cloud of uncertainty since nobody wants to import LNG and sell the gas at a loss due to the price cap.


 
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