Australian (ASX) Stock Market Forum

I have previously invested in property and achieved great returns, none of my investments ever relied on negative gearing.... none.

The investment had to stand on its own two feet only mugs rely on neg gearing as a reason to invest in property sadly that's mostly the case these days.
A rare occasion I can agree with you. Even with neg gearing, it is a costing people and only viable with rapidly increasing housing prices... and how long can that last. Does it make sense in a flat to declining market?

Nup
 
A rare occasion I can agree with you. Even with neg gearing, it is a costing people and only viable with rapidly increasing housing prices... and how long can that last. Does it make sense in a flat to declining market?

Nup
My opinion is that it is a gamble on RE always going up.
Neg gearing excesses are a consequence, not a cause.
Remove council powers and state crazy regulations, stop relentless migration and the problem is sorted..and these guys bankrupted.
If the share market was going up 15% a year always, negative gearing would be used there.
As i am not using it,not partial even better: i am really keen for Labour to remove it, just to see the shitshow, the economic collapse and the state of rental markets within 3 years. Go ahead guys go ahead😂
 
I have previously invested in property and achieved great returns, none of my investments ever relied on negative gearing.... none.

The investment had to stand on its own two feet only mugs rely on neg gearing as a reason to invest in property sadly that's mostly the case these days.

There are a lot of millionaires that started with a deposit and negative gearing.

I know of several, Indian and Pakistani men that could hardly speak English 20 years ago, now they have Aussie accents, a family, and a property portfolio all started from a basic job no one else wanted and a negative geared property.

They have been my customers since then, at first they were difficult to deal with, always trying to squeeze me. Now they don’t blink an eyelid about the price.

That’s the difference between a dreamer and a smart worker.

Work the problem, use every tool at your disposal, get advice.

Their advice from financial advisors and accountants was to negative gear to build their wealth. And they did.
 
Today the ABS released the building approvals.
It is difficult to see how there is going to be the sort of increases in dwellings that the current government has touted it will build.
Tight supply, prices go up, it gets further out of reach of those not in the market.
Mick

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A rare occasion I can agree with you. Even with neg gearing, it is a costing people and only viable with rapidly increasing housing prices... and how long can that last. Does it make sense in a flat to declining market?

Nup

Negative gearing works when done with a sound backing and with a budget.

I do agree that it has gone too far and needs to be adjusted.
 
My opinion is that it is a gamble on RE always going up.
Neg gearing excesses are a consequence, not a cause.
Remove council powers and state crazy regulations, stop relentless migration and the problem is sorted..and these guys bankrupted.
If the share market was going up 15% a year always, negative gearing would be used there.
As i am not using it,not partial even better: i am really keen for Labour to remove it, just to see the shitshow, the economic collapse and the state of rental markets within 3 years. Go ahead guys go ahead😂

I’m with you, sometimes the only way to learn a lesson is to experience the pain.

Remove all the incentives that investors have to help them build rental homes. Then let us watch the governments build all the required housing.

I suppose that it could lead to an increase in private new builds, but that will also be interesting due to the limited land release.

And if investors aren’t buying properties or building houses there will probably be a huge reduction in property values, which would mean that property sales for redevelopment would stop as owners waited for better years, thus causing new home owners to look at land releases that aren’t happening fast enough.

This would force governments to partner with developers and build multi story apartment blocks similar to those in Europe and the UK.

Imagine that, a country the size of Europe building stacked homes to cram the population into affordable housing.
 
We live in a country with a Capitalist system.
If you are hinting that we should follow the communist/socialist theory, well that is a different discussion.
I'll argue that historically a combined approach worked well.

If someone let me do it then what I'd do is set up a state housing authority. The key purposes of this will be residential property development, construction of public housing, maintenance of government property and the training of apprentices.

The idea will be to sell most of the houses to private buyers at full market value, using the profit to fund those that are kept as public housing. Maintenance of government property will be done on a commercial basis, the relevant department invoiced for the work and the profit goes toward the public housing scheme.

Doing so in the full knowledge that this intentional flooding of the market will, ultimately, drive down prices. Slowly but it will happen, it will get there and we'll have fixed the shortage of tradies at the same time as building a lot of houses and all without spending a cent of taxpayers' money apart from initial seeding capital, which will be repaid from the first houses sold.

The aim not being to put the private builders or landlords out of business. It's just to boost the supply of housing and the supply of tradies to build them and bring some balance back to the market. Private builders can carry on as they are, my proposed state house building enterprise will be additional to their efforts not a replacement for them. :2twocents
 
I'll argue that historically a combined approach worked well.

If someone let me do it then what I'd do is set up a state housing authority. The key purposes of this will be residential property development, construction of public housing, maintenance of government property and the training of apprentices.

The idea will be to sell most of the houses to private buyers at full market value, using the profit to fund those that are kept as public housing.

Doing so in the full knowledge that this intentional flooding of the market will, ultimately, drive down prices. Slowly but it will happen, it will get there and we'll have fixed the shortage of tradies at the same time as building a lot of houses and all without spending a cent of taxpayers' money apart from initial seeding capital, which will be repaid from the first houses sold.

The aim not being to put the private builders out of business. It's just to boost the supply of housing and the supply of tradies to build them. Private builders can carry on as they are, my proposed state house building enterprise will be additional to their efforts not a replacement for them. :2twocents
We had here in WA many years the State Housing Authority, which built many homes, albeit not the mansions that most seem to want today.
As with most Govt run bodies it has long since passed on.
A drive around some suburbs and there are still State Houses still very visible.
Obviously built to last.
 
I'll argue that historically a combined approach worked well.

If someone let me do it then what I'd do is set up a state housing authority. The key purposes of this will be residential property development, construction of public housing, maintenance of government property and the training of apprentices.

The idea will be to sell most of the houses to private buyers at full market value, using the profit to fund those that are kept as public housing. Maintenance of government property will be done on a commercial basis, the relevant department invoiced for the work and the profit goes toward the public housing scheme.

Doing so in the full knowledge that this intentional flooding of the market will, ultimately, drive down prices. Slowly but it will happen, it will get there and we'll have fixed the shortage of tradies at the same time as building a lot of houses and all without spending a cent of taxpayers' money apart from initial seeding capital, which will be repaid from the first houses sold.

The aim not being to put the private builders or landlords out of business. It's just to boost the supply of housing and the supply of tradies to build them and bring some balance back to the market. Private builders can carry on as they are, my proposed state house building enterprise will be additional to their efforts not a replacement for them. :2twocents
I'd argue that's not a combined mixed capitalist/communist society. It's a capitalist society with social programs. Still a mixed economy, but words matter and how people perceive what is going on.

People need to know where the wealth creation is coming from. IE, the private sector.
 
Maybe motivated by great idealism and humanitarian motives, doesn't public housing in practice tend to mean you're creating some kind of dodgy no-go zone full of druggies, dudes fresh outta prison with teardrop face tattoos, hookers, 'fugees and [insert other humorous caricatures at will].
 
Maybe motivated by great idealism and humanitarian motives, doesn't public housing in practice tend to mean you're creating some kind of dodgy no-go zone full of druggies, dudes fresh outta prison with teardrop face tattoos, hookers, 'fugees and [insert other humorous caricatures at will].
Perhaps tenement housing does and even that it a bit loose.
The State Housing here certainly helped those who needed a knee up to get into a home.
 
I'll argue that historically a combined approach worked well.

If someone let me do it then what I'd do is set up a state housing authority. The key purposes of this will be residential property development, construction of public housing, maintenance of government property and the training of apprentices.

The idea will be to sell most of the houses to private buyers at full market value, using the profit to fund those that are kept as public housing. Maintenance of government property will be done on a commercial basis, the relevant department invoiced for the work and the profit goes toward the public housing scheme.

Doing so in the full knowledge that this intentional flooding of the market will, ultimately, drive down prices. Slowly but it will happen, it will get there and we'll have fixed the shortage of tradies at the same time as building a lot of houses and all without spending a cent of taxpayers' money apart from initial seeding capital, which will be repaid from the first houses sold.

The aim not being to put the private builders or landlords out of business. It's just to boost the supply of housing and the supply of tradies to build them and bring some balance back to the market. Private builders can carry on as they are, my proposed state house building enterprise will be additional to their efforts not a replacement for them. :2twocents

I'm with WayneL; "I'd argue that's not a combined mixed capitalist/communist society. It's a capitalist society with social programs. Still a mixed economy, but words matter and how people perceive what is going on."

And South Australia is proof, it created the SA Housing Trust in 1936.

Originally established as the South Australian Housing Trust by the state government in 1936, the Trust’s main role in those formative years was to build new housing to respond to migration and a population boom that followed World War II. As well as building thousands of new homes for low income working families, the Trust was also a significant driver of local planning, industrial and economic development, and population growth. Since then the Trust has helped build new suburbs (such as Elizabeth) and communities, which has helped create jobs and career paths for many South Australians.

The greatest leader in housing development for low-income workers was the Liberal & Country Party leader Premier Thomas Playford

After the Second World War the trust became one of the most powerful state authorities. Many new activities were supported by Playford, which enabled the SAHT to act as a total development authority, so that it could foster new suburban areas, industrial and economic development, and population expansion. The SAHT thus operated as "metropolitan planner" at several levels simultaneously: as formal town planner (at Elizabeth); as de facto metropolitan planner, integrating factory development and housing and extending the suburbs; and as a major state planner, particularly in relation to industrialisation and immigration.[3] The architect G. R. Shedley was a major contributor to this program.

Successive governments have diluted the scheme, with a Labor government being the worst, selling off housing assets and not replacing enough stock. The SA governments woke up to their mistakes and have been rushing to add stock during the past few years.

It was the SA Labor Party, however, that did the dirty work of dismantling the trust. The Labor government headed by Don Dunstan, in office from 1970 to 1979, began the process by limiting the trust’s ability to produce sales stock.
 
I've been away for a while, so haven't heard the whole story, but isn't this Government proposal exactly the situation they were bagging the banks for?
Where the banks were lending money on minimal deposit, to those who could least afford it and the banks were lambasted for it which eventually led to a Royal Commission.
It is a weird world, where we are perpetuating a ponzi, that will probably lead to a lifetime of poverty and probably intergenerational mortgages.
10 years is a long time in politics:

Labor’s Bill Shorten clearly thinks he’s on a winner with the demand for a royal commission, hitting all the right political notes when he said:

“There is a culture in banking which puts the profits of banks, big profits, billions of dollars of profits, ahead of the national interest and interests of mum and dad mortgagees, small businesses and people with large credit card interest rate debts.”

Albo’s bold move on housing crisis​


he government will reintroduce its Help To Buy Bill in the House of Representatives on Tuesday, once parliament resumes for a three-day sitting week.

Two attempts to force a vote in the Senate in September were thwarted, with the Greens pushing back the next vote until November 26 in order to continue negotiations.

Housing Minister Clare O’Neil called on the opposition and cross bench to put politics aside and back the legislation which would allow 40,000 Australians buy a home with a 2 per cent deposit.

To qualify for the scheme, buyers also must earn less than $90,000 a year, or $120,000 a year for couples.

“Every time the Coalition and the Greens have had a chance to help renters or first home buyers, they have chosen politics over progress,” she said.

“This week they get the chance to make progress for first home buyers in the parliament. Australians wanting to buy their first home expect more than further delay.”


The Greens have argued the scheme would not help, was largely inaccessible to the key workers Labor has said the Bill will assist, including nurses, childcare workers, teachers and paramedics.

Analysis by the Parliamentary Library found registered nurses and paramedics on average would earn above the income test, while a childcare worker on an average full-time salary of $67,430 a year would be in mortgage stress if they bought in Sydney, Brisbane or Melbourne.

The Greens also argue the policy will likely drive up prices of homes below the maximum price cap of $950,000 for NSW buyers in Sydney and other regional centres.

Instead the minor party, which holds the balance of power in the Senate, has called on the government to strip back negative gearing and capital gains tax concession for investors – both policies Labor has denounced.

The Greens have also called on the government to invest in a government-owned property developer which would be tasked with building affordable homes, which could be funded through cutbacks to the investor tax concessions.
 
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I've been away for a while, so haven't heard the whole story, but isn't this Government proposal exactly the situation they were bagging the banks for?
Where the banks were lending money on minimal deposit, to those who could least afford it and the banks were lambasted for it which eventually led to a Royal Commission.
It is a weird world, where we are perpetuating a ponzi, that will probably lead to a lifetime of poverty and probably intergenerational mortgages.
10 years is a long time in politics:

Labor’s Bill Shorten clearly thinks he’s on a winner with the demand for a royal commission, hitting all the right political notes when he said:

“There is a culture in banking which puts the profits of banks, big profits, billions of dollars of profits, ahead of the national interest and interests of mum and dad mortgagees, small businesses and people with large credit card interest rate debts.”

Albo’s bold move on housing crisis​


he government will reintroduce its Help To Buy Bill in the House of Representatives on Tuesday, once parliament resumes for a three-day sitting week.

Two attempts to force a vote in the Senate in September were thwarted, with the Greens pushing back the next vote until November 26 in order to continue negotiations.

Housing Minister Clare O’Neil called on the opposition and cross bench to put politics aside and back the legislation which would allow 40,000 Australians buy a home with a 2 per cent deposit.

To qualify for the scheme, buyers also must earn less than $90,000 a year, or $120,000 a year for couples.

“Every time the Coalition and the Greens have had a chance to help renters or first home buyers, they have chosen politics over progress,” she said.

“This week they get the chance to make progress for first home buyers in the parliament. Australians wanting to buy their first home expect more than further delay.”


The Greens have argued the scheme would not help, was largely inaccessible to the key workers Labor has said the Bill will assist, including nurses, childcare workers, teachers and paramedics.

Analysis by the Parliamentary Library found registered nurses and paramedics on average would earn above the income test, while a childcare worker on an average full-time salary of $67,430 a year would be in mortgage stress if they bought in Sydney, Brisbane or Melbourne.

The Greens also argue the policy will likely drive up prices of homes below the maximum price cap of $950,000 for NSW buyers in Sydney and other regional centres.

Instead the minor party, which holds the balance of power in the Senate, has called on the government to strip back negative gearing and capital gains tax concession for investors – both policies Labor has denounced.

The Greens have also called on the government to invest in a government-owned property developer which would be tasked with building affordable homes, which could be funded through cutbacks to the investor tax concessions.
If they didn't force all this legislative crap on landlords so that they can't protect their assets without spending $1000s extra a year on insurance and unnecessary repairs, houses would still be cheap to rent.
 
If they didn't force all this legislative crap on landlords so that they can't protect their assets without spending $1000s extra a year on insurance and unnecessary repairs, houses would still be cheap to rent.
Rent tends to be a reflection of return on investment, that is why people borrow and invest, therefore the more someone pays for the investment the more return they have to and want to derive from it, that's investing 101.
People either invest for income/ capital gain/ or both, very few invest to just fulfill their social conscience.

The issue at the moment is that property is seen as a 100% sure winner, so wealthy private investors and speculative younger investors are pouring money into the market, either as an investment property or as a dwelling with the expectation of a good capital gain.

The problem with that is, it ties up a huge amount of investment capital, in a non productive sector of the economy and there is very little "free" money to be used to fund growth in the productive sector of the economy, that can manifest itself as small businesses not being able to meet their costs and middle sized companies not being able to capital raise.

That has shown up recently in a companies like Redflow, who couldn't raise funds to scale up their production.
Why would people borrow more money to put into companies like Redflow, when they can just invest in real estate as the demand there is outstripping supply, it's a no brainer really any good investor would be jumping on board and they obviously are.

The problem is how does the Govt stop the ponzi without trashing the economy, a very difficult situation that has obviously gotten out of control in the last couple of years.
 
The problem is how does the Govt stop the ponzi without trashing the economy, a very difficult situation that has obviously gotten out of control in the last couple of years.
They can't that's another problem, remember all the people that withdrew from their super after Covid to buy in. All they can do now is ride it out and hopefully, it sorts itself out over the years
Rent tends to be a reflection of return on investment, that is why people borrow and invest, therefore the more someone pays for the investment the more return they have to and want to derive from it, that's investing 101.
People either invest for income/ capital gain/ or both, very few invest to just fulfill their social conscience.
I've been involved with rentals for a very long time, probably longer than some people on here have been alive. Years ago rents were just pocket money, basically not many regulations and when the tenant stuffed you around you just threw them out, and they house hopped. It costs a lot of money to run a house by the rules these days, and I'd say if you see a big recession you're going to see a lot of bankrupt people. You only have to look as far as how many builders have gone bankrupt due to material prices climbing so fast.
 
I'll argue that historically a combined approach worked well.

If someone let me do it then what I'd do is set up a state housing authority. The key purposes of this will be residential property development, construction of public housing, maintenance of government property and the training of apprentices.

The idea will be to sell most of the houses to private buyers at full market value, using the profit to fund those that are kept as public housing. Maintenance of government property will be done on a commercial basis, the relevant department invoiced for the work and the profit goes toward the public housing scheme.

Doing so in the full knowledge that this intentional flooding of the market will, ultimately, drive down prices. Slowly but it will happen, it will get there and we'll have fixed the shortage of tradies at the same time as building a lot of houses and all without spending a cent of taxpayers' money apart from initial seeding capital, which will be repaid from the first houses sold.

The aim not being to put the private builders or landlords out of business. It's just to boost the supply of housing and the supply of tradies to build them and bring some balance back to the market. Private builders can carry on as they are, my proposed state house building enterprise will be additional to their efforts not a replacement for them. :2twocents

Govn't-funded housing will face the same issues as with anything taxpayer-funded....it will be rife with corrupt behavior, outrageously-expensive labour costs, unions will run the show.... see NDIS or the Big Build in Victoria. We'll end up new housing which is more expensive than it is today (and poor build quality), and it will simply be a massive drain on the federal budget.

Better to free up bottlenecks and reduce taxes/costs under the current privately-funded system IMO. (and slow-down population growth/immigration numbers)
 
Govn't-funded housing will face the same issues as with anything taxpayer-funded....it will be rife with corrupt behavior, outrageously-expensive labour costs, unions will run the show.... see NDIS or the Big Build in Victoria. We'll end up new housing which is more expensive than it is today (and poor build quality), and it will simply be a massive drain on the federal budget.

Better to free up bottlenecks and reduce taxes/costs under the current privately-funded system IMO. (and slow-down population growth/immigration numbers)
My parents had a rental on the outskirts of a housing commission estate pre 2000s, we used to get all the people that would leave or get thrown out of public housing. The rent in public housing was means tested and when someone who worked went to stay with them or a house member got a job it would make the rent go up, so they would leave because it was cheaper to go private.

The local Govt got jack of it all and started offloading the houses every way possible, they knew how much of a liability it was. They started the rent to buy schemes, and when the houses got so trashed that weren't worth rerenting they would knock them down and sell the land off. They used to spend thousands rebuilding them at one stage, I used to watch them gut complete houses, rip the floor coveringst out, walls, bathrooms and kitchens, every day as I walked to school.
 
Just heard an interesting discussion on the radio. An English woman immigrated to Australia about 30 years ago, she retired a few years ago and recently looked at taking on a boarder to utilise her large home and get some extra spending money. Apparently, this is common in the UK and does not affect their pension.

Not possible in Australia. If she takes on a boarder, rents out a room, she will either lose part or all of her pension, and be inundated with taxation paperwork.

The discussion was about how many empty rooms are available to rent during the current rental crisis but are not on the market because of our complex and outdated taxation rules.

I can see nothing wrong with someone that has worked all their life and is now receiving a pension, being able to top up their income by renting a room or two. Alleviates multiple problems; increased income, improves the rental situation, improves social interaction and loneliness, helps maintain property through increase income for repairs, and so on.
 
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