Australian (ASX) Stock Market Forum

Well I think I’ve followed this forum enough now. I’ve got better things to do. I’ve added my 2 cents worth, which in short is, as a boomer I believe it’s more difficult to get on the housing ladder today than when I was a 20 year old.
Open discussion of opinions is good but this, for me, just seems to be an argument.
I’m off for a beer, but as a leaving comment, I pay tax, but I can’t vote, so what can I do ? I’m an immigrant.
I am sorry to see this good, interesting forum discussion on a really interesting and important topic being dragged in to one of insults and non bi partisan discussion.
Oh well moving on to see what the adults are discussing.
Gunnerguy
(sad and depressed that this interesting discussion has just gone downhill)
My apologies, if I added to your disappoint, the issue seemed to escalate due to people trying to put forward options, when that isn't what the other side wanted. The other side only wanted a forum to vent on, which is o.k, but it did go on and become a circular discussion.
Again my apologies and hopefully you will stay with the forum as this style of discussion isn't usual.
 
To me this is just insane. And I trade crypto and meme stocks.
It certainly shows there is a fundamental flaw when your housing market, is worth more than your stock market, especially when you consider there are only about 10 million private dwellings in Australia at the 2016 census.
It does raise a red flag IMO, how that many houses can be worth $1 trillion more than all the companies on the ASX, is just nonsense.
It is the thing crashes are made of IMO, I wonder how much non productive debt is attached to that $8 trillion?
 
To me this is just insane. And I trade crypto and meme stocks.
Australian domestic housing worth $8 trillion--this is exactly why governments (left, right, center) will never make serious changes to the housing market. They all know it will have a devastating impact on the economy. All governments are idiots, but they are smart enough to know that they do not want to be responsible for killing off a market worth $8 trillion. The great Aussie dream shifted a long time ago from owning your own house to being able to own an investment property.
 
Australian domestic housing worth $8 trillion--this is exactly why governments (left, right, center) will never make serious changes to the housing market. They all know it will have a devastating impact on the economy. All governments are idiots, but they are smart enough to know that they do not want to be responsible for killing off a market worth $8 trillion. The great Aussie dream shifted a long time ago from owning your own house to being able to own an investment property
They dont mind fiddling with super though
 
It looks as though the situation has gone far enough, lets see if anything is done, talk is one thing action is another.
From the article:
Liberal MPs are demanding the federal government consider radical plans to bring the runaway housing market under control after new figures showed the value of the nation’s homes soared by a record $450 billion in three months.

Sydney MP John Alexander said some of his own government’s policies were feeding into dysfunctional property market while Melbourne MP Tim Wilson said the tax system has to be overhauled to bring some balance back to house prices.
Data from the Australian Bureau of Statistics released on Tuesday showed dwelling prices jumped by 5.4 per cent through the March quarter, the largest quarterly lift since the end of 2009.
All cities reported an increase, led by Sydney (up by 6.1 per cent). Canberra prices jumped by 5.6 per cent, in Perth they were up by 5.2 per cent while in Melbourne they increased by 5.1 per cent.

The total value of the nation’s 10.6 million residential dwellings increased by $450 billion to $8.3 trillion, the single largest quarterly rise on record.
Mr Alexander said all governments had to work together to put in place policies that would gradually bring house prices down to about three times annual household income. In parts of Sydney, they are currently at 17 times income.
He believes an independent authority should set the proportion of losses an investor could deduct for their investment properties, based on trends in the property market.

Similar to how the Reserve Bank targets an inflation rate of between 2 and 3 per cent, this authority could be able to reduce deductibility to 50 per cent of expenses when investor activity is driving up house prices.

“I think you have to put in place policies that are far sighted, ones that make our biggest asset class as safe as houses,” he said. “The common wealth of this nation is tied to home ownership. But we now have home ownership at its lowest level in 60 years.”
“There are too many factors driving money into homes to think if we just tinker with supply, prices will decline – the biggest barrier for young Australians to buy their first home is saving enough for a deposit while renting,” he said. For this reason, Mr Wilson wants first home buyers to be able to tap into their superannuation for a deposit.

He also wants a rebasing of the tax system, with the same rate of tax applied to income also applied to capital growth. Several other Coalition MPs support his push, including Senator Gerard Rennick who wants capital gains tax charged on homes sold for more than $2 million.

Labor’s housing spokesman Jason Clare said the federal government could take some pressure out of the market by backing the efforts of NSW and the ACT to get rid of stamp duty.

“A bit of leadership from the federal government is desperately needed here. Getting rid of stamp duty is a good idea and the federal government could help coordinate this across the country,” he said.
“Doing this will cut the cost of buying a home by tens of thousands of dollars and also get rid of one of the big obstacles that stops people moving and downsizing. We also need to build more affordable housing and more social housing.”
 
It looks as though the situation has gone far enough, lets see if anything is done, talk is one thing action is another.
From the article:
For this reason, Mr Wilson wants first home buyers to be able to tap into their superannuation for a deposit.
This is without doubt one of the biggest ill-informed brain farts I've heard from a politician. Sure, lets allow people to put more money into a market that is already awash with lots and lots of cheap money. Is there no end to politicians' inability to tackle this problem :cautious:
 
Maybe old mate Tim Wilson should stop making superficial statements about solutions and do a little research into the potential impact of what he's suggesting.

Interesting study out of Deakin Uni on the impact of the first home buyers grant scheme--what a surprise, putting more money into the system just fueled an increase in house prices. Abstract below and full paper attached

The learned Mr. Wilson's suggestion of dipping into super will just have the same impact and further rob them of an important part of their retirement savings. Where do they get these ideas?

fhbg.JPG
 

Attachments

  • 52-Article Text-114-1-10-20140812.pdf
    155.5 KB · Views: 1
Maybe old mate Tim Wilson should stop making superficial statements about solutions and do a little research into the potential impact of what he's suggesting.
I agree, dipping into super wont do a thing, same as reducing stamp duty, that IMO is just another brain fart that will just allow people to borrow more money and push the prices up by the amount the stamp duty drops.

IMO they just have to remove all negative gearing on all residential property new and established, until some sort of equilibrium is found, grandfather existing for 24 months to give people time to bail out. Then remove interest as a tax deduction on a housing investment loan, it would cause some pain for a while, rents would go up, prices would go down, but it has to be better than the current ponzi scheme.
Jeez Sydney /Melbourne have become government guaranteed money making gambles, that is just tax payer funded roulette, with every number a winner.
The other bonus would be,it would reduce the amount of investment houses being built, the State governments could then use the slack caused in the building industry, to put a massive push back into social housing, which has been neglected for years.
They self perpetuating property bubble has to be broken, so that the investment money can be freed up and re directed into productive debt like manufacturing and resources etc. :2twocents
 
I agree, dipping into super wont do a thing, same as reducing stamp duty, that IMO is just another brain fart that will just allow people to borrow more money and push the prices up by the amount the stamp duty drops.

IMO they just have to remove all negative gearing on all residential property new and established, until some sort of equilibrium is found, grandfather existing for 24 months to give people time to bail out. Then remove interest as a tax deduction on a housing investment loan, it would cause some pain for a while, rents would go up, prices would go down, but it has to be better than the current ponzi scheme.
Jeez Sydney /Melbourne have become government guaranteed money making gambles, that is just tax payer funded roulette, with every number a winner.
I'm on the fence with negative gearing--I'm not convinced it is the driver of the recent ramp in house prices. Not saying it isn't a contributor, I question whether it is the root of all evil. Recent ATO data (maybe posted here) shows deductions of IPs have been reducing and more properties being breakeven or positively geared--which is put down to reduced interest expenses and rising rents. To me the major issue we currently have is down to cheap and easy money. Now I'm no economist but if this is the issue then why not tackle the problem head on. Why not allow folks current market interest rates for the PPOR, but you want a second house for an investment, well jack the interest rate right up for that. Of course to your point of negative gearing I acknowledge that jacking up interest rates will potentially allow greater interest rate deductions but that could be limited. This of course assumes that the problem is investors and I have not seen any data to support the fact that investors are the ones driving the prices up. My only limited observations on the houses that have been selling around me is that they are owner occupiers buying and not investors. I don't for one minute suggest there is a simple solution to this problem, but I do wish the governments would stop paying lip service to the issue and tackle it head on.
 
I'm on the fence with negative gearing--I'm not convinced it is the driver of the recent ramp in house prices. Not saying it isn't a contributor, I question whether it is the root of all evil. Recent ATO data (maybe posted here) shows deductions of IPs have been reducing and more properties being breakeven or positively geared--which is put down to reduced interest expenses and rising rents. .
If the negative gearing isn't a driver, it should have minimal effect, therefore removing it shouldn't cause a problem.
If some are burnt because of the removal of it, that would show they were only in the market for the tax deduction and there was no realistic way of it becoming positively geared.
If there is a very good possibility of the property becoming positive geared, then the investment should be able to stand on its merits and the tax component wont have an effect on the viability of the investment.
If the property investment can't stand up , without the tax advantage, it really isn't an investment, it is a gamble or a speculative punt.
Not saying it will fix things, but it is a move in the right direction IMO.:2twocents
 
If the negative gearing isn't a driver, it should have minimal effect, therefore removing it shouldn't cause a problem.
Couldn't agree more. I wasn't advocating that it should remain as is...I was in a round about way suggesting your point. Tinkering with it or removing it is--IMHO--unlikely to take any broad based heat out of the market and that the solution would probably require something far more significant than a focus on neg gearing.
 
It looks as though the situation has gone far enough, lets see if anything is done, talk is one thing action is another.
From the article:
Liberal MPs are demanding the federal government consider radical plans to bring the runaway housing market under control after new figures showed the value of the nation’s homes soared by a record $450 billion in three months.

Sydney MP John Alexander said some of his own government’s policies were feeding into dysfunctional property market while Melbourne MP Tim Wilson said the tax system has to be overhauled to bring some balance back to house prices.
Data from the Australian Bureau of Statistics released on Tuesday showed dwelling prices jumped by 5.4 per cent through the March quarter, the largest quarterly lift since the end of 2009.
All cities reported an increase, led by Sydney (up by 6.1 per cent). Canberra prices jumped by 5.6 per cent, in Perth they were up by 5.2 per cent while in Melbourne they increased by 5.1 per cent.

The total value of the nation’s 10.6 million residential dwellings increased by $450 billion to $8.3 trillion, the single largest quarterly rise on record.
Mr Alexander said all governments had to work together to put in place policies that would gradually bring house prices down to about three times annual household income. In parts of Sydney, they are currently at 17 times income.
He believes an independent authority should set the proportion of losses an investor could deduct for their investment properties, based on trends in the property market.

Similar to how the Reserve Bank targets an inflation rate of between 2 and 3 per cent, this authority could be able to reduce deductibility to 50 per cent of expenses when investor activity is driving up house prices.

“I think you have to put in place policies that are far sighted, ones that make our biggest asset class as safe as houses,” he said. “The common wealth of this nation is tied to home ownership. But we now have home ownership at its lowest level in 60 years.”
“There are too many factors driving money into homes to think if we just tinker with supply, prices will decline – the biggest barrier for young Australians to buy their first home is saving enough for a deposit while renting,” he said. For this reason, Mr Wilson wants first home buyers to be able to tap into their superannuation for a deposit.

He also wants a rebasing of the tax system, with the same rate of tax applied to income also applied to capital growth. Several other Coalition MPs support his push, including Senator Gerard Rennick who wants capital gains tax charged on homes sold for more than $2 million.

Labor’s housing spokesman Jason Clare said the federal government could take some pressure out of the market by backing the efforts of NSW and the ACT to get rid of stamp duty.

“A bit of leadership from the federal government is desperately needed here. Getting rid of stamp duty is a good idea and the federal government could help coordinate this across the country,” he said.
“Doing this will cut the cost of buying a home by tens of thousands of dollars and also get rid of one of the big obstacles that stops people moving and downsizing. We also need to build more affordable housing and more social housing.”
Nothing but mild tweaking and nothing but talk about it either.

Even if all this stuff happens (it won't) it won't do a damn thing about the problem anyway. Classic case of trying to make it look like you're doing something.
 
Nothing but mild tweaking and nothing but talk about it either.

Even if all this stuff happens (it won't) it won't do a damn thing about the problem anyway. Classic case of trying to make it look like you're doing something.
NZ recently tried something with not much results
 
Grants help because the system is mostly about leverage. The capital allows FHB to enter to the market as it gives them access to leverage.
 
Couldn't agree more. I wasn't advocating that it should remain as is...I was in a round about way suggesting your point. Tinkering with it or removing it is--IMHO--unlikely to take any broad based heat out of the market and that the solution would probably require something far more significant than a focus on neg gearing.
That is true, if they wanted to prick the housing bubble, just crank up interest rates.
The problem with that, highlights my issue with negative gearing, if interest rates go up it affects home owners much more than investors as they can't write off their loses.
Negative gearing on residential property just encourages non productive investment, to supply social housing IMO.
The money would be better spent supplying industrial growth, that has a chance of employing people and maintaining living standards.
The Government should be supplying social housing and if they want to help people get into a house, possibly allow first home owners to negative gear their loan, not investors.
Or at least move in that direction, as is shown in Melbourne/Sydney, a lot of investment money is directed into property with no hope of it ever being positively geared and any losses are subsidised by the taxpayer. What is the point?
Just my thoughts and I'm no economist. :2twocents
 
That is true, if they wanted to prick the housing bubble, just crank up interest rates.
The problem with that, highlights my issue with negative gearing, if interest rates go up it affects home owners much more than investors as they can't write off their loses.
Negative gearing on residential property just encourages non productive investment, to supply social housing IMO.
The money would be better spent supplying industrial growth, that has a chance of employing people and maintaining living standards.
The Government should be supplying social housing and if they want to help people get into a house, possibly allow first home owners to negative gear their loan, not investors.
Or at least move in that direction, as is shown in Melbourne/Sydney, a lot of investment money is directed into property with no hope of it ever being positively geared and any losses are subsidised by the taxpayer. What is the point?
Just my thoughts and I'm no economist. :2twocents
Do you really believe negative gearing cost money to the government?
As a single line in the accounting sheet, yes, but this pushes RE prices up , with both ATO and states gorging on stamp duty, cgt on resale of ip and even local councils adding 3pc yearly increase (we are reasonable) to rates on a number jumping by 15pc a year: valuation
Look where the money is and then you understand why no politician is serious about RE affordability, they all have their heads in the gravy
in the same way as: do not fight the market/the feds for shares, do not fight the decision makers in Australia.get into RE.
 
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