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Hello ? divs4everso here we are , roughly a week's trading left before the Christmas New Year breaks ( depending whether the market closes early on Friday 23 rd )
investing.com has the ASX SPI futures in negative territory ( so far )
and both Commsec and Bell Potter suggest their analysts have already gone on their Xmas break , so one might assume some bigger professional clients have also gone on vacation
leaving the small traders and investors to actually have some influence in market moves
now normally i can get some interesting buys ( and less often sales ) done in the next month ( actually right up to Australia Day ) BUT will this year be 'normal '
to give some sort of hints watch the 'market maker' bids/offers on popular ETFs ( if they stay relatively normal or shrink and shrink back that extra cent from the buying action )
expect SMSF folks having a proportionately bigger influence on the market , will they cherry-pick the large/mid caps , or veer toward LICs and ETFs this year
feel free to add a poll if so inclined
good luck everyone
i am thinking SMSF folk ( and the grandparents that put a few shares in trust for the grandchildren) to have some sayIn my opinion, the current data does not indicate a last minute upward rally. There is still too much uncertainty and no indication that markets have reached the bottom floor. Bargain hunters and FOMO will probably test with small purchased, but not enough to show up as a decent rally.
I believe that most buyers are waiting to see what the new year will bring.
Hello Knobby22,Does anyone know how often the Santa rally failed to eventuate over the last 20 years?
Don't know but I do see some parallels to 2018 when a Fed announcement killed an already struggling market in December.Does anyone know how often the Santa rally failed to eventuate over the last 20 years?
Perhaps poor old Santa has been de-railed this year, well according to my watchlist he hasn't even made it to his sled !!!!Hello Knobby22,
According to Investopedia:
- Historical stock market performance over the last two decades (from 2002-2021) shows just a small positive average return (+0.385%) for the week leading up to Christmas.
Santa Claus Rally: What It Is and Means for Investors
A Santa Claus rally is the sustained increase in the stock market that occurs around the Christmas holiday on Dec. 25.www.investopedia.com
Have a safe and happy Christmas and prosperous new year.
Kind regards
rcw1
be positive... Santa calls in to good people ...Perhaps poor old Santa has been de-railed this year, well according to my watchlist he hasn't even made it to his sled !!!
Hmmmmmmmmmmmbe positive... Santa calls in to good people ...
a most forgiving santa ha ha h ah ha ha haHmmmmmmmmmmm
I have been known to take the law into the dark side when offenders offend me
With great sadness I must admit He hasn't called in on me in years, not since I was 7 or 8 !!!!!a most forgiving santa ha ha h ah ha ha ha
rcw1 will sort it out direct with Santa. Stay tuned ha ha ha ha haWith great sadness I must admit He hasn't called in on me in years, not since I was 7 or 8 !!!!!
Must depart bovines awaiting their sugar fixrcw1 will sort it out direct with Santa. Stay tuned ha ha ha ha ha
you must have quite a haul of coal out there somewhereWith great sadness I must admit He hasn't called in on me in years, not since I was 7 or 8 !!!!!
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