Australian (ASX) Stock Market Forum

NUF - Nufarm Limited

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Nufarm also advised that the Group’s financial performance had been impacted by adverse seasonal weather conditions and supply related impacts. The company expects to report underlying earnings before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization (EBITDA) of around $420 million for the 2019 financial year, subject to finalization of the accounts and audit. This compares to the previously advised range of $440 million to $470 million and consensus estimates of $436m.

Nufarmhas undertaken the placement of $97.5million of preference securities (PS) to existing shareholder and strategic business partner, Sumitomo Chemical through a wholly owned subsidiary Nufarm.The transaction strengthens Nufarm's balance sheet as a result of the issue of an equity instrument and builds on the longstanding relationship between Sumitomo and Nufarm. Key terms of the security include: •Securities may be exchanged for Nufarm shares at Sumitomo’s electionany time after 24 months at an exchange price of AUD$5.85 per Nufarm share
•Nufarm may purchase the preference securities from Sumitomoat any quarter following issue of the securities for the full principal amount outstanding at that time and the amount of any unpaid distributions
•A quarterly distribution at a fixed rate of 6% is payable to Sumitomo for the first 12 months and 10% thereafter. YIKES 10% THERE AFTER
In the even THAT Investment Pty Ltd does not pay the distribution on the PS Nufarm may not declare a dividend payment in respect of any of its ordinary shares or step-up securities until all undeclared distributions are declared and paid on the PS F the rest of the shareholders.
Market seems to like it as a short term risk buffer and is up 3.5%
 
Very big fall in share price after ASX announcement today "Update on half year results" (file uploaded)

Nufarm accounting error.
The share price is crashing lower on Monday after revealing a costly accounting error. While reconciling accounts with German customers for the 2019 calendar year, Nufarm identified additional sales rebate claims from customers.

This is expected to result in a $9 million impact to its first half EBITDA.

Nufarm has warned that trading conditions have been very difficult in FY 2020.

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Don't hold

704
 

Attachments

  • NUF Update on half year results.pdf
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NUF recovering well from the announcement in the previous post.

I got in late due to funds being tied up but original buy signal was on the 26/11 and to be honest I am not sure that I would have jumped in then as the resistance at $5.23 would have been my concern.

Anyway this trade is going well and a gap is still to be filled which was caused by the bad news. Once the gap is filled the next resistance I can see is around the $6.445 area so we will see what happens.

Also some good volume on Friday which is encouraging.

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ASX Ann today "Update on first half earnings" (uploaded)

In November Nufarm announced that its earnings for the first half ending January 31 would be significantly lower than the prior corresponding period.

With the end of the half now in sight, Nufarm believes it is able to provide a more accurate estimate for its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation and amortisation (EBITDA).

According to the release, management expects its first half EBITDA to be in the range of $55 million to $65 million. This compares to its underlying EBITDA of $120.9 million a year earlier.

Share price down 11% at 11:49 am
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Attachments

  • NUF Update on first half earnings.pdf
    172.4 KB · Views: 5
Walgett resident Enid Coupe said the rain had saved her family business from the brink of collapse. She and her husband, Hunter, have a spraying business and also run a small farm in Walgett in north-west NSW. Ms Coupe says the last quarter's rain came just in time, after almost a decade of extremely difficult conditions for the entire region.
"..Because of the rain at the start of the year, we've done more spraying with our business in the last two months than in the last four years — it's a big difference." "The biggest issue for ag at the moment is how hard it can be to find weedkiller," Ms Coupe said. "I don't think the suppliers of glyphosate in Australia anticipated that the entire eastern seaboard would have a spray round and use up all the spray in the country." "Now we've got places that need spraying and they can't get chemicals, and supplies are hard to get as well.". .
https://mobile.abc.net.au/news/2020...tural-businesses-bounce-back-to-life/12106688
 
I entered NUF today but not to sure about the announcement that came after close today.

I don't trade on fundamentals but I do always have a look to see what is going on, and unfortunately this one can't be helped.

I'm sure the below isn't news to anyone as the COVID-19 has impacted many businesses so hopefully factored in and SP doesn't drop too much.

Credit Suisse 2020 London Chemical and Agriculture Conference

The good

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The bad

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Attachments

  • upload_2020-6-3_18-24-20.png
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ouch, not a good open, hopefully will recover a bit throughout the day :cautious:

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I ended up averaging down on this one as I believed it was oversold.

Bought @ $4.75 so eased the pain a bit, NUF closed at $4.86 so we will see how we go over the next few days.
 
I ended up averaging down on this one as I believed it was oversold.

Bought @ $4.75 so eased the pain a bit, NUF closed at $4.86 so we will see how we go over the next few days.
We have all been there with a stock.

Trust it works out for you @Trav.

gg
 
Cheers @Garpal Gumnut I've been waiting for a loser to turn up but been lucky to get a few winners lately.

Hopefully a few people swoop in tomorrow to grab a bargain... :eek:
Good on you. I can see why the chart appealed with the break up after 2 months of nothing much and re-test over the last week or so.

I'm just looking at Gold and Health atm. as these curve balls will occur in these times. Stay well.

gg
 
NUF turned up in my CAM Weekly scans and I have entered again....we will see if this is a wise move. :cautious:

up 4.8% today which was probably driven by the AGM speech and presentation released today

Trending down for the last year and hopefully it can break up........

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only a side hustle at present,

Nufarm has entered into a 10-year sales contract with BP for a sustainable biofuels ingredient that can be used to help decarbonise difficult transport areas such as aviation.

The deal with Nufarm’s seed technology subsidiary, Nuseed, will see BP’s North American business buy Nuseed
Carinata oil intending to process it or selling it into growing markets for the production of sustainable biofuels, initially in Europe and North America.

Carinata is a non-food crop that can be used to produce low-carbon biofuel feedstock that is independently certified and sustainable. It reduces emissions when its oil is used to replace fossil fuels, and removes atmospheric carbon, and restores soil carbon while it grows. The crop is listed by the International Civil Aviation Organisation as a sustainable aviation fuel feedstock.
 
WOW..... 2 plus years and no interest in ASF.......

I'm starting to look at them now.
I don't think I ever owned them even though I have had them on my watch list in the past,.
 
WOW..... 2 plus years and no interest in ASF.......

I'm starting to look at them now.
I don't think I ever owned them even though I have had them on my watch list in the past,.
as with all Oz agristocks: I am always keen to enter on fundamental then burnt:
on the past list RFF, NUF, ELD, AAC, etc I still own some RFF but only minor exposure now after serious under-performances in previous years while food stuff was climbing higher and higher..
could NUF be part of the Labor H2 grand scheme and benefit (via ammonia)?
 
Took a look at the half year result.
Didn't like the look.

Should I pull my lowball (11%under yesterdays close) bid.

Lucky I did. Opened at that.
 
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