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I think there is more likelihood of the last sentence, coming to fruition, than the first.This is stuck in my head:
https://www.afr.com/news/economy/employment/uncovering-the-big-aussie-short-20160223-gn130w
I think it's very hard to argue with the first sentence of that quote. And if you include a wholesale funding disruption in your list of "risks that might actually happen", then the rest of it follows fairly naturally.
I think there is more likelihood of the last sentence, coming to fruition, than the first.
Just my opinion.
The first sentence is already here, a goodly chunk of Big 4 funding comes from wholesale overseas credit market. Maybe you think the Australian economy is super stable or whatever, but if Europe and Asia get a hiccup, they will either pay a lot to roll that funding or simply be unable to roll it at all.
Our economy looks a lot more like Brazil's than Germany's. IMO
These opportunities are what set you up for retirement. IMOI scraped together a few more coins yesterday to buy some more NAB. If it gets a bounce I will most likely sell this parcel, otherwise I will be drinking cask wine this Christmas and holding for the long term.
These opportunities are what set you up for retirement. IMO
That is the good thing about shares, for every person that thinks a share is worth buying, there is someone who thinks they should be sold.They are also the ones that mean you have to keep working. Nab is in a downtrend it might bounce of 24.
I call these a hope trade.
That is the good thing about shares, for every person that thinks a share is worth buying, there is someone who thinks they should be sold.
Hindsight is what shows who was right.
That is where it comes back to the individual, a bell doesn't ring when a share hits the bottom, so to accumulate the share when it reaches your perceived good value makes sense. IMOBut if you think it's a generational buy that'll set you up for retirement, why not wait for a higher low?
It sounds like it is going to be a grinch christmas for you, unless you start gifting NAB shares.I bought some more just after the open this morning. If they cart me off to the funny farm, point the shrink to this thread.
What's a swing point?Into the 22's now. This is the swing point in my opinion.
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