To Coppertop,
Did you get banned from HC, LOL ?
To All,
I think there was a recent bad article in Motley Fool.
LYC has been a real dog of a stock.
I feel like a flea on the back of a real dog.
PS - can't find the STOCK HELD button either.
Most of us here, back a dog from thyme to thyme.
We aren't always proud to admit it!
But if you feel the need!!
Disclosure: I don't hold!
With HotCopper down, where have the feuding bloggers gone?
There shareprice is on a well controlled slow downward trajectory, but with plenty of support at 11.5 and 11 cents.
The bots are being patient and everyone is playing a waiting game.
What a lead balloon that turned out to be
If it plays out as a Head'n'Shoulders pattern, the target will be exactly zero
On the other hand, if support holds at 11c, it could turn out one of the Buys of the Year.
watching ...
PS: Welcome aboard, ShanePU
We're a very civilised and friendly bunch; no feuding here. ... well - not much anyway.
LYC is having some major debt issues that threatens its existence. So a price target of zero may not be that silly.
Having said that, it is a somewhat stratregic asset so I think there will be punters coming to its rescue. Existing equity holders might not get much joy out of it however.
Trading Halt.
"integrated funding package"
here's hope for survival
At end of last quarter LYC had $38m ($33.3m unrestricted) in cash, and loss -$23m in operating cash flow. So by the end of the Sept quarter, if they lose another $20m in op cashflow, and repay $10m loan, they'd have nothing left. So you'd expect them to raise at least enough money for 6-9 months of operations and interests and loan repayments. That'd be ~$70-100m. To get that sort of deal away in an underwritten cap raising, I am going to guess a 1-for-3 rights issue @ 8.5c plus a $25m placement (raising $90m).
Here's a good article about the plight of LYC.
How does a short position get affected when a rights issue and placement occurs? I could probably think it through but don't have the mental acuity at the moment ...
Do you have a short on LYC? Where can you still source that?
P.S. LYC up 23% in the US OTC. But volume is pretty small there.
Trading Halt.
"integrated funding package"
here's hope for survival
Suspension.
As expected, the debt package will be complemented by a fund raising effort.
Let's then start with a clean sheet on Monday.
5-for-14 renounceable issue at 8cps plus 1 option per 2 subscribed shares, strike 9c by September 2015.
Could turn out attractive enough, especially as it's fully underwritten. Wait & See.
My random guess of 1-for-5 @ 8.5c + $20m placement was pretty close.
With the head trading at 8.7/8.8, the buffer is only 0.7c now and it is simply not enough imo for the retail holder to stump up the money, especially considering that every one of them are at a loss. It might however be a good opportunity for some players with big short positions to cover some of the shorts via the capital raising.
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