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While I don't particularly disagree with any of this, I still think LYC presents far far too much risk at the moment. I can see a set of events which will have this stock down much more, quite easily.
They really need to announce what is going on with the LAMP, until then I wouldn't touch it with a 10 foot pole. If it is delayed, then great - an opportunity to buy in / top up. But if it's something worse....
...As of yesterday, local regulators Atomic Energy Licensing Board (AELB) said that it has received the waste management plan but has yet to analyse it.
http://www.thesundaily.my/news/177021 said:KUALA LUMPUR (Oct 13, 2011): Fuziah Salleh (PKR-Kuantan) said the first shipment of radioactive ore bound for the Lynas Advanced Material Plant (LAMP) is expected to be shipped from Mount Weld, Australia by the month's end.
Expressing her concerns, Fuziah, who is also the party’s vice president, said that she received a report that the radioactive ore or Rare Earth Ore (REO) will arrive in Kuantan by end of October.
...
Also disclosing that Lynas had threatened to sue her for defamation for filling a report with the Australian Securities Commission, Fuziah said she will continue to pursue this issue till it is resolved.
Read this one for the full story...
http://www.freemalaysiatoday.com/2011/10/13/radioactive-ore-to-reach-kuantan-this-month/
Lynas meanwhile said that Fuziah was wrong in stating that Lynas was about to bring rare earth ore to Kuantan later this month.
“Her statements are factually inaccurate and misleading, and Lynas needs to clarify this.
“Lynas has no intention to export any rare earth ore to Kuantan and under no circumstance would do so without the requisite approvals, in this case the pre-operational licence for the Lynas Advanced Materials Plant (LAMP),” said Lynas Malaysia Sdn Bhd MD Mashal Ahmad in a statement.
He said that Fuziah’s allegation was factually incorrect, ill informed, misleading and damaging to Lynas and the regulators.
“The MPs latest claim casts doubt on her integrity,” added Mashal.
sounds like dirty biz to me.
China is the real dirty business in all this.
More blatant market manipulation.
http://www.cnbc.com/id/44953947
Should be good for Lynas.
reasoning?
LYC trading halt ? can not see any annoucement . CBA account has stopped quoting price.
China is the real dirty business in all this.
More blatant market manipulation.
http://www.cnbc.com/id/44953947
Should be good for Lynas.
Agree. China seems to have no interest in prices falling "down to earth" @ this time. But that is something outside the square of small investors. We shouldn't complain about that because a lot of us have been able to cash in big rewards in the last two years, right?
The manipulation that caused big losses for the majority of Lynas shareholders is done by a CEO that is still playing his typical banking tricks chasing the SP up and down by intransparantcy. Just imagine how easy it would have been to keep the sp in a much more reasonable range somewhere around 1 AUD. Instead the focus was put on exploding basket prices with no contract information causing the sp to act like a early stage explorer with a Mcap of almost 4 billion $ followed by a dramatic decline from 2,x to 0.8x.
No wonder people show up here that don't understand the very basics of valuation, comparing the price of a stock with 84m shares with LYC, still counting @ 1714m shares.
Disclosure: I covered all my short position tonight.
@AB
having mentioned "testing the lows" twice within 24h sounds very much like you are looking for an entry
regards
Julia
Disclosure: I covered all my short position tonight.
Julia
Clearly bullish.
Shorting lynas today
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