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International markets traders banter

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sinner said:
Performance was significantly higher on trades which were "in line" with my well quantified view of market sentiment
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Dangerous, it rarely makes such consistent sense, so what metric of expectancy could you possibly be relying upon? Unless your radar is really fine tuned and that's one major art, Oh Master!
However, the easiest time to trade sentiment, in my experience, is when markets are setting up for a crash, or are crashing. Which is kind of the case now looking toward those guys in tights flapping red sheets, dwarfed by the grizzly shadow behind them!
 
notting said:
Dangerous, it rarely makes such consistent sense, so what metric of expectancy could you possibly be relying upon? Unless your radar is really fine tuned and that's one major art, Oh Master!
Click to expand...

Relying on the sentiment component of my daily predictor, which gauges changes in various (public) FX sentiment/book aggregates and weights them by statistical significance for return prediction.

As part of a larger model it does a pretty good job of moderating vol at tops and bottoms on the daily and I use it on it's own (with success) as a directional and sizing tool in my discretionary intraday trading.

Today I didn't use it since I was trying to increase frequency of trades with a much 'faster' strategy. Only in hindsight did I note it would have helped.
 
sinner said:
which gauges changes in various (public) FX sentiment/book aggregates and weights them by statistical significance for return prediction.
Click to expand...

Cool...:brille:
 
sinner said:
As part of a larger model it does a pretty good job of moderating vol at tops and bottoms on the daily and I use it on it's own (with success) as a directional and sizing tool in my discretionary intraday trading.
Click to expand...

I think that was what I needed to hear! Thanks for the reply.
 
Honkers is taking a beating this morning...
 
i bought 677's honkers

man waiting on side of mountain with mouth wide open waiting for roast duck to fly in......he waits a long time
 
Watching that, the XINA50 and the ES....reluctant to go lower...

You guys might be ok LOL!

CanOz
 
LOL....

I've not got a chart up, only the book but I'm guessing it looks like this???



CanOz
 

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and gold still selling.......bout to pass the line of deliverance......
 
xjo goes bid.....think we can make green by close of cash session...... ?

 
Things are pretty nasty, bad data out of the US tonight could really make a mess of this next leg down...

CanOz

edit...WTF??
 
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