Australian (ASX) Stock Market Forum

Inflation

as i understand it ( and i could be wrong ) Powell cannot be sacked early , unless some major misconduct is proven , BUT Trump can easily decide not to extend his tenure , or renew his appointment .
Precisely. Powell quits or he sees his term out, trump can't boot him until his tenure is up.
 
as i understand it ( and i could be wrong ) Powell cannot be sacked early , unless some major misconduct is proven , BUT Trump can easily decide not to extend his tenure , or renew his appointment .

let's see what happens ( Trump might have a way to convince Powell to resign/retire early )
Yes has to be misconduct, buttt the Collins v Yellen and Seila vs CFPB may have provided a way to out the Fed chair. All thanks to Biden. Fed protection got a lot weaker.
Barr already jumped off. Probably didn't want to test it
 
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For those wondering, markets are starting to get seriously concerned about the probability of default in the U.K. Higher likelihood of default = higher risk, higher risk = rates go higher to make taking said risk worth it. Alternatively, the debt is monetised (paid off with printed cash) which devalues the currency and pumps inflation so interest rates have to go up by however much the currency is debased by. Either way, rates spike.

This is not going to remain unique to the U.K.
 
Do you think Powell gets the arse straight and QE starts pumping?

*Straight away
Nah I reckon they'll do a passive runoff of the fed's balance sheet, they just can't expand that any more. So whoever trump appoints will keep rates lowish, inflation will probably run hotter than they want but they'll take that option on account of it causing less pain to the average punter than pumping interest rates and also effectively reduces (debases) their debt.

We'll probably even see the headlines, propaganda etc saying "inflation is high but interest rates are low, at least we're preventing americans from feeling mortgage pain as well as inflation pain, biden couldn't do either".
 
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