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Inflation

A little bit off the thread.
Received an email today from our Health Insurer saying we are going to receive between $45 and $330 refund due to less money paid out for surgeries and the like during the Covid period.
The level of cover dictates how much will be deposited into accounts.
Nice to see a not for profit giving back to its members.
Well done HBF
 
Are we staring into the abyss here?

A few months ago, rate pause was being interpreted as a bullish event.
Now we know that central bankers are planning to hold rates for a few months, if not the entirety of 2023.
So how are businesses expected to survive and retain employees?
 
Now we know that central bankers are planning to hold rates for a few months, if not the entirety of 2023
are they ?? ( actually going to do that pause )

now i know consensus is ' don't bet against the Fed ' , but i like to have a back-up strategy as well , for instance they might need emergency cuts , or some other extraordinary measure

if US ( and European ) banks weren't showing signs of stress, a pause or mild rises make sense , but banker stress is there to be seen
 
Employment remains strong.

The stock market is not the economy.
 
15% pay rise for aged care workers +flow on, private sector increase wages to hold staff, costs go up.

The federal government will commit a record $11.3bn in next week's budget to fund a 15% pay rise for aged care workers in line with the Fair Work Commission's order for staff in the sector.3 hours ago

Inflation isn't going down IMO, only the value of the dollar. 1970's feel about all this.
People thinking they are going to have a comfortable retirement on super, had better up the salary sacrifice IMO. ?
 
Employment is always strong before it becomes weak though
True but the fed A: isn't entirely stupid and B: is responsive (mostly).

Their previous comments "inflation outlook doesn't support lower rates" is accurate - the U.S economy is actually in excellent shape, relatively speaking.
 
now i know consensus is ' don't bet against the Fed ' , but i like to have a back-up strategy as well , for instance they might need emergency cuts , or some other extraordinary measure
Track record is they'll keep raising rates until something breaks. The question is what breaks and when, not if it will occur.
 
True but the fed A: isn't entirely stupid and B: is responsive (mostly).

Their previous comments "inflation outlook doesn't support lower rates" is accurate - the U.S economy is actually in excellent shape, relatively speaking.

Nah, it's not that the Fed is stupid or unresponsive. It's that they're acting on delayed information. The same happened in the run-up to the GFC, everything looked great until it didn't.
 
I'd hardly call one month a catastrophe causing data delay.

Like I said, the u.s economy can handle much higher rates than everyone else.

Even aus should be much higher but we've been over the corruption, being on the take from the housing lobby etc etc that'll mean far too little actually happens here.

At least NZ is doing the right thing.
 
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