Australian (ASX) Stock Market Forum

Inflation

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IMO Australia is in a much better position economically than say the U.S or UK, we have a growing population and are starting from a fairly affluent lifestyle. The U.S and UK have a stagnant population where the poor are already on the bones of their ar$e in trailer parks, we have a lot more wriggle room. Lol
So long as mining remains strong.
 
15% pay rise for aged care workers +flow on, private sector increase wages to hold staff, costs go up.


Inflation isn't going down IMO, only the value of the dollar. 1970's feel about all this. :xyxthumbs
I thought this had a 1970's feel about it.

Rising energy prices and rents will add substantially to cost-of-living pressures over the next year or so despite the Reserve Bank’s efforts to tackle inflation, with the bank warning more interest rate rises may be needed to bring the economy under control.

Inflation is falling slightly faster than the central bank expected, slowing economic growth this year. But it is also hastening the prospect of real increases in wages, which are now forecast to grow faster than inflation by the middle of next year.
 
and which one hasn't actually happened recently ( despite political statements to the contrary )

at least two failing banks sold billions of dollars of US Treasuries yet bond prices didn't reflect that , terrible news rattles the share market , but it mostly recovers by the close of the day , and well a few banks have failed recently

i guess it all relies on the deniability meter cracked to 11
Difference is, comparing to the GFC, all up a very long list of banks and other financial institutions went under.

Can't remember the number but I recall a site that was keeping track and they had a few pages just listing them all. Globally it was a huge number.

Two is just the background music playing before the support band goes on stage. The main act is still quite some time away. :2twocents
 
Biggest problem is 5 out of ten apprentices that finish end up leaving the industry.
Just my observation but a lot of things push tradies out of the industry. Among others:

Some do go on to something bigger and better.

Some simply find themselves working for dodgy employers and will take any offer that gets them away from that be it the same career or a new one.

Self-employed get fed up with crap customers who don't pay up or otherwise cause hassles.

Health an issue for some.

Some simply lose interest in the trade due to "dumbing down".

Silly expectations on building sites in particular drive some out.

End result is there's plenty of tradies doing other jobs and a shortage of available people doing actual trades work. There are solutions but it requires someone to actually want to fix the problem. :2twocents
 
Just my observation but a lot of things push tradies out of the industry. Among others:

Some do go on to something bigger and better.

Some simply find themselves working for dodgy employers and will take any offer that gets them away from that be it the same career or a new one.

Self-employed get fed up with crap customers who don't pay up or otherwise cause hassles.

Health an issue for some.

Some simply lose interest in the trade due to "dumbing down".

Silly expectations on building sites in particular drive some out.

End result is there's plenty of tradies doing other jobs and a shortage of available people doing actual trades work. There are solutions but it requires someone to actually want to fix the problem. :2twocents

I was invited to a Motor Trades Association AGM, they have been following the trend for quite a while, putting a study together and getting feedback from the people and industry. The partial list I gave comes from the horses mouth.

Solutions have been implemented, but the reasons are so varied that it is impossible to have a fix for every single problem.

Life is like that sometimes, as a 18/19 year old we are still growing, expanding our knowledge and changing. Four years is a long time for a young person, they become someone else wit different interests.

It’s not the mature tradespeople that they are losing, it’s the ones that finish their apprenticeship, and the ones that have reached retirement age.
 
Just my observation but a lot of things push tradies out of the industry. Among others:

Some do go on to something bigger and better.

Some simply find themselves working for dodgy employers and will take any offer that gets them away from that be it the same career or a new one.

Self-employed get fed up with crap customers who don't pay up or otherwise cause hassles.

Health an issue for some.

Some simply lose interest in the trade due to "dumbing down".

Silly expectations on building sites in particular drive some out.

End result is there's plenty of tradies doing other jobs and a shortage of available people doing actual trades work. There are solutions but it requires someone to actually want to fix the problem. :2twocents
Finding someone to solve industry problems, well I don't think looking at the lot in power is the answer. To busy shoring up the Treasury benches and pushing the Voice B/S wheelbarrow to have to worry about anything that might be more important.
 


CAN'T LET HOUSE PRICES DROP CAN WE?

"First home buyers are going to be in negative equity".

Yep, that's our concern. First home buyers.
 
Are profits a major cause of inflation ?

Opinions differ.

well we could try the strategy of .. no profits equals no business equals no inflation because there is no economy to generate tax revenue to fund a government , am not sure how popular this would be , but this seems to be the way we are going
 
well we could try the strategy of .. no profits equals no business equals no inflation because there is no economy to generate tax revenue to fund a government , am not sure how popular this would be , but this seems to be the way we are going
Yes, but it's a matter of degree. Business could jack up prices, make more profits until the consumers decided not to buy anymore . Business goes broke, there is no economy.
 
Yes, but it's a matter of degree. Business could jack up prices, make more profits until the consumers decided not to buy anymore . Business goes broke, there is no economy.
Indeed, however one of two things will happen in that case.

1/ the business will lower prices until the point that people start buying again. Classic supply/demand curve.

2/ competition will step in and start undercutting in order to acquire the business.

Both scenarios seek to achieve maximum profit under the current economic circumstances. Maximum profit under a particular set of circumstances might not be very much but it will be the best the company can do at that point in time.

Capitalism/economics 101
 
Indeed, however one of two things will happen in that case.

1/ the business will lower prices until the point that people start buying again. Classic supply/demand curve.

2/ competition will step in and start undercutting in order to acquire the business.

Both scenarios seek to achieve maximum profit under the current economic circumstances. Maximum profit under a particular set of circumstances might not be very much but it will be the best the company can do at that point in time.

Capitalism/economics 101
Assuming there is sufficient competition of course.

Not necessarily the case.
 
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