Heres my thoughts about the matter , listen , dont listen , who really cares , just another textual opinion in my book ... but here it is......... we get a bailout= 15% rise followed by 30-40 % fall ....... no bailout = 20% fall quickly ........ dont ask how i came by these numbers as no mathematician ...just giving my 2 cents on what im seeing ........
all the best
nunthewiser
Sounds like the rough curve Im working with too.