Australian (ASX) Stock Market Forum

Gold Mining Stocks

Well surely today we'll get a response in gold stocks? HUI and XAU indices up a couple of percent overnight and we get the usual tailwind of the AUD with our gold price being up more than double the US bump.

Screenshot_20250204_072901_Gold Live!.jpg
 
Since the GDX and GDXJ started to catch up to the proportional rise in POG you almost could have thrown a dart at the RIH gold board and made 40% without blinking. Well done to anyone picking the base of POG and potential rise in the stocks that lagged for some time.
 
Since the GDX and GDXJ started to catch up to the proportional rise in POG you almost could have thrown a dart at the RIH gold board and made 40% without blinking. Well done to anyone picking the base of POG and potential rise in the stocks that lagged for some time.
Which time frame are you using @Sean K?

Just had a play with Tradingview, starting point made a big difference to % between GDX, GDXJ and gold price.

Although I can understand the markets reluctance to get carried away with the junior Goldies, they have quite the reputation for destroying wealth in both good times and bad.
 
Which time frame are you using @Sean K?

Just had a play with Tradingview, starting point made a big difference to % between GDX, GDXJ and gold price.

Although I can understand the markets reluctance to get carried away with the junior Goldies, they have quite the reputation for destroying wealth in both good times and bad.

It does depend on where you put the zero in the timeline. GLD is the green line on this.

Screenshot 2025-02-11 at 19.43.28.png

GLD to GDX

Screenshot 2025-02-11 at 19.48.32.png


Six monthly.

So, Maybe better throwing darts at the GLD!

Screenshot 2025-02-11 at 19.51.40.png


So, it looks like only the last 2 months were better for dart throwing.
 
I can sense a bit of a top forming in gold, and having made some very nice profits out of s(some) gold stocks, will be looking to sell half of my holdings in (some) stocks.
Just hoping to hang on till quarterly reporting season is largely done.
With the average gold price about USD 200 higher for the quarter just completed, already good cash flow will only have got better, so we should see some serious free cash flow, which I expect will give a boost to gold stock SP's.
Mick
 
I can sense a bit of a top forming in gold, and having made some very nice profits out of s(some) gold stocks, will be looking to sell half of my holdings in (some) stocks.
Just hoping to hang on till quarterly reporting season is largely done.
With the average gold price about USD 200 higher for the quarter just completed, already good cash flow will only have got better, so we should see some serious free cash flow, which I expect will give a boost to gold stock SP's.
Mick

Reporting for this quarter and last for the unhedged should be very nice.
 
I don't know @Sean K . I'm still expecting a reasonable retracement in the POG and the unhedged gold stocks are going to get hammered.

gg
well a major liquidity event should be a scenario which should be planned for ( and half-expected )

but would unhedged gold stocks get hammered ( more than the rest of the market )

unless you see a scenario when gold becomes 'the new lead ' i can't see an argument against gold stocks that are debt-free and making a profit .. sure capex would be delayed/slashed and divs would be suspended , a profitable company will have options ( including accepting take-over bids )
 
and FIFW gold bullion is an acceptable asset under Basel III which would encourage some banks to hold it as 'a liquid asset '
 
On the New York markets tonight the $AUD and Gold are the only 2 entities on my watchlist that are up. GDX is down slightly 0.17%.

It is a bit weird that the miners have not gone ballistic yet. I was going to commit some lazy moolah to GDX but have elected to hold off presently. I guess the big guys must see more risk from tariffs in the miners OR gold's parabolic moves are causing them indigestion.

Tomorrow our time will tell. Posted 10.32 pm AEST. Because I use a VPN I never know at this time of night at what time anyone has posted.

gg
 
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