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Economic implications of a SARS/Coronavirus outbreak

Time will tell, be interesting if any Country is will to come out with evidence that it was engineered.
I hope not for the simple reason that regardless of how it actually happened, the ramifications of any major country being convinced that it was an engineered virus would be extremely serious for everyone on earth.
 
They don't let them bulk buy toilet paper now

Saw the sewer unblocking truck down the road yesterday.

That'll be a growth area of employment if people are flushing paper towels and so on as they block the pipes apparently.

There's also the more serious aspect that having sewage spills in the streets sounds like a damn good way to spread the virus.
 
I hope not for the simple reason that regardless of how it actually happened, the ramifications of any major country being convinced that it was an engineered virus would be extremely serious for everyone on earth.

While I agree, it would be serious, it might prevent a much greater virus gaining control with a much higher mortality rate.

I think many would be sh---it scared if they new what some countries and playing with in regards to bio weapons.

Nuclear weapons are bad, but at least focused, bio weapons are terrifying.
 

Sdajii I am genuine interested and curious because I have no idea in this field how do you counter all those articles which say it is natural?

for example this https://www.sciencedaily.com/releases/2020/03/200317175442.htm

just a first google result, is it because nobody wants to accuse anybody officially? I am genuinly just curious and interested in evidence from both sides
 


A good friend of mine just down the road tested positive. But her 2 young kids, baby sitter and husband were all cleared negative. The good news is that her symptoms were just like a very mild flu, day 11 and recovering well. She said the biggest impact was the fear, uncertainty and doubt of what was ahead.
 
https://www.cnbc.com/video/2020/03/...-likely-to-peak-in-late-april-to-mid-may.html

His timeline for U.S:
- Infections peak late April (within hospital capacity levels) and then drop in May
- Disappears in July and August
- Outbreaks again during September, October, November (Autumn months) but better prepared to contain
- Also sceptical about any Malaria or other drugs being used without proven clinical outcomes
 
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Just google sars hiv hiv sequence, this should lead you to a research paper.indian release nearly 2 months ago
To get these unique hiv and sars sequence in the corona virus would require a bat monkey with aids
Basically a proof it is engineered
I posted the link a while back, when it first appears, this info is suppressed as potentially,.i understand that, damaging.
The Chinese gov is recently trying to turn the table and blaming the US.. surprise...
But of course the only lab they have dealing with these viruses is located in Wuhan , L4 lab.
All info available on the web, and from before the crisis..no fake news..hard facts.. unpleasant
 
From @bigdog daily post
Investors are jumpy due to uncertainty about the size and duration of the impact of the coronavirus outbreak and the spreading wave of business shutdowns meant to help contain it.
I think the US is behind in it's attempts to limit the virus spread and a ticking time bomb. Until it peaks there, we're not out of the woods. The economic implications remain dire; the market response is likely to still be negative
 
This has certainly exploded. Unfortunately it is no surprise if one understands how exponential growth operates when a disease is spreading. However when towns and countries test, isolate and ensure socoal distancing the spread of the virus can be stopped.

I'm an ER doctor. Please take coronavirus seriously
Most people don’t understand exponential growth. If they did, they’d be far more frightened
https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2020/mar/20/er-doctor-coronavirus-exponential-growth#img-1
 

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The 3000 person town of Vo in Norther Italy which suffered the first Corona Virus death now has no corona virus infections.
How did they achieve that ?
Scientists say mass tests in Italian town have halted Covid-19 there
A study in Vò, which saw Italy’s first death, points to the danger of asymptomatic carriers

Lorenzo Tondo in Palermo


@lorenzo_tondo

Wed 18 Mar 2020 16.30 EDT Last modified on Thu 19 Mar 2020 11.32 EDT

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9,936



Volunteers line up to undergo testing in Vò, Italy, where the country’s first coronavirus death occurred. Photograph: Andrea Casalis/AP
The small town of Vò, in northern Italy, where the first coronavirus death occurred in the country, has become a case study that demonstrates how scientists might neutralise the spread of Covid-19.
https://www.theguardian.com/world/2...ss-tests-in-italian-town-have-halted-covid-19
 
Another story on the plus side.

Tesla, Ford and GM offer to build ventilators amid shortages
Car companies willing to make ventilators amid shortage
1 / 1 photos

Car companies in the US and UK are offering up their manufacturing plants for the production of ventilators, in a bid to assist with growing shortages imposed by the coronavirus crisis.
https://www.drive.com.au/news/tesla...strap-masthead&utm_source=acm&utm_medium=link
 
Clearest most practical analysis of the options we face to deal with with crisis I have seen.

The case for shutting down almost everything, and restarting when coronavirus is gone
John Daley
Here are the three endgames Australia could pursue, and why we should choose the most radical

Nobody likes talking about the COVID-19 endgame, but we need to choose one. The appropriate interventions – public health, government spending, and freedom of movement – all depend on the endgame we choose.

The differences between endgames amount to tens of thousands of avoidable deaths, hundreds of thousands of avoidable hospital admissions, and deep and systemic impacts on Australia’s economy and society.

Many discussions are underestimating the likely political reactions when death counts rise.

They are also underestimating the economic and social consequences of an open-ended epidemic that will have enormous real-world impacts on small and medium businesses, as well as many not-for-profit organisations in every sector of the economy and society. We are not facing up to the social consequences if many close, and credit markets collapse.

We see three possible endgames.

None are attractive, but one is better than the others
https://www.theguardian.com/comment...thing-and-restarting-when-coronavirus-is-gone
 
New York has taken the shutdown approach.

Here's what a 90-day 'stay home' order means for New Yorkers
Governor Andrew Cuomo has ordered all non-essential businesses to shut down and for people to remain indoors
Kenya Evelyn in Washington

@LiveFromKenya
Fri 20 Mar 2020 17.23 EDT Last modified on Fri 20 Mar 2020 18.16 EDT

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A woman wears personal protective equipment (PPE) as she rides the air-train at John F Kennedy international airport in New York City, on Friday. Photograph: Brendan McDermid/Reuters
Governor Andrew Cuomo of New York has ordered the shutdown of all non-essential businesses in the state, as the number of confirmed coronavirus cases surged above 7,000. Except for essential services, all New Yorkers are now ordered to stay indoors for up to 90 days from 8pm Sunday evening.

Cuomo called the new measures the “ultimate step” to curb the outbreak.

“These provisions will be enforced. These are not helpful hints. This is not if you really want to be a great citizen. These are legal provisions,” he said at a briefing on Friday morning in Albany, the state’s capital. “We need everyone to be safe; otherwise, no one can be safe.”
https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2020/mar/20/new-york-90-day-stay-home-order-what-it-means
 
David_Monty Comment from The Guardian after the article on Casze for shutting down
41m ago

2 3

Australia and New Zealand should be aiming to eliminate the virus (end game 3) and that could be achieved with a short, sharp shutdown followed by a similar period of aggressive case finding. The first phase of this process does not require massive testing as the shutdown of all but truly essential services would end transmission chains, if we had community support for it. This shutdown would need to be long enough for existing infection chains in households to be broken. At present this option is not being considered seriously. Look at experiences from Hokkaido, the Italian villagge that remains free and many cities in China. This approach has worked elsewhere. Lets start with the simple statement that Australia's goal is to eliminate the virus ASAP and stop it from coming back in. Then design and implement a system that is capable of achieving these goals. But do it now before it is too late. As an animal disease manager I would not be allowed to get away with producing a plan that produces the sort of economic damage that will be inflicted by flattening the curve. Why are we letting our medical authorities only promote this one option when the damage caused by this approach will be extreme? No customers at Chadstone today - try that for 6 months and see what is left of our economy! We need to get rid of this virus now. It can be done.
https://www.theguardian.com/comment...thing-and-restarting-when-coronavirus-is-gone
 
Same as
https://www.news.com.au/finance/eco...o/news-story/fefb6eb8a17608202d704b40bb4e2dff
But not from the guardian
We have solutions.unpleasant costly

For many, after the denial we saw from January till basically early March, just a flu, buy the dip, there is now anger brewing
Anger for being wrong, blind to the facts and some is understandable
Now people are going to lose their jobs, their homes, their savings and they need to blame someone
For many, at no fault ...
Not a good time to say i told you so ....
Worse, soon we will start losing loved ones

Why is my true blue aussie dad left dying when that: fill the blank
Druggie, welfare recipient, migrant, never paid tax or fought for our flag and get the ICU bed
We will soon see people demanding action...
 
While this is hardly the most appropriate time to ask a question, I was wondering :
What is the value of a life? Yes monetary value.

Before all the normal ACF commentators burn me in flames, is there a value as this thread is about economic impact, I will provide some parameters:
Age <10 years
Age <20 years
Age <40 year
Age < 70 years
Age 70-85 years
Age 85> and older.

I will provide some further ideas for discussion.
If we have limited medical resources and this turns nuclear and we have the following balance sheet.
Cost of saving someone in ICU is $1
We have $10 in the bank
There are :
10 People >85 requiring ICU
5 50-70 years olds requiring ICU
and 6 people under the age of 30 requiring ICU

What do you do?

Does a persons life become worth less as they get older, in regards to using resources to keep them alive.

Now again before anyone goes nuclear over this question, I have had more than $500K AUD spent on me medically to keep my body alive before the age of 30. I am now 49. If I had to choose between resources being spent on me or my 14 year old son, I would rather day and save him as his life is worth more.
 
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