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ConsMin sweats on ore prices
Michael Vaughan
Release of documentation supporting Brian Gilbertson’s play for control of Consolidated Minerals is days away and it looks like the manganese price might have mciii- hers of the board sweating.
Not for the reasons one might expect: the rising price of the steel- making metal is in danger of giving more ammunition to those who argue the board-endorsed Gilbertson bid is too low.
Last year, a weak price for manganese was the main factor in a $50 million drop in ConsMln’s full- year earnings, causing the company to record its first loss since 1999.
In stark contrast, the manganese price has surged in the past two months in a run brokers at Macquarie Research described as “remarkable” this week.
ConsMin is trying to complete a transaction with Pallinghurst Resources, of which Mr Gilbertson, the one-time chief executive of BlIP flilliton, is chairman.
The deal would give Pallinghurst 60 per cent of the company.
Pallinghurst has offered ConsMin shareholders $1.38 and two shares in the new company for every five shares they hold.
The offer originally had a nominal value of $128 but a rise in the ConsMin share price means it was worth $2.50 yesterday.
The transformation Mr Gilbert- son has promised to bring to the company has widespread support but some analysts and shareholders believe his price is too low.
He plans to increase ConsMin’s manganese production to take its share of the wotid’s high-grade supply to more than its 10 per cent
Unlike nickel or zinc, manganese is not traded on an exchange.
• An offer for Consolidated Minerals now looks low.
• The board faces criticism for endorsing the bid.
Buyers and sellers of the metal settle through over-the-counter contracts or on a small spot market.
After the 2006 loss, ConsMin decided to stop issuing profit forecasts and instead give price expectations and production forecasts.
“The company believes that through providing forecasts of production and costs, along with the regular reporting of commodity prices attained by the business, analysts and investors will be better positioned to have an informed view of the profit outlook,” ConsMin said last August
The company’s most recent guidance -For manganese prices finishes at the end of the month. ConsMin expects to receive an average price of about $US2.50 per dry metric ton unit, or DMTUt
The full-year average price is forecast at $US2.30 a DMTU.
Reports of prices into China of between $US5 and $US&50 have surfaced recently, although that price includes cost, insurance and freight charges.
ConsMin does not include such costs in its contracts meaning it receives a lower headline price.
About 50 per cent of ConsMin’s sales go to China and it negotiates prices on a quarterly contract It expects to produce 900,000 tomes to 925,000 tonnes in fiscal 2007.
“Discussions for the next quarter’s pricing will be concluded later this month, at which time we will update the market on pricing should that be required,” ConsMin’s general manager for marketing, Peter Allen, said.
Meanwhile, ConsMin’s under- performing nickel business should also have received a boost, as the company is expected to rmalise all its hedging arrangements.
At the start of the June quarter, the company had just 180 tonnes hedged at $13.52 a pound.
More than 1000 tonnes of nickel should be produced this quarter and prices are now $24.55 a pound.
The Atathan Finandal Review also understands the company has made some promising drillinghits at Widgiemooltha.
ConsMin’s share price closed up 3$ at $2.80 yesterday.
ConsMin sweats on ore prices
Michael Vaughan
Release of documentation supporting Brian Gilbertson’s play for control of Consolidated Minerals is days away and it looks like the manganese price might have mciii- hers of the board sweating.
Not for the reasons one might expect: the rising price of the steel- making metal is in danger of giving more ammunition to those who argue the board-endorsed Gilbertson bid is too low.
Last year, a weak price for manganese was the main factor in a $50 million drop in ConsMln’s full- year earnings, causing the company to record its first loss since 1999.
In stark contrast, the manganese price has surged in the past two months in a run brokers at Macquarie Research described as “remarkable” this week.
ConsMin is trying to complete a transaction with Pallinghurst Resources, of which Mr Gilbertson, the one-time chief executive of BlIP flilliton, is chairman.
The deal would give Pallinghurst 60 per cent of the company.
Pallinghurst has offered ConsMin shareholders $1.38 and two shares in the new company for every five shares they hold.
The offer originally had a nominal value of $128 but a rise in the ConsMin share price means it was worth $2.50 yesterday.
The transformation Mr Gilbert- son has promised to bring to the company has widespread support but some analysts and shareholders believe his price is too low.
He plans to increase ConsMin’s manganese production to take its share of the wotid’s high-grade supply to more than its 10 per cent
Unlike nickel or zinc, manganese is not traded on an exchange.
• An offer for Consolidated Minerals now looks low.
• The board faces criticism for endorsing the bid.
Buyers and sellers of the metal settle through over-the-counter contracts or on a small spot market.
After the 2006 loss, ConsMin decided to stop issuing profit forecasts and instead give price expectations and production forecasts.
“The company believes that through providing forecasts of production and costs, along with the regular reporting of commodity prices attained by the business, analysts and investors will be better positioned to have an informed view of the profit outlook,” ConsMin said last August
The company’s most recent guidance -For manganese prices finishes at the end of the month. ConsMin expects to receive an average price of about $US2.50 per dry metric ton unit, or DMTUt
The full-year average price is forecast at $US2.30 a DMTU.
Reports of prices into China of between $US5 and $US&50 have surfaced recently, although that price includes cost, insurance and freight charges.
ConsMin does not include such costs in its contracts meaning it receives a lower headline price.
About 50 per cent of ConsMin’s sales go to China and it negotiates prices on a quarterly contract It expects to produce 900,000 tomes to 925,000 tonnes in fiscal 2007.
“Discussions for the next quarter’s pricing will be concluded later this month, at which time we will update the market on pricing should that be required,” ConsMin’s general manager for marketing, Peter Allen, said.
Meanwhile, ConsMin’s under- performing nickel business should also have received a boost, as the company is expected to rmalise all its hedging arrangements.
At the start of the June quarter, the company had just 180 tonnes hedged at $13.52 a pound.
More than 1000 tonnes of nickel should be produced this quarter and prices are now $24.55 a pound.
The Atathan Finandal Review also understands the company has made some promising drillinghits at Widgiemooltha.
ConsMin’s share price closed up 3$ at $2.80 yesterday.