The article lots more info on data numbers, as well as comments from other peers in the field (I hate to call them experts, its such an overused term these days).The natural immune protection that develops after a SARS-CoV-2 infection offers considerably more of a shield against the Delta variant of the pandemic coronavirus than two doses of the Pfizer-BioNTech vaccine, according to a large Israeli study that some scientists wish came with a “Don’t try this at home” label. The newly released data show people who once had a SARS-CoV-2 infection were much less likely than vaccinated people to get Delta, develop symptoms from it, or become hospitalized with serious COVID-19.
The study demonstrates the power of the human immune system, but infectious disease experts emphasized that this vaccine and others for COVID-19 nonetheless remain highly protective against severe disease and death.
The researchers also found that people who had SARS-CoV-2 previously and then received one dose of the Pfizer-BioNTech messenger RNA (mRNA) vaccine were more highly protected against reinfection than those who once had the virus and were still unvaccinated.
The study, conducted in one of the most highly COVID-19–vaccinated countries in the world, examined medical records of tens of thousands of Israelis, charting their infections, symptoms, and hospitalizations between 1 June and 14 August, when the Delta variant predominated in Israel. It’s the largest real-world observational study so far to compare natural and vaccine-induced immunity to SARS-CoV-2, according to its leaders.
No one in the study who got a new SARS-CoV-2 infection died—which prevented a comparison of death rates but is a clear sign that vaccines still offer a formidable shield against serious disease, even if not as good as natural immunity. Moreover, natural immunity is far from perfect. Although reinfections with SARS-CoV-2 are rare, and often asymptomatic or mild, they can be severe.
In another analysis, the researchers compared more than 14,000 people who had a confirmed SARS-CoV-2 infection and were still unvaccinated with an equivalent number of previously infected people who subsequently received one dose of the Pfizer-BioNTech vaccine. The team found that the unvaccinated group was twice as likely to be reinfected as the singly vaccinated.
MickThe current categorization of covid-19 as a socially critical disease expires on September 10, 2021. The government has decided not to extend this categorization. This is partly due to the large vaccination support, and partly to the strong epidemic control.
The decision not to extend covid-19's status as a socially critical disease was made after involving the professional reference group, the Epidemic Commission and the health authorities.
Minister of Health Magnus Heunicke states:
The epidemic is under control, we have record high vaccination rates. Therefore, on September 10, we can drop some of the special rules we have had to introduce in the fight against covid-19. The government has promised not to hold on to the measures any longer than was necessary, and there we are now. But even though we are in a good place right now, we are not out of the epidemic. And the government will not hesitate to act quickly if the pandemic again threatens important functions in our society.
It may be worth noting that Denmark is nearing the end of the summer season.And just to prove to some state premiers that it is possible, we have the news that Denmark has scrapped all Covid -19 restrictions, as they reckon they have it under control.
From Danish Government Press Release
Mick
I guess then seeing as we are coming into summer, things should ease up here.It may be worth noting that Denmark is nearing the end of the summer season.
Perhaps a "wait and see what happens" approach, for the next 6 months, might be in order.
Science, such a wonderful thing.
You can use "The Science" to support anything you like.
It just depends on how you interpret it.
Here is some science.
I have no doubt there will be people who says its debunked, or criticise it because of who wrote it (Zionism etc etc).
I am putting it here because it uses real data, not a model.
The contestable part is the interpretation.
From Science Org
The article lots more info on data numbers, as well as comments from other peers in the field (I hate to call them experts, its such an overused term these days).
Mick
Well vaccine hesitancy, seems to have gone out the window.
You have to respect people like Doherty who have had a lifetime of devotion to their work and at 80, is still going strong.Setting it Straight | Doherty Website
Nobel Laureate Professor Peter Doherty explores all things infection and immunity in a new weekly column, Setting it Straight, exclusive to the Doherty Institute website. Read more.www.doherty.edu.au
engaging reading
and this: https://twitter.com/ProfPCDoherty
The article is long, and probably needs to be read in conjunction with the Doherty report.On the 23rd of August Prime Minister Morrison said in Parliament “The plan as we set out very clearly about…that when we reach 70%, and we reach 80%, we can move through to phase B of that plan, those marks have been set by the Doherty analysis that was undertaken Mr Speaker”.
I spent a late evening reading it.
Neither of these statements are true and the report is being misrepresented.
The report is neither an economic model nor does it set any targets.
It is a report commissioned by the National Cabinet to model health scenarios going from Phase A (where we are now- suppressing Covid) to Phase B (reducing lockdowns, ramping up flights into the country and reducing quarantine) of the National Plan with various levels of vaccination targets. Note that there is also Phase C and Phase D of opening up. The Doherty Report doesn’t look at these phases.
Specifically, based on a set of assumptions, it models what daily new infections, workplace absenteeism from sickness, occupied ward beds, occupied ICU beds and daily deaths would look like under scenarios of 50%, 60%, 70% and 80% vaccination rates, for those aged 16 and above and based on two doses of vaccination for each person. About 80% of the Australian population are aged 16 and over, so these targets are actually 40%, 48%, 56% and 64% of the total population.
It doesn’t look like anyone has actually read the report.
They only run the simulation for 180 days.
Very true Belli, I was reading in the W.A weekend paper, the affluent areas are way ahead in Vaccine uptake, the working class and lower socio areas still have a lot of hesitancy.Nice at one level but it's just a raw number. No large impact in having 125,000 vaccinations in locations where infections are trending down and 80% of the population is vaccinated and 25,000 in other locations where only 20% of the population is vaccinated and infections are trending up. I have seen some projections where, even at the current rates of vaccinations, NSW will experience close to 3,000 infections per day.
Edit: This from the Burnet Institute. It makes for grim reading I'm sorry to say.
Focus on contact tracing, lockdowns in opening up
The need for lockdowns and effective contact tracing should to be included in the debate over plans to reopen Australia, according to Professor Allan Saul.www.burnet.edu.au
Very true Belli, I was reading in the W.A weekend paper, the affluent areas are way ahead in Vaccine uptake, the working class and lower socio areas still have a lot of hesitancy.
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