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I've traded this more than any other sock ever.any thoughts from anybody on the share purchase plan?
is it worthwhile taking this up?
i am a bit iffy...
Haven't they burnt this bridge a few times over the last few years.SKC, there are two trains of thought this morning on CBH. One is a complete takeover is pending (possibly by a Chinese company?) and secondly, CBH and Perilya are about to announce some sort of JV for mining and/or processing of ore at Broken Hill. I’m going with the second option as it seems to be the more logical one. The savings of bringing the company’s activities together in Broken Hill make perfect sense given the synergies on offer to both CBH and PEM. TZN and CBH have definitely lagged significantly and regardless of any positive news were due for strong rises to catch up to their peers and in turn the steep price rises in zinc and lead. Technically there was a strong break of resistance on huge volume of just over 20m which makes me think there are still further gains to be had. Next point of resistance is 16c, if it can get through this then I think it could run pretty hard and 20c should be achievable.
SKC, there are two trains of thought this morning on CBH. One is a complete takeover is pending (possibly by a Chinese company?) and secondly, CBH and Perilya are about to announce some sort of JV for mining and/or processing of ore at Broken Hill. I’m going with the second option as it seems to be the more logical one. The savings of bringing the company’s activities together in Broken Hill make perfect sense given the synergies on offer to both CBH and PEM.
Mining extra capital: Perilya (PEM) 51.5c, CBH Resources (CBH) 10c
* CRITERION: Tim Boreham
* From: The Australian
* November 17, 2009 12:27PM
WHAT does a lead and zinc miner do when global prices for these metals have risen 134 per cent and 90 per cent, respectively, since the start of the year? It raises more dough, of course.
Broken Hill stalwart Perilya this morning said it would pass the hat for $55 million via an underwritten, one-for-three rights issue.
But at least the 33 per cent expansion of the share base is being done at a modest 16 per cent premium to the share price (the 42c offer price is a 16 per cent less than the five-day average ahead of last night's close).
In February, Chinese miner Zhongjin Lingnan paid 23c a share ($45.5m) for a 50.1 per cent Perilya stake.
But back then you didn't quibble about price when the alternative was financial oblivion.
Zhongjin will average up its entry price by participating in the raising and thus maintaining its controlling stake.
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Perilya is vague about how the funds will be used, but there's a number of development opportunities in its existing portfolio. These include the satellite bodies close to Perilya's main Broken Hill ops (including Potosi and Flying Doctor), the Flinders Project near Leigh Creek in South Australia and Mt Oxide (a 220,000 tonne copper project near Mt Isa).
Perilya has a far more presentable case to investors these days, having done the usual slashing to get its cash costs down to US38c a pound in the September quarter. This compares with the current zinc price of $US1.02 lb.
A year ago Perilya was citing cash costs of $US1.36 against a net averaged received price of US87c lb, the result being: misery.
Perilya's revival compares with the fortunes of Broken Hill bed-fellow CBH Resources, whose share price continues to lag the overall market.
Perilya and CBH took turns at trying to take each other over, the objective being to reap cost benefits from a continuous seven-kilometre lode (CBH's deposit lies between Perilya's Broken Hill operations).
Perilya CEO Paul Arndt also refers to ``additional projects which complement existing production from Broken Hill and Flinders''.
Perhaps it's time to for Perilya to use its scrip firepower to put CBH out of its misery, although CBH's 28 per cent Japanese owner Toho Zinc probably is thinking along those famous 30-year time lines and has other ideas.
How about a joint venture then?
Criterion had Perilya as a spec buy at 38.5c and CBH as a hold at 9.3c in early September.
There's perhaps more upside now in CBH than Perilya so we'll call CBH a speculative buy and Perilya a hold.
Haven't they burnt this bridge a few times over the last few years.
I too sold a third at 14.5c
Will sel the rest at 19.5c
or pick some up if it retraces.
Tim Boreham is not often wrong although with PEM doubling since,maybe he could of also rated it a "Spec buy". Although I agreed with him at the time.Agree with CBH / PEM purely from the article below. Are those trains of thought just your own thoughts or where did you see the Chinese rumour?
........
http://www.theaustralian.com.au/bus...esources-cbh-10c/story-e6frg9lo-1225798554286
.......
Like all good marriages and other epic love stories. There will always be drama before the happy ending.
SKC my last post was based on two rumours currently floating around the market in regards to CBH, with my own thoughts attached. Given the amount of Chinese investment in the zinc sector I thought it could have been a Chinese company. However once I finally got around to reading my Fin Rev this morning there was a small article suggesting that “CBH Resources is expected to reveal this morning that it has received an incomplete, conditional proposal (by Nyrstar) that would change control of the company”. Hence chucking my out my speculation of a Chinese buyer.
Also there has been long held talks between CBH and Perilya in regards to bringing together their Broken Hill operations as you already know. Hence any significant price rise in CBH shares will always bring with it speculation that they will be combining their Broken Hill operations because it makes perfect sense to do so.
However the more I think about it, the more it seems that a takeover is likely, because you’d have thought if they were going to merge their Broken Hill operations then the positive news should have flowed into trading in Perilya yesterday, which it didn’t. Put another way you would have at least expected much stronger volume in Perilya shares if this was the case. Nevertheless we should know what’s happening by at the latest Tuesday next week when the trading halt is due to be lifted.
Here is a few articles supporting both theories:
http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601081&sid=azW4QJCNlZaU
http://news.smh.com.au/breaking-new...rge-on-perilya-deal-rumour-20100107-lwk3.html
http://www.businessspectator.com.au...ng-halt-pd20100108-ZGVA3?OpenDocument&src=hp7
From the ann said:Nyrstar's Revised Proposal would include
an improved cash payment of A$0.195 per CBH share or, at CBH’s shareholders’
election, scrip consideration comprising Nyrstar shares at an exchange ratio which
would be set prior to announcement of the transaction at a level that would deliver
value equivalent to A$0.195 per CBH share.
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