Australian (ASX) Stock Market Forum

BOL - Boom Logistics

I would like to see it hold around current levels. When the market has another sour day I think BOL could be in trouble breaking down past $3.50.

Westpac broking has a buy recommendation on it so it did come up there as a dividend/growth stock.
 
Another grim day for BOL when the market rises.

At a critical point for me of $3.50. If breaks below I think more downside is likely.
 
Massive sell order and it dropped to 3.42... something not right with BOL at the moment. Lots of sellers.

Might just give it a miss for now.
 
I think anything around these prices is still only fair buying for the long term investor.

Not for me though when realistically you might achieve a negative return over the next 12 months. Not good enough in today's bull market and investors are voting with their feet accordingly. Sell.
 
isn't BOL a cyclical stock?

Is the time to buy when the sector is poor, and the time to sell when the sector is firing?

Big sell orders are appearing from nowhere.... if this continues it will not be long before we are in the $2.90 to $3.00 range. which i think would be value.

Either way I cant see anything which would change the current state in which BOL is being sold down.
 
isn't BOL a cyclical stock?

Is the time to buy when the sector is poor, and the time to sell when the sector is firing?

Big sell orders are appearing from nowhere.... if this continues it will not be long before we are in the $2.90 to $3.00 range. which i think would be value.

Either way I cant see anything which would change the current state in which BOL is being sold down.

Hi, its worthabout $3 atm imo

Earnings and Dividends Forecast (cents per share)
2006 2007 2008 2009
EPS 21.8 25.8 29.1 31.8
DPS 10.4 13.0 14.7 16.0

EPS(c) PE Growth
Year Ending 30-06-07 25.8 13.7 18.5%
Year Ending 30-06-08 29.1 12.2 12.8%


thx

MS
 
Hi, its worthabout $3 atm imo

Earnings and Dividends Forecast (cents per share)
2006 2007 2008 2009
EPS 21.8 25.8 29.1 31.8
DPS 10.4 13.0 14.7 16.0

EPS(c) PE Growth
Year Ending 30-06-07 25.8 13.7 18.5%
Year Ending 30-06-08 29.1 12.2 12.8%


thx

MS

Hi Michael, I'm certainly not going to try and dispute your figures cause fundamental analysis is not my strong point, but I am curious as to why Westpac would be interested in buying several million shares in BOL if it represented poor value atm .................. I would imagine their analysts would be be at least "reasonable" ............Perhaps it is because Banks are more conservative and look longer term than most?? ....... Just guessing ................. The chart is certainly a bit "ugly" atm, but, Momentum is diverging against price, which is often a pre-curser to a change in near term direction .................. I still hold a few so the current movement is certainly "interesting" ........... Cheers.
 
With stocks such as rinker, and james hardie linked to the US housing market, is BOL also effected by this sector?

I don't see a direct relationship, as they are well diversified. But it is linked to the Construction industry in some way?

We have already had one bounce for BOL. Should we expect another bounce within the next month?
 
I think its fair to say there is some sort of support around $3.50.
The fin review had an article on BOL, saying that it was oversold, due to the poor report and the resignation of the CEO.

However they also stated that BOL was backed by 6 out of 7 brokers with price targets of $4.61 due to the industrial sector not showing any signs of weakness.

Price targets are all well and good, but there are a lot of variables such as US economy, etc etc...
 
Price targets are all well and good, but there are a lot of variables such as US economy, etc etc...

Nothing to do with US. Thinking about the booming mining industry and national infrastructure upgrade, BOL has a very good future. Investors will see the value soon. Just a quick look at peers:

BOL: SP: $3.52 PE 14.13 PEG: 0.91 Div 3.3%
NHR: SP: $1.59 PE 10.06, PEG: 0.89 Div 4.6%
COA: SP: $4.89 PE 11.59, PEG: 1.05 Div 4.1%
 
Well which one offers better returns? COA or BOL? it would appear COA is better value with a lower PE and higher dividend.

does BOL have more to fall?
 
Well which one offers better returns? COA or BOL? it would appear COA is better value with a lower PE and higher dividend.

does BOL have more to fall?

My view is about a sector in general. If you want to invest in a particular sector, PE or PEG, or div yield is only some of the aspects to consider. You might go through the company presentation first, then the annual reports, etc.. I guess you need to DYOR.
 
The slide continues.

Interesting the director offloads $500,000 a week earlier and an announcement comes out that their business has been impacted by weather.

Slide continues. Probably worth shorting for some profits???
 
Halba - Not sure if the decrease in EPS growth should equate to the same level of fall here....

Guys, I seriously would not be too worried here.... OK, the numbers weren't as good as people expected. This stock has heavy backing from instos and is a great stock - this will be seen as a minor blip on the way. Support today of 3.60 was tested and has come up very strong - wouldn't be surprised if the inso's are topping up today on the high volume!

Cheers

So much for a minor blip - I think there is more to it. :confused:
 
Could it be that infrastructure companies are being re-rated similar to that of mmining giants such as BHP, RIO, OXR, ZFX where they trade on low PE's of 9-10?

The brokers can have them as a buy rating as much as they want, but it means nothing if the share price keeps dropping.

It has lost over 30% of its value in very short time.

Consolidation required, or at least a big bounce....
 
A close of $3.33 is not a great result. It's heading faster towards the $3 mark than I thought it would.

I can't see what news is going to swing this stock back into favour.

Even when the market goes up BOL has been heading in the wrong direction.

The only thing that is looking more attractive at the moment is the dividend.

Anyone game to pick a bottom?
 
Ken, you have to ask yourself, are you a long term investor for value and growth, or just a short term trader?

Do you believe the story of booming mining industry and national infrastructure upgrade?

If you are a short term trader, you should never buy a falling stock, and use chart and TA. But if you are a long term investor, you should check the fundamentals constantly. The unusual cyclonic activity is a one-off issue, or repeat events?

Worry about share price every minute is not an investor, more like a short term trader.
 
Faircall,

Where do you see Boom in 3-5 years?

I was reading the January Smart Investor magazine and they talked about mega cycles, and BOL is in the sector which is set to benefit from this along with MAH.

My thinking is that with all the new mining companies floating, the industry must benefit BOL in some way.

With the current market cap, what would profits have to increase for BOL to be $5 $6 $10....

Is it fair to say short term we are looking at opportunity to get set on a growth stock offering yield?

Or are there people thinking BOL has peaked and its going to topple over...

Any chartist???
 
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