- Joined
- 11 April 2009
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yep you truly have no friggin idea what you are doing.
Ignoring the BS about MA trading signals. Especially on WebIress because their charts are ony 1 day snap shot. I don't want to get in a fight about the expectancy of a MA cross system. There is too much in the above example to laugh at first.
So your position was. 27 X 1000 (options X shares per option) = 27,000 ANZ shares.
Your profit, (we will get back to brokerage + spread lata)
$0.125 X 27,000 = $3375
What you would do if you had 1/2 a brain would of been to by 27000 ANZ shares.
$0.30 X 27,000 = $8100 profit.
You nutbag!! That is why options are sh!te for daytrading and why what your are teaching is dangerous . Same amount of exposure, 27,000 shares, Less than half the profit!! Plus increased amount of cost (brokerage + spread)
To add further. Have you thought about the dude who was on the other side of your trade?????????????????????? The market maker?
She sells you a call of 27000 ANZ shares. So she is now short via an option. So to hedge he goes long 27000 ANZ. She is now neutral and you carry all the risk of the trade.
ANZ raises $0.30 so you sell back to her the oppy. She then closes her long.
You made 12.5 cents from the oppy trade and took all the risk.
She made 30 cents from the ANZ trade lost 12.5 cents from the oppy trade. She made 17.5 cents and took no risk.
LOL see my signature below :sheep:
OMG. I fully understand the size of 27000 ANZ shares @ 12.95. That was your exposure. Whether you bought it in direct shares or options you had exposure to 27000 anz shares. If your account is too small to handle that then you are way effin over leveraged.
And yes I know WebIress well, stopped using in 2005. The intraday charts are ONLY for that day. How the hell you can use indicators on that I have no idea. You have to wait for 20 bars before your indicators will work. You are using the absolutely wrong tool with a statistical proven losing method while way way over-leverage trading a low delta product with high spread and crappy brokerage.. And charging people on top of it.
AND then..............
I enjoy reading this thread........it gets a little too much after a while reading the same types of replies from both sides.
Bill seems to be making money (as he states) and all the best to him if he is - I would like to be earning the money he claims and i'd probably sell ice to eskimo's if I had the gift of the gab....my family has to eat, I could care less about the person next to me.
I have no doubt there are people on this forum who know the ins and outs of everything to do with options and would like to know if they use this extensive knowledge to actually trade and make money for a living? Not some "first year finance undergraduate" who got a distinction in learning the Black-Scholes Method - that I could less about.
Bills trading style seems like it's just taking a punt on which direction a stock will be moving and believing in a few signals and indicators to increase the probability of the trade going his way. Obviously if he's paying $20,000 for some calls and puts, a small increase in the value of the options is going to result in a tidy profit (and also a large loss if not sold back to the market quick enough when the trade has gone wrong).
Winding you up is like shelling peas. And from what I can see, you're flat out counting past ten, so I figure at least masturbation jokes won't fly over your head...
But anyway, I'll leave you to it Mr 10%.
I'm a little surprised that a few posters on here cannot see that buying an option only to sell it again (whether it's puts or calls) does not carry any more exposure than what you paid for the option.
I buy options with the intention of selling them days or weeks later. I never wish to exercise them so my ultimate risk is what I paid for that option full stop. It's irrelevant to me how much "exposure" the underlying options have as I (being the buyer) have no intention of ever exercising them.
And yes I have seen option prices move 20,30,40...100%+ in a single day.
Don't know if that helps.
I'm a little surprised that a few posters on here cannot see that buying an option only to sell it again (whether it's puts or calls) does not carry any more exposure than what you paid for the option.
Yeah? So what? thats moves on minimum margin. What are the risk adjusted moves? whats going to stop you getting - 10% -30% for a few days each week and copping your account in half?And yes I have seen option prices move 20,30,40...100%+ in a single day.
Exactly! I too have seen the larger moves but don't like to focus on them, if they happen they happen but I expect 5-10% two or three times a week and that's enough. If you are really good at TA you can use far less than 20k to make a couple of grand a week. With as little as $5k at risk you can replace your wage if you're good with charts. I see missed opportunities all the time.
I bet you cannot.
How about you post 20 live trades as they happen over the next two weeks in whatever instrument you think is best for day trading and I'll do the same if you like. I have no idea where I'll end up but at a guess 60% win rate 1:2 R:R. for me.
For you?? I reckon you won't even be able to do it cause you work at a car wash blacking tyres.
U
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Me
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I bet you cannot.
How about you post 20 live trades as they happen over the next two weeks in whatever instrument you think is best for day trading and I'll do the same if you like. I have no idea where I'll end up but at a guess 60% win rate 1:2 R:R. for me.
For you?? I reckon you won't even be able to do it cause you work at a car wash blacking tyres.
U
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Me
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Time to put up or shut up Bill! Quite simple really.
I'm tipping we'll need a mod to verify the authenticity of your trades though......OR is it going to be the usual deflection of 'I don't need to prove anything' or tell us to all 'crawl under our rocks again'
What's it gunna be Bill?
"...I have nothing I need to prove to the likes of you...."
"...I've proven my case over and over and over again to you and everyone and have been proving it day after day for years and years since I discovered it was possible...."
"...As it happens I have other things I can and will be doing over the next few weeks. ..."
There was no mistake you silly bugger. The mistake is you think controlling 27000 anz shares with $20,000 is wise. You have no idea what position sizing is or risk adjusted returns looks like. As with all snake oilers you quote return on minimum margin. as the old saying goes,You've already proven you make massive mistakes in your calculations and don't have the most basic grasp of the topic. It's hard to have a reasonable debate with someone who makes hundred thousand dollar mistakes.
Yeah I just found another one,(anyone of us can copy pics from google images)
Well well well, how predictable, couldn't haven written the script better. Just knew you would say you have nothing to prove and not prepared to take on TH because simply you know you couldn't win.
I am sure the vast majority here are sick of your ramblings, in fact it would make for a good ASF Poll [What about it mods]
I take it you're tidying your sock drawer over the next few weeks.
Your response and challenge is the most predictable of all. It's so easy for you to sit there and pick your nose and flick bogies at the screen - how ordinary. It's got nothing to do with winning (I've already won). It's got to do with stupid challenges that prove only one thing - how dangerously you can trade by forcing the market to do what you want it to do. What will that prove? Nothing.
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