Australian (ASX) Stock Market Forum

BHP and RIO, $37 billion annual savings, what do you think?

The BHP release to the ASX states:

In the seventh full year following completion this, therefore, gives a total incremental EBITDA of US$3.7 billion nominal per annum of quantified synergies.
 
Maybe this is not the correct thread to place this but I couldnt find a better one. So, I found this article (see below in red) on the BHP RIO takeover.

Does anyone believe this bull? Do these Chinese guys really expect shareholders and other stakeholders (apart from themselves) to believe this? If they do then all I can say is either they came down with the last shower of rain, or they believe the rest of us came down with the last shower of rain.

You know it's quite funny, their logic. On one hand the Chinese are saying that a BHP takeover of RIO would create uncompetitive conditions in "the market", and yet if the reverse were to happen, ie RIO takeover BHP, with Chinese backing, then that is OK. :confused: Huh?

And why is it a "....tricky problem for a (sic Australian) government......"?
It's not actually. A takeover or significant holding by any foreign sovereign fund is CLEARLY not in the national interest, let alone the existing shareholders. (I classify Chinalco as a sovereign fund - all Chinese companies of this size are controlled by the Politiburo). Game, set and match for the FIRB and Australian Government. Tell Chinalco to bugger off. It is time for the FIRB and all governments to look very seriously at the actions of sovereign funds. And I am not being xenophobic here! The concept of sovereign funds controlling market sectors is not the way a "free market" is supposed to run. They would clearly have their national interests competing directly against market forces. This would distort the whole basis for the capitalist free market environment. And remember the Chinese only support a capitalist free market when it suits their Politiburo's self interest. For example, Copyright in Chinese translates to "right to copy".

OK, if you dont want a capitalist free market system (and there are many who do not) then lets have that debate but lets not have this wishy washy backdoor subterfuge moves that will disrupt the market.

I dont believe you Mr Xiao. Nic off. You cannot be both a communist and a capitalist at the same time.

Oh, by the way.... Alcoa also are part of this deal. You dont think they are going to pass up a tidy profit on RIO if the opportunity arises?

Disclosure: I hold BHPB.



CANBERRA, Feb 5 (Reuters) - Aluminum Corp of China
(Chinalco) will explain to Australian political leaders on
Tuesday why it bought a 9 percent stake in Rio Tinto Ltd/Plc
<RIO.AX> <RIO.L>, in a move seen as an attempt to ease concerns
may try to take over one of Australia's biggest companies.

Chinalco President Xiao Yaqing will meet senior ministers in
Canberra, a day after saying that the $14 billion purchase in
partnership with Alcoa Inc <AA.N> was aimed at diversifying
Chinalco's business beyond aluminium.

The stake purchase spurred speculation Chinalco may bid for
Rio, which has spent the last three months fighting a takeover
proposal from BHP Billiton Ltd/Plc <BHP.AX> <BLT.L> pitched at
$139 billion.

A takeover move by Chinalco would require the approval of
the Australian government's Foreign Investment Review Board
(FIRB).

That could pose a tricky problem for a government, which
would be caught between a commitment to good relations with
China, a major trading partner, and the loss of an iconic local
company to a foreign, state-owned entity.

Chinese Foreign Minister Yang Jiechi also was expected to
touch on the sale during meetings on Tuesday with Australia's
prime minister, Kevin Rudd, and the foreign minister, Stephen
Smith, also at Canberra's Parliament House.

Australian Treasurer Wayne, who would have to act on any
FIRB advice, said on Monday that if he was required to make a
decision, it would be made on "national interest
considerations".
Australia in 2001 blocked an attempted takeover of Woodside
Petroleum Ltd <WPL.AX> by Anglo-Dutch oil firm Royal Dutch/Shell
<RDSa.L> on similar grounds.

Xiao told reporters in Sydney on Monday there were no
immediate plans to buy more Rio stock.

Chinalco's 12 percent stake in Rio's London listing, giving
it a holding of just over 9 percent in Rio's dual-listed entity,
does not automatically require a FIRB review.

BHP has until Wednesday to declare a formal bid for Rio or
refrain from pursuing a takeover for at least six months under a
"put up or shut up' regulation imposed by Britain's Takeover
Panel.

Xiao on Monday insisted the deal was more about extending
state-controlled Chinalco's reach into diversified markets, such
as iron ore and copper, where Rio is strong.

Chinalco lodged notification documents with FIRB last week
and will this week hand over supplementary documents, after
which FIRB officials can ask for responses from BHP, Rio and
Alcoa.

(Reporting by Rob Taylor and James Regan, editing by Jonathan
Standing)

((rob.taylor@reuters.com; Reuters Messaging:
rob.taylor.reuters.com@reuters.net, +612 6273 3700))
Keywords: RIOTINTO BHPBILLITON/

(c) Reuters Limited 2008
REUTER NEWS SERVICE
 
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