doctorj
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Highlands Pac signs up China Metal
By Jamie Freed
April 1, 2005
Signing a four-page framework agreement at a fancy reception in Western Australia does not mean a deal with Chinese companies is complete, as Fortescue Metals learned last week.
But Highlands Pacific said it hoped a 150-page master agreement with the same Chinese company signed at Papua New Guinea's Parliament House yesterday carried more weight.
Fortescue Metals shares tumbled more than 40 per cent last week after state-owned China Metallurgical Construction Corp suggested the framework agreement for Fortescue's $1.85 billion West Australian iron ore project signed last August was not binding.
Fortescue has since released four-to-five page agreements with CMC and two other state-owned companies to the ASX, with chief executive Andrew Forrest insisting they were binding.
Highlands Pacific shares rose 2c to 53c yesterday after it signed a master agreement to give MCC an 180-day option on 85 per cent in Highlands' Ramu PNG nickel and cobalt project in return for supplying 100 per cent of project development funds, estimated at $US650 million ($841 million).
Highlands Pacific managing director Ian Holzberger said it was "very comfortable" the deal would go forward. "[It] has been a very detailed 12-month assessment and negotiation process," he said. "There are no more details of the joint venture to be determined."
Highlands has worked with the PNG government to get tax advantages which Mr Holzberger said could clinch the deal.
Highlands would have 8.56 per cent carried free, rising to 11.3 per cent with an option, at market price of another 9.25 per cent after project debt is repaid.
Critics have said that Fortescue may have publicised its deal with MCC too heavily in its initial stages, leading to the massive share price drop when uncertainties came to light.
A Highlands Pacific spokesman said his company consciously took a different path when dealing with the Chinese.
"They didn't want to promote this too quickly," he said.
There is speculation that Fortescue's 44 per cent share price decline might trigger an investigation by the Australian Securities and Investments Commission.
ASIC could also look into Mr Forrest's $13 million sale of 3 million shares at $4.50 each in February; the shares closed at $3.10 yesterday.
Mr Forrest holds 47 per cent of Fortescue shares, down from 48 per cent before his February sale.
RichKid said:Just read this about related developments, goes to show that we have to be careful in case the current MOU's don't lead to what we expect. Doc is spot on about all the risk that still has to be overcome before production. Underlines the importance of good trade mgmt. Fortunately AZR has better mgmt (ie more than one showman) than Fortescue.
From the SMH:
http://www.smh.com.au/news/Business/Highlands-Pac-signs-up-China-Metal/2005/03/31/1111862532815.html
el_ninj0 said:Richkid, When should be expect to see some results from AZR?
RichKid said:Wish I knew mate, only clue in the past was increased (ie very high) volume before an annct but that's gone down the drain with the crowd jumping into iron ore. I'd expect it in April, but whether that is the resource upgrade or the BFS (less likely) or the results of the price negotiations or all at once is another question.
The market will be looking to see if the construction costs are higher than expected (there are shortages of men and equipment out there). The Shares mag article extracted by Doc J recently was the most detailed for figures that I've seen. It's not unusual for AZR to trade well below where it should be (eg fair value) so this may dip if it breaks that very important trend support line.
el_ninj0 said:Could you give me a chart with some lines on it to mark out the trend support line? Please?,
The Barbarian Investor said:my stop lossfor ZFX kicked in the other day, but was a great opportunity to pick up MGX and AZR..put some green into my folio
doctorj said:I'd wonder why they are getting tired of waiting since its been public knowledge that the BFS was due this month for a while now.
doctorj said:AZR has been completing a series of drills as part of its BFS with the aim of increasing production from 2MTPa to 3MTPa or more. This is significant as it has the potential to drastically change AZR's valuation. The BFS is also significant as its seen by the market as the next stepping down of risk before production is scheduled to begin.
crocdee said:hi rich
yep still following.
don't hold atm unfortunately got a few bob on mul and playing a waiting game which is really not doing me much good atm.
also hold plenty mml & mmlo which i have a lot of faith in[been in from day one and well in front] plenty more to come from this one and not too far away.
actually looking at getting back into cue which i believe have a big future with santos and the Oyong field which has to be getting closer to coming on stream as a producer especially now oil prices are going through the roof.
as you know haven't had much in put for awhile just sitting on the side.
great to say hello again.
regards croc
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