Australian (ASX) Stock Market Forum

AUZ - Australian Mines

nizar said:
Definately one to watch today.
It needs to close above 9c though. Usually has problems there.
Cant believe it opened like it did with no depth behind it, and as usual gets knocked back ! certainly got some confidence issues when it gets too far over 80.
 
Auz hasnt closed above 83 since 1/11/06. Friday's close at 85 also broke the 50% retracement and since 22/11/06 has been well above 20 day mv anyone else like to comment?
 
constable said:
Auz hasnt closed above 83 since 1/11/06. Friday's close at 85 also broke the 50% retracement and since 22/11/06 has been well above 20 day mv anyone else like to comment?
Retracement was taken from 31/10/06 at a close of 94.
 
constable said:
Retracement was taken from 31/10/06 at a close of 94.

I think this is starting to look very bullish at the moment. Definatly on my watchlist for tomorrow.
 

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constable said:
Auz hasnt closed above 83 since 1/11/06. Friday's close at 85 also broke the 50% retracement and since 22/11/06 has been well above 20 day mv anyone else like to comment?


Post #140 nothing has changed.
Wont change much tommorow either.
 
tech/a said:
Post #140 nothing has changed.
Wont change much tommorow either.

Unfortunatly Tech, i can't read #140, nor any other of you posts that contain charts. They come up with a little X in a box as a picture that would not download and then they send MS explorer to the "Cannot find Server" webpage and then i can't get back into ASF for several minutes after that.

I've told Joe but he's not worked it out yet.

Can you elaborate on why the chart does not look bullish to you?

Cheers,
 
Thanks guys. Yeah look i think it probably needs to close at 88 to be certain of another run but definately worth keepng an eye on it mon/tue. We need the 'big kev' volume to return!
 
C

Contract the chart so that your only looking at October,November and december. You'll note that the triangle now looks like a strung out range which has clear top and bottom support and resistance.

There has been no support or sell off indicated in volume so at the moment its drifting in no mans land.
Either those holding will get imparient and dump or those waiting for value will ge impatient and buy it up.
There appears to be more buy volume than sell so there could be accumulation.
I personally will leave it alone until it becomes clear.
Others will hold,others will buy now.
 
tech/a said:
C

Contract the chart so that your only looking at October,November and december. You'll note that the triangle now looks like a strung out range which has clear top and bottom support and resistance.

There has been no support or sell off indicated in volume so at the moment its drifting in no mans land.
Either those holding will get imparient and dump or those waiting for value will ge impatient and buy it up.
There appears to be more buy volume than sell so there could be accumulation.
I personally will leave it alone until it becomes clear.
Others will hold,others will buy now.
agreed tech, but if it can break 88 which is the 50% retracement from it peak at 10.5 cents would you be convinced ? It does seem to be trending upwards, but like you say there is no real clear indication. hmm might be a case of - if in doubt stay out! (stole that).
 
Cool, thanks mate. I was thinking that given the apparent lack of sellers now, that if there was another positive announcement, the trust on good volume could be quite powerful. This could make for an opportunity.

Cheers,
 
constable said:
agreed tech, but if it can break 88 which is the 50% retracement from it peak at 10.5 cents would you be convinced ? It does seem to be trending upwards, but like you say there is no real clear indication. hmm might be a case of - if in doubt stay out! (stole that).

Well I presume your using a fib level.
The retracement (Firstly) is dependant where you place the fib level from,
The full up move is from around 16/8.
Place this on the chart and youll see the long tail on 8/11 touches the 50% retracement level of the entire move.
This suggests that the up move is pretty average,a strong trending move will retrace less 38.2 or 23.6.
But remember these are only levels to watch,they arent set in stone.

Once it reverses from a level then the remaining levels have little to no value,in my veiw.Some will throw all sorts of indicators on the chart looking for things that will support their veiw.

From here I would be looking for volume and price action.
10c is going to be tough for this to break and its not uncommon to see the recient high re tested--this doesnt seem to be indicated yet.

Personally I take selloffs as quick as possible so that I can be free to trade something else that IS moving.Sure I get it wrong but more often price drifts lower than my sell and I'm in something that is off again.
I'll only stay in something drifting which is either in profit or above my trailing stop in a short term trade and I dont need the funds for one which is obviously going up and away.
 
tech/a said:
Well I presume your using a fib level.
The retracement (Firstly) is dependant where you place the fib level from,
The full up move is from around 16/8.
Place this on the chart and youll see the long tail on 8/11 touches the 50% retracement level of the entire move.
This suggests that the up move is pretty average,a strong trending move will retrace less 38.2 or 23.6.
But remember these are only levels to watch,they arent set in stone.

Once it reverses from a level then the remaining levels have little to no value,in my veiw.Some will throw all sorts of indicators on the chart looking for things that will support their veiw.

From here I would be looking for volume and price action.
10c is going to be tough for this to break and its not uncommon to see the recient high re tested--this doesnt seem to be indicated yet.

Personally I take selloffs as quick as possible so that I can be free to trade something else that IS moving.Sure I get it wrong but more often price drifts lower than my sell and I'm in something that is off again.
I'll only stay in something drifting which is either in profit or above my trailing stop in a short term trade and I dont need the funds for one which is obviously going up and away.
ta tech , i'll probably spend the next hour on working this out ! much to learn.
 
Hi Guys

New to the forum. As you are sure to know some stocks react to fib levels and others totally ignore.

I guess what I am asking do you have a technique or evidence that the fib levels mean any thing on this stock?


Warm regards
Focus
 
Hi Focus.

No----No evidence I think it was just mentioned more as an observation more than part of a technical trading methodolgy in this stock.

Just tossing around ideas and opinions.

canaussieack

Perhaps this shows your triangle a little better.
 

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Hi Tech

There appears seem to be some correlation; Just thinking!
 
Looking promising today.

As usual, as soon as a new milestone is reached, in this case 9cents, the sellers come back, probably those that bought on these levels on the way up and didnt sell or those that bought on the way down and want to get their money back.
 
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