AUT - Aurora Oil and Gas

[AngusSmart]

Well done guys, lots of people making lots of money on this one and on SEA. SSN should go, its undervalued in my opinion. That Goshen sale was worth at least 4c.

Big smiles on everyones faces today.

Yes thanks to you also! if this thread and mainly the ADI thread wasnt constantly bumped up the top i would have never paid attention and kept my ****ty go no where stocks from the industry i used to work in.

i've gone well over 100% now and have a large holding too looking to get closer to 50,000 shortly on it. perhaps when it backs back down to the teen's again also.

Thanks again! holding and loving it!

 

[prgudula]

Price and moving averages

Price and moving averages has closed above its Short term moving average. Short term moving average is currently above mid-term; AND above long term moving averages. From the relationship between price and moving averages; we can see that: This stock is BULLISH in short-term; and BULLISH in mid-long term.

http://au.stoxline.com/q_au.php?symbol=aut&c=ax&Analysis=Analysis

 

[noie]

yes indeed, Bolly bands point to another surge

re getting back in at 1.115, i'm not sure it will get that low in the short near future.


(I do not hold AUT, i chose GGE GGP )

 

[subasurf]

Well, don't I feel like a numpty, selling off yesterday at $1.16

Ohwell, was on a good profit so I took it. For my sakes, I hope there is a little drop and consolidation so I can hop back in in a while. I'll be out in the desert in a few weeks for a few weeks and I don't want to be worrying about my shares

 

[condog]

yes indeed, Bolly bands point to another surge

re getting back in at 1.115, i'm not sure it will get that low in the short near future.


(I do not hold AUT, i chose GGE GGP )

To those whove sold out and are kicking themselves, this is not advice, but its my honest opinion. Dont fret all stocks run and pullback. The AUT has mega time and growth left in it in my opinion. Imo it really doesnt matter what price you last sold or bought etc, a stock can be overbought or oversold at anywhere on its continuum. When you next see it consolidate or pull back, bang , theres an opportunity.

So dont fret, just watch for the opportunities.

 

[condog]

yes indeed, Bolly bands point to another surge

re getting back in at 1.115, i'm not sure it will get that low in the short near future.


(I do not hold AUT, i chose GGE GGP )

Im familiar with both those and have held and traded GGP, i know why your banging your head, and i feel , your foreheads gunna get real sore if you keep watching AUT compared to them.

 

[condog]

I have a freind who has a $500,000+ portfolio

He has approx 22 stocks.

He is up $48900 on AUT with a balance of approx $82000

In total his portfolio is up $75,000 for the 12 months.

Now its funny when assessing risk. Some people would say holding big parcels of stocks like AUT is way to risky.

But imo that person could have made way more then his entire profit with simply buying $60,000 AUT and placing the other $400,000+ in term deposit at 7%. Earning a further $28,000 in a term deposit. Surely thats less risk then holding 22 stock and having $500,000 + invested in the current market.???

One to ponder imo ???

 

[ParleVouFrancois]

RE: Condog, wouldn't he have made more money with less risk by just chucking the lot on AUT? ;D

Obviously in hindsight the other shares have overall underperformed, relative to the risk free bank rate and his major performer AUT. However at the time the other shares had potential, which may have not been realized as of yet. What if instead of putting 60k in AUT and the rest in the bank, he put 60k say, in TLS (lol) and the rest in the bank.

You can only make large risk free gains in the sharemarket with hindsight.

 

[condog]

RE: Condog, wouldn't he have made more money with less risk by just chucking the lot on AUT? ;D

Obviously in hindsight the other shares have overall underperformed, relative to the risk free bank rate and his major performer AUT. However at the time the other shares had potential, which may have not been realized as of yet. What if instead of putting 60k in AUT and the rest in the bank, he put 60k say, in TLS (lol) and the rest in the bank.

You can only make large risk free gains in the sharemarket with hindsight.

Yeh he would have.

I definitely do not agree with your last statement. Its easy to make money on the share market 90% of the time. People just put to much effort in to being slaves to wages and consumable crap, instead of spending some real quality time on thier own finances.

My opinion was double his AUt holding, sell everything else and put it into term deposit. We will make approx $28000 of Td, $40+K on AUT original parcel, $20-$40K on new AUt parcel p.a. imo. And hes got a hell of a lot less risk imo, as he only has $80 oddK exposed to the market.

 

[nioka]

I have a freind who has a $500,000+ portfolio

He has approx 22 stocks.

He is up $48900 on AUT with a balance of approx $82000

In total his portfolio is up $75,000 for the 12 months.

Now its funny when assessing risk. Some people would say holding big parcels of stocks like AUT is way to risky.

But imo that person could have made way more then his entire profit with simply buying $60,000 AUT and placing the other $400,000+ in term deposit at 7%. Earning a further $28,000 in a term deposit. Surely thats less risk then holding 22 stock and having $500,000 + invested in the current market.???

One to ponder imo ???

That is not a question to answer unless you identify the other stocks. I hold well over 22 stocks and some are much better performers than AUT. eg.LYC and NTU are well past AUT for performance at this stage. EKA matches AUT for me. My best performer overall is CER. I also have a few poor performers that I would not think of selling because of the potential for future gains. BUL, TAS and EDE for example.

I'm a fan of AUT and will hold it for a long time but it is not the only kid on the block.

 

[WRONG'UN]

I agree with you Condog - that's the way I trade, and it works for me.
I accept that in a continuing bull market, being 100% invested will/should be profitable, but we haven't been in that situation for quite a while - and there always seems to be a train wreck at some stage!

 

[condog]

lol a banana day hey condog!

AUT has been showing some good momentum of recent well done!

I'm on the sidelines a bit green with envy at all the AUT green whilst getting smashed over at SSN.

Slipperz yee of little faith, shame on you.....

You should have known better AUT , best stock on the ASX imo. SSN definitely not picked up the value for the Goshen sale, which is wierd.

I await your rejoining of the exclusive AUT club , lol .....

 

[condog]

That is not a question to answer unless you identify the other stocks. I hold well over 22 stocks and some are much better performers than AUT. eg.LYC and NTU are well past AUT for performance at this stage. EKA matches AUT for me. My best performer overall is CER. I also have a few poor performers that I would not think of selling because of the potential for future gains. BUL, TAS and EDE for example.

I'm a fan of AUT and will hold it for a long time but it is not the only kid on the block.

Yep no doubt, but i dont know those stocks, so my opinion was really restricted to AUT and SEA. I will be investigating those mentioned by you nokia as i have a LOT of respect for what your doing.

 

[Kremmen]

That is not a question to answer unless you identify the other stocks. I hold well over 22 stocks and some are much better performers than AUT. eg.LYC and NTU are well past AUT for performance at this stage. EKA matches AUT for me. My best performer overall is CER.

It's interesting to see which stocks you mention there. I hold all of those good ones except NTU. While LYC is up for me even more than AUT, I think it's higher risk and I invested less in it. LYC was pretty certain to rise sometime, but China's reduction in rare earth exports recently put a rocket under it way sooner than I'd have expected. AUT is way more advanced in its project, so I considered it a much lower risk.

Just my opinion here: Too much diversity is tedious and too much work. Almost 1/3 of my portfolio is EKA and AUT.

 

[condog]

It's interesting to see which stocks you mention there. I hold all of those good ones except NTU. While LYC is up for me even more than AUT, I think it's higher risk and I invested less in it. LYC was pretty certain to rise sometime, but China's reduction in rare earth exports recently put a rocket under it way sooner than I'd have expected. AUT is way more advanced in its project, so I considered it a much lower risk.

Just my opinion here: Too much diversity is tedious and too much work. Almost 1/3 of my portfolio is EKA and AUT.

Well done guys on LYC, although $2.2B for pre development, few???? NTU wow what a graph, awesome. LYC near impossible to put a value on, looks like correcting???? . NTU looks like its temp peaked. Both from a completely niave point of view.

Tend do agree, a lot of people worsify thier holdings in the name of diversification. Risk is somewhat mitigated a lot when you know a stock and how it behave intimately. But i totally understand and agree with why novices are told to diversify. It takes time to get the skill and knowledge to know what makes stocks tick.

 

[condog]

That nasty little bot is at work again. Its filling the sell side imo to make it look bigger and more spaced. You call it what you want , but for my money its market manipulation and all traders should be calling for bans on algorithmic trading platforms.

Been doing it for two days now.


27 decent trades so far looking like great volume again, 800K by 10.30 am.. These are the ones above 10K, two biggies at $100K plus so far. There appears to be some pretty serious acquisition. I wonder if Ann Stewart is finished selling yet to remodel her bathroom and kitchen??
Time Price Volume Value
10:03:06 AM 1.265 99131 125400.72
10:33:49 AM 1.255 96350 120919.25
10:33:49 AM 1.26 27636 34821.36
10:14:01 AM 1.27 20000 25400
10:33:59 AM 1.25 16498 20622.5
10:34:09 AM 1.24 16569 20545.56
10:28:52 AM 1.26 16000 20160
10:03:06 AM 1.26 15000 18900
9:59:54 AM 1.23 14310 17601.3
10:25:11 AM 1.26 13391 16872.66
9:59:54 AM 1.23 13450 16543.5
10:00:07 AM 1.24 13000 16120
10:12:07 AM 1.28 12021 15386.88
10:34:09 AM 1.24 10450 12958
10:10:27 AM 1.28 10046 12858.88
10:10:27 AM 1.28 10000 12800
10:29:14 AM 1.26 10150 12789
10:10:27 AM 1.28 9954 12741.12
10:31:28 AM 1.265 10000 12650
10:31:05 AM 1.27 9912 12588.24
10:17:38 AM 1.255 10000 12550
9:59:54 AM 1.23 10000 12300
9:59:54 AM 1.23 9448 11621.04
10:06:18 AM 1.27 9054 11498.58
9:59:54 AM 1.23 8868 10907.64
10:33:49 AM 1.255 8537 10713.94
10:33:49 AM 1.26 8147 10265.22

Sitting at top of its channel, but imo sooner or later we are due for a rerating as risk receeds and 2011 growth gets phased into price.

 

[noie]

I though ASX has a market maker scheme does it not?, so a firm is responsible for generating liquidity and populating the bid-offer spread, in return they get minor discounts on trade cost?

Its perfectly normal, except when it is one sided.

 

[condog]

I though ASX has a market maker scheme does it not?, so a firm is responsible for generating liquidity and populating the bid-offer spread, in return they get minor discounts on trade cost?

Its perfectly normal, except when it is one sided.

Are you able to populate the buy or sell side in a fraction of a second and pull it off prior to it getting bought or sold. I think not. So is that a level playing field. Not imo, but i could be wrong. We can argue till the cows come home on this one, its not worth it. too much head space, i just hate anything that disadvantages the average punter.

 

[nioka]

Bots or no bots, something spooked AUT this morning. However regardless of the bot trading the market will sort out the price eventually. The main thing is to work out your own buy or sell price and wait for an opportunity. Dont get spooked along with the general run of price fluctuations.

 

[Slipperz]

I'm tempted to have a chomp on that order at 1.25....:

Might just wait and see how the day plays out....