There has not been a real market in this company's shares at least up until recently. Reliable technical analysis is therefore simply not possible.
Former managing director Ken Tregonning's company Winlen is required to report to the ASX any share trades since it owns more than 5% of the issued capital. Winlen does not report trades in a timely fashion. It owned 11% on 17th Sept 10, but reported on 8th April that shareholding had been reduced to 9%.
But take a look at the dates and quantities of trades in Winlen’s Form 604 lodged 8/4/11 (it took seven months to report all the trades). For example, take the Feb/Mar/April trades, Winlen bought up bits of stock over about six weeks and then sold around double the amount of those purchases in one day: 2.5 mil shares.
The trading patterns look highly suspect. What has Winlen been trading since 8th April when it last reported?
There hasn't been a real market in this stock for a long time or at least up until the recent capital raising. Low average daily volume, a former MD trading heavily (compared to average volume), and, as a significant shareholder, not reporting properly, means that
any technical analysis on AED was blatantly misleading.
Where's the ASIC when unscrupulous people are doing things like this? If any of you have lost money on AED, or have been trying to trade this stock, contact the ASIC and ASX and complain about Tregonning/Winlen's activities and have him, his wife and Winlen investigated. Winlen and its directors should at least be fined for not reporting trades in a timely way.
I hope that man and wife (company secretary) lose a bundle on AED. Some small satisfaction for small shareholders and would-be technical traders.
BUT, one more thing, "voluntary administration" is different to "in liquidation." It could be a tactic to trade on while trying to negotiate a more palatable settlement with Sea Production (headquarters in Norway),
http://www.seaproduction.no/index.php?name=Current_Projects1, or at least buys time to prevent a fire-sale liquidation.
Nothing to do now but wait and see.
AED down, but not out yet.
RIP, AED. You died such a young age. I didn't know you very well, but your chart showed that you had a very promising youth. What happened to you? How did it all fall apart? Were the investor expectations too much to live up to? It was only their fault that they made rosy assumptions about what is under the ground. And what happened in your final week? Many thought that was the start of your turnaround. You displayed a spurt of energy that hasn't been seen for years - but that sadly turned into false hope and the ultimate sucker rally.
RIP, AED.
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