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i think your probably close to the truth, they have no clue really, one minute it was overpressurised, next it wasnt.. i spoke to chris a bit today and i feel what your saying mav fits in with what he was trying to explain.. they are in a very tricky play, very thick and lots of movement from the fault, you have trouble knowing when your drilling exactly where you are in terms of the plays your targeting and the seismics etc,.... then you get spikes and potential blowouts, so you withdraw for the safety of the well,, you cant win them all, and this well may be looking ordinary right now, but it may come good??
its now a matter of the geologists doing their best guesses, and the economics of fracing further. and we will be told last..
Sl is not a fault type play, so i have no problem staying in on the secondaries.. in light of the eme announcements, i wouldnt miss it for anything!!
looking forward we have a lot more than 40 bcf at SL and its possible in a month no one will remember NT.. there are some big announcements to come i feel, a new well in block A, and some very interesting weeks of testing.. anyone figured out yet why they will be testing Sl for months??
i best leave that one alone for the time being
... oh now i see what you mean... by the same logic it's taken 12 years to drill the well... the acreage issue was covered on this thread a while back... now i think of it it's actually taken several hundred million years to drill the well
interesting post on AZZ on HC,
saying that no nearby wells to NT produce at this level but higher up.
so there may still be a chance for NT. If NT fails I think the price may hit 40c.
saw on the front page of ASF its your bday today Dukey (the starter of this adi thread), :birthday: mate!!
ok, i think there has been some confusion - myself included. Re-reading the announcement 24/04 i think it is possibly indicating 2-3months until testing commences. It is actually quite ambiguous and now i'm confused and i'm sure i'm not the only one. Agentm, could you please clarify what you mean when you said testing will take 2-3 months to complete?
OK...it's starting to get close to test time on SL and seeing EKA starting to fire-up (hopefully confirmation soon) here's a semi-serious price prediction for ADI and EKA in the lead-up to SL testing (apologies Yogi for stepping on your toes here) - for what it's worth EKA hit low 40c as shallow targets were being drilled and ADI hit low 60c ... so taking a few cents off EKA for additional risk as further activity in Turkey seems a way off... and adding a few cents on to ADI for possible NT success (as of today - may have results by then) and other activities in the portfolio:
EKA = 35-40c
ADI = 65-70c
The key thing now is when? The thing that troubles me with this well is it may not be commercial as it's a vertical well - at best it could be produced but at a low flow rates. The horizontal wells would be needed to achieve good inflow performance as the shallow zones are not very thick. So a fully viable well may not be to be expected... but a good reserves estimate backed by a drilling program in the near term are what to look for....
Any thoughts?
The key thing now is when? The thing that troubles me with this well is it may not be commercial as it's a vertical well - at best it could be produced but at a low flow rates. The horizontal wells would be needed to achieve good inflow performance as the shallow zones are not very thick. So a fully viable well may not be to be expected... but a good reserves estimate backed by a drilling program in the near term are what to look for....
Any thoughts?
Is that why they have been chasing so much acreage & why EME ´s new 16 wells at Blocks A/B will be horizontal?
Couch mentioned 9 - 12% porosity in Sep for the chalks.
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