All true. No way will Gillard call for an election, ordinary or DD, because to do so would be to ensure her own immediate demise.
But if Tony Abbott wins the next election, having gone to this election on rescinding the carbon tax, he can then propose to legislate this, and if the legislation is rejected twice (I think it's twice?) then he can call a double dissolution election.
If we were to come to this stage, it's going to be very, very likely that some of those new Greens senators would be thrown out and the Greens would in the new parliament no longer have the balance of power.
I simply can't see an early election happening this term, but do think there's hope for the above scenario if the Libs win the next election. They will have to be extremely clear about going to the election with the rescinding of the carbon tax being their main platform. Unless a lot changes between now and then, it's hard to see them not winning in a landslide.
TS, Tony Abbott has already said he would call a DD election if his legislation to rescind the carbon tax was resisted by Labor and the Greens.
I don't see why it wouldn't be fairly straightforward after he has put the legislation up twice, three months apart.
This, after all, is what was being called for when K. Rudd was leader on the basis that if he really believed climate change (or whatever it was being called then) was the greatest moral challenge of our time, then he would go to a DD election on this.
That's what he should have done. Instead he just backed down.
Tony Abbott would not back down on this.
But perhaps not if he runs on it, declaring it well in advance.Political suicide IMO.... People of Australia may not want to go back to the polls so soon as well. More possible voter backlash...
But not in advance of the rest of the world, which John Howard has recently confirmed, and which Malcolm Fraser seems not to have mentioned. John Howard doesn't and never did support a carbon tax of the type now proposed by Labor/Greens.http://www.abc.net.au/unleashed/2796404.html
The above is a transcript of a speech from Malcolm Fraser.
....The fact is the Liberal party went to the 2007 election with the promise of bringing in an emissions trading scheme...
Are you aware that this emissions per capita includes all our exports? And bushfires etc?Many examples can be given. Opponents of climate change legislation say Australia produces so little that it does not matter what we do. Many others, indeed most others, look at emissions per capita and then we come out if not worst, second worst.
The world was in a different frame of mind then. It was expected that Copenhagen would enshrine global co-operation of ETS schemes. It totally failed in this respect, and since then overall acceptance of "the science" has diminished..... The fact is the Liberal party went to the 2007 election with the promise of bringing in an emissions trading scheme, why do people think voting in a liberal government would lead to the abandonment of such a scheme entirely ?
Here is Costello's say on Gillard's carbon tax from Bolt's show this morning.
But not in advance of the rest of the world, which John Howard has recently confirmed, and which Malcolm Fraser seems not to have mentioned. John Howard doesn't and never did support a carbon tax of the type now proposed by Labor/Greens.
Are you aware that this emissions per capita includes all our exports? And bushfires etc?
The world was in a different frame of mind then. It was expected that Copenhagen would enshrine global co-operation of ETS schemes. It totally failed in this respect, and since then overall acceptance of "the science" has diminished.
Just to follow this type of thinking thru...if all country's simply waited for others to lead then how would anything happen? funny how this appeals to so many coalition voters...the do nothing approach to government.
...Gillard thinks the rest of the world is watching us with admiration? The tertiary manufacturers will ignore us when we try to pass costs on, hey there are plenty of minerals coming onstream from Africa alone. Our direct competitors are wetting their pants laughing at us. The UN is rubbing it's filthy hands with glee at our idiocy.
SC you are ignoring the fact we produce 1.3% of world's carbon emissions, and our target reduction by 2020 is 5%. That is 5% of 1.3%. We will piss away hundreds of billions to bring our emissions to 1.235% of world emissions.
The biggest polluters, if logic prevails, should introduce the best and most cost effective form of carbon reduction rather than an inefficient ineffective one as it's in their interests, financially. Let's follow the big boys.
Gillard thinks the rest of the world is watching us with admiration? The tertiary manufacturers will ignore us when we try to pass costs on, hey there are plenty of minerals coming onstream from Africa alone. Our direct competitors are wetting their pants laughing at us. The UN is rubbing it's filthy hands with glee at our idiocy.
I'm not, would you care to provide some evidence to this claim ?
I'm not, would you care to provide some evidence to this claim ?
Excluding any potential exclusion for exports/natural events etc, would you not agree that Australia would still have if not the highest, but be within the top 5 producers of emmisions per capita or per person ?
Acceptance of the science by whom ? By you ?
We are the biggest per capita carbon burners, 5% of 1.3% certainly sounds like an almost insignificant number and it is actually pretty much insignificant...so what's the big deal. :dunno:
The reduction target is small, the cost is small, the impacts on all levels small...and yet the lunatic right thinks the world is coming to an end...our competitors in Africa wetting there pants laughing at us, i think not, the Congolese Govt doesn't have the capacity to enforce basic road rules etc...their hardly laughing at anyone and there population would change places with us in an instant if offered the opportunity to live under a carbon tax.
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