MovingAverage
Just a retail hack
- Joined
- 23 January 2010
- Posts
- 1,315
- Reactions
- 2,565
I wonder whether any western intelligence agencies are planning to knock off Vlad?
War threat in Ukraine
Value Collector
Have courage, and be kind.
- Joined
- 13 January 2014
- Posts
- 12,197
- Reactions
- 8,446
Hopefully his early demise is arranged by someone inside his own government, like the 20 July Plot / “Operation Valkyrie”, but hopefully this attempt succeeds.
20 July plot - Wikipedia
- Joined
- 14 February 2005
- Posts
- 15,186
- Reactions
- 17,182
Not as a bulk commodity so far as I'm aware, any imports would be indirect in the form of processed foods etc.
Australia exports ~70% of the wheat crop, major buyers being Indonesia, Philippines, Vietnam, China, Korea, Japan, India, New Zealand and various Middle East countries.
This map shows where it's grown in Australia: https://ipad.fas.usda.gov/rssiws/al/crop_production_maps/Australia/Australia_Wheat.jpg
From a financial perspective a higher price is obviously good for Australia and Australian farmers but there's humanitarian aspect that whilst Japan or the Middle East countries can no doubt pay the price, somewhere like India or Vietnam plausibly doesn't have the money.
- Joined
- 14 February 2005
- Posts
- 15,186
- Reactions
- 17,182
Some figures to answer that:
World oil consumption = almost exactly 100 million barrels per day. A convenient round number but it's the actual figure not a rounded one.
Russia oil production = 10.8 million barrels per day with 7.5 million barrels being exported and the other 3.3 million used within the country.
So Russian oil exports supply 7.75% of worldwide consumption excluding Russia itself.
For gas, first a technical point that LNG (Liquefied Natural Gas) is chemically the same as pipeline natural gas but for practical logistical purposes is a separate product. Gas taken from the ground is only turned into LNG if the intent is to move it by ship or road tanker with the majority of gas globally simply being moved, as gas not liquid, through pipelines directly to consumers. LNG is stored at or below -161 degrees C so whilst chemically the same, it's a different thing in a production sense.
To replace EU imports of Russian gas delivered by pipeline would add almost exactly one third to global LNG consumption.
Also Russia accounts for 8% of global LNG supply at present meaning that non-Russian producers would need to increase their LNG production by 45% to replace all Russian exports by pipeline and LNG. Either that or someone else delivers gas by pipeline to Europe.
Noting that many countries are isolated from world gas markets. For example New Zealand is self-contained, having production and consumption but no import or export indeed it has no physical means to import or export gas. Many other countries are like that, they have a gas industry but it's an isolated one, there's no physical ability to import or export. That results in the Russian gas situation being far more significant in terms of those countries which do have import / export facilities, the "heavy lifting" has to be done by only those countries. Someone turning down their heating in a country with an isolated gas market isn't helping at all despite their good intentions.
MovingAverage
Just a retail hack
- Joined
- 23 January 2010
- Posts
- 1,315
- Reactions
- 2,565
Do you think anyone within his own government has the balls to organise his assassination? They all seem very intimated by him.Hopefully his early demise is arranged by someone inside his own government, like the 20 July Plot / “Operation Valkyrie”, but hopefully this attempt succeeds.
20 July plot - Wikipedia
en.m.wikipedia.org
- Joined
- 25 February 2011
- Posts
- 5,688
- Reactions
- 1,231
Before one formulates a solution to a problem, it is important to actually understand the problem.
The director isn't necessarily the script writer!
In the event that proves to be the case in the current situation, removal of the director will be naught more than a minor interruption ( whilst a new director is appointed).
The show will still go on!
The director isn't necessarily the script writer!
In the event that proves to be the case in the current situation, removal of the director will be naught more than a minor interruption ( whilst a new director is appointed).
The show will still go on!
President Putin Returns the Gold Standard to Russia
President Putin has announced the return of the gold standard in Russia which could make the Ruble the single most stable currency on the planet.
StockyGuy
Observe, Discuss, Apply
- Joined
- 15 October 2007
- Posts
- 557
- Reactions
- 873
President Putin Returns the Gold Standard to Russia
President Putin has announced the return of the gold standard in Russia which could make the Ruble the single most stable currency on the planet.www.planet-today.com
It's a clickbaity title yeah? "abolishing the VAT (tax) on bullion" isn't a return to the gold standard as far as I understand?
Hi @MovingAverage,
Without speaking to Putin first I believe you meant "They all seem very intimidated by him!
Value Collector
Have courage, and be kind.
- Joined
- 13 January 2014
- Posts
- 12,197
- Reactions
- 8,446
Hopefully if he continues on the path of getting more and more crazy some one will, you don’t have to feel intimidated once a person is dead.
- Joined
- 14 February 2005
- Posts
- 15,186
- Reactions
- 17,182
I'm perhaps not using the correct terms here but do some reading on how narcissists operate.
Putin will almost certainly have "broken" everyone under him such that they're incapable of properly functioning and will see themselves as having no option other than to stick with him.
In short that's what they do. Cripple everyone under them mentally and, in the event someone refuses to go along with it, that person is "removed". Same in any context - dictators, parents, employers, anyone who goes down that track of abusive exploitation.
I'm probably not using the right terms there but that's my understanding of the basics. Destroy those under you to the point they're obedient yes men.
- Joined
- 2 February 2006
- Posts
- 14,009
- Reactions
- 2,893
I'm probably not using the right terms there but that's my understanding of the basics. Destroy those under you to the point they're obedient yes men.
Was North Korea's No. 2 Killed For Not Clapping Hard Enough?
One reason North Korean leader Kim Jong Un had his uncle executed, some analysts say, is that he felt disrespected. The uncle, Jang Song Thaek, allegedly failed to applaud with enough enthusiasm when Kim was given a key post. It's also thought that Kim wanted to send a message: Don't mess with me.
www.npr.org
Jang Song-thaek - Wikipedia
Kimâs niece kills herself in Paris
A 29-year-old North Korean woman committed suicide in Paris, France last month; intelligence sources have confirmed that she was a niece of Kim Jong-il, the North Korean leader. The incident was another incident in a series of turbulent lives of women associated with North Koreaâs ruling...
koreajoongangdaily.joins.com
Last edited:
‘Declaration of war’: Putin erupts
Vladimir Putin has warned that sanctions imposed against Russia are equivalent to a “declaration of war”.
www.news.com.au
‘Declaration of war’
Mr Putin raged that Russia “will not forget” external support for Ukraine - and warned he sees sanctions as a “declaration of war”
Mr Putin said there would be “colossal and catastrophic consequences not only for Europe but also the whole world” if foreign powers attempt to establish a no-fly zone in Ukraine.
London in the firing line
Mr Putin’s foreign ministry spokeswoman Maria Zakharova warned, “Russia will not forget Britain’s desire to co-operate with ultranationalist forces in Ukraine and the supply of British weapons to the Kyiv regime.
“The sanctions hysteria in which London plays one of the leading, if not the main, roles, leaves us no choice but to take proportionately tough retaliatory measures.
“London has made a final choice of open confrontation with Russia.”
*Excerpt from my above link provided
Mr Putin raged that Russia “will not forget” external support for Ukraine - and warned he sees sanctions as a “declaration of war”
Mr Putin said there would be “colossal and catastrophic consequences not only for Europe but also the whole world” if foreign powers attempt to establish a no-fly zone in Ukraine.
London in the firing line
Mr Putin’s foreign ministry spokeswoman Maria Zakharova warned, “Russia will not forget Britain’s desire to co-operate with ultranationalist forces in Ukraine and the supply of British weapons to the Kyiv regime.
“The sanctions hysteria in which London plays one of the leading, if not the main, roles, leaves us no choice but to take proportionately tough retaliatory measures.
“London has made a final choice of open confrontation with Russia.”
*Excerpt from my above link provided
Knobby22
Mmmmmm 2nd breakfast
- Joined
- 13 October 2004
- Posts
- 9,690
- Reactions
- 6,554
Europe should up the ante. Gutless. Now is the perfect opportunity.Potential WW3 looming ? how will NATO/US alliance stop Russia ??
this really worries/upsets me... those poor people suffering terribly in Ukraine it seems only going to get much worse
- Joined
- 28 August 2010
- Posts
- 1,154
- Reactions
- 1,720
none of the elites want nuclear war, china, Europe, Russia... life is good in any **** hole when you got personal servants wiping you with golden nappies. The closer it gets to that the more the elites will try to burry Putin
Value Collector
Have courage, and be kind.
- Joined
- 13 January 2014
- Posts
- 12,197
- Reactions
- 8,446
- Joined
- 3 November 2013
- Posts
- 1,568
- Reactions
- 2,771
Fair criticism, but I don't think any war has been run 100% according to plan or as intended...
The reality is that the Russians continue to capture more Ukranian territory on a daily basis, which will only serve to eliminate the logistical issues highlighted in the video.
The Western response is approaching an asymptote - sanctions and equipment supplies can only go so far.
Here's an alternative viewpoint for the war (first 2mins):
Value Collector
Have courage, and be kind.
- Joined
- 13 January 2014
- Posts
- 12,197
- Reactions
- 8,446
That’s generally how “Wars of attrition” work, but I wonder if the Ukrainians can keep their European supply line open maybe they can wear down the Russian, it’s also just a matter of how much Russia loses between now and then, and in the on going occupation and insurgency whether any “Victory” they claim is a pyrrhic victory or not.
Last edited:
